Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.</li>
<li>Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.</li>
<li>China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-April we discussed how downside was limited on MSCI ACWI and EURO STOXX 50, and May 2nd discussed it was "quite possible" the lows were in.
Now, the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EAFE, and EM indexes have all broken out to new multi-year highs. Our bullish outlook (since early-November 2023) remains intact; expect higher prices ahead.
China (MSCI China) continues to lead the EM turnaround, and we remain bullish on the space. We highlight many large-cap EM buys within Communications, Technology, Discretionary; we remain bullish miners.


Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tbo-tek" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36284:1" rel="noopener">TBO Tek (0395045D IN)</a> raised around US$186m in its India IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of the range at INR920/share.</li>
<li>TBO Tek is a global travel distribution platform. Its two-sided technology platform serves companies involved in the travel industry such as hotels, airlines, travel agencies and travel management companies.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



TBO Tek (0395045D IN) raised around US$186m in its India IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of the range at INR920/share.
TBO Tek is a global travel distribution platform. Its two-sided technology platform serves companies involved in the travel industry such as hotels, airlines, travel agencies and travel management companies.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about demand and trading dynamics.


TBO Tek IPO Trading - Has One of the Highest Subscription Rates so Far This Year

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The new energy vehicle producers’ ranks changed a lot in April.</li>
<li>GAC began to sell batteries to outside new energy vehicle producers.</li>
<li>Kuaishou’s GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) increased by 420% YoY during the Labor Day.</li>
</ul>


The new energy vehicle producers’ ranks changed a lot in April.
GAC began to sell batteries to outside new energy vehicle producers.
Kuaishou’s GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) increased by 420% YoY during the Labor Day.


China Consumption Weekly (13 May 2024): Guangzhou Auto, NIO, CALT, Kuaishou, Trip.com, Seres

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>PDD US/SHEIN/AMZN US: Temu opens up platform to brand merchants (+/-/-)</li>
<li>TCOM US/3690 HK/ATAT US  :  Visa-free policy for 12 countries including France extended until December 31, 2025.(+/+/+)</li>
<li>700 HK: After the release of new limited skins for &lt;League of Legends: Wild Rift&gt;, there has been a noticeable rebound in grossing rankings.(+)</li>
</ul>


PDD US/SHEIN/AMZN US: Temu opens up platform to brand merchants (+/-/-)
TCOM US/3690 HK/ATAT US  :  Visa-free policy for 12 countries including France extended until December 31, 2025.(+/+/+)
700 HK: After the release of new limited skins for &lt;League of Legends: Wild Rift&gt;, there has been a noticeable rebound in grossing rankings.(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD US/SHEIN/AMZN US/TCOM US/3690 HK/ ATAT US/700 HK

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US : The international hotel management group maintains a cautious attitude towards China throughout the year.（-/-）</li>
<li>1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/1810HK:EV sales solid in the 5th week of April 2024, NIO continues to benefit from SU7 overflow, BYD continues to be strong, and Xiaomi deliveries decline for three consecutive weeks.(+/+/+/-/-)</li>
<li>300274 SZ / 300750 SZ/ 1211 HK : Tesla's Shanghai energy storage gigafactory was approved, mainly producing energy storage for export, benefiting China's supply chain.(+/+/ -)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US : The international hotel management group maintains a cautious attitude towards China throughout the year.（-/-）
1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/1810HK:EV sales solid in the 5th week of April 2024, NIO continues to benefit from SU7 overflow, BYD continues to be strong, and Xiaomi deliveries decline for three consecutive weeks.(+/+/+/-/-)
300274 SZ / 300750 SZ/ 1211 HK : Tesla's Shanghai energy storage gigafactory was approved, mainly producing energy storage for export, benefiting China's supply chain.(+/+/ -)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

China

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

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Trip.com (TCOM US)

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

TBO Tek IPO Trading - Has One of the Highest Subscription Rates so Far This Year

TBO Tek (0395045D IN) raised around US$186m in its India IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of the range at INR920/share.

Ethan Aw

China Consumption Weekly (13 May 2024): Guangzhou Auto, NIO, CALT, Kuaishou, Trip.com, Seres

The NEV producers’ ranks changed a lot in April. GAC began to sell batteries to outside new energy vehicle producers. Kuaishou’s GMV increased by...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD US/SHEIN/AMZN US/TCOM US/3690 HK/ ATAT US/700 HK

Temu allows brand merchants on platform, visa-free policy extended for 12 countries, limited skins boost grossing rankings for League of Legends:...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bullish Outlook Intact; EM and China Continue to Bottom; Buys in Comms, Tech, Discretionary, Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI; EM and China Continue to Lead; U.S. Dollar (DXY), WTI Crude Oil, and Gasoline Prices Rolling Over; Buys in: Comms,...

Vermilion Research

TBO Tek IPO Trading - Has One of the Highest Subscription Rates so Far This Year

TBO Tek (0395045D IN) raised around US$186m in its India IPO, after pricing the deal at the top end of the range at INR920/share.

Ethan Aw

China Consumption Weekly (13 May 2024): Guangzhou Auto, NIO, CALT, Kuaishou, Trip.com, Seres

The NEV producers’ ranks changed a lot in April. GAC began to sell batteries to outside new energy vehicle producers. Kuaishou’s GMV increased by...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]:PDD US/SHEIN/AMZN US/TCOM US/3690 HK/ ATAT US/700 HK

​Temu allows brand merchants on platform, visa-free policy extended for 12 countries, limited skins boost grossing rankings for League of Legends:...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

​International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Temu allows brand merchants on platform, visa-free policy extended for 12 countries, limited skins boost grossing rankings for League of Legends:...

International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...