Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Year to date (July) US border crossing data paint a surprisingly mixed picture</li>
<li>Overall, total crossings at all points and by all modes are down -3.7% Y/Y</li>
<li>States facing Canada saw a -17.5% decline; air crossings into West up +3.7%</li>
</ul>


Year to date (July) US border crossing data paint a surprisingly mixed picture
Overall, total crossings at all points and by all modes are down -3.7% Y/Y
States facing Canada saw a -17.5% decline; air crossings into West up +3.7%


US Customs & Border Patrol Traveler Data Show Mixed Picture, Sharp Drop in Northern Border Crossings

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Most internet companies’ 1Q25 earnings met or exceeded market expectations, while concerns are mainly around over reduced earnings visibility due to intensifying competition among marketplace platforms.</li><li>Expanding quality supply, reducing merchant costs, and increasing core user transaction frequency are the priorities.</li><li>Looking ahead, we believe subsectors and companies having strong business model moats and less vulnerable to subsidy-driven competition may outperform, while firms with established ecosystems/network effects, higher margins, and substantial absolute profits will likely have stronger competitive positioning. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Most internet companies’ 1Q25 earnings met or exceeded market expectations, while concerns are mainly around over reduced earnings visibility due to intensifying competition among marketplace platforms.Expanding quality supply, reducing merchant costs, and increasing core user transaction frequency are the priorities.Looking ahead, we believe subsectors and companies having strong business model moats and less vulnerable to subsidy-driven competition may outperform, while firms with established ecosystems/network effects, higher margins, and substantial absolute profits will likely have stronger competitive positioning. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - Business Model/Competitive Barrier Back in Focus

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>700 HK: Tencent's &lt;VALORANT Mobile&gt; Launches iOS App Store Page, Showing Official Release on November 25 (-)</li>
<li>1024 HK: Kuaishou’s Kling AI Reaches Strategic Cooperation with Design AI Agent LOVART (+)</li>
<li>JD US/TCOM US: JD.com may launch OTA (Online Travel Agency) services in the near future (-//)</li>
</ul>


700 HK: Tencent's &lt;VALORANT Mobile&gt; Launches iOS App Store Page, Showing Official Release on November 25 (-)
1024 HK: Kuaishou’s Kling AI Reaches Strategic Cooperation with Design AI Agent LOVART (+)
JD US/TCOM US: JD.com may launch OTA (Online Travel Agency) services in the near future (-//)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/1024 HK/JD US/TCOM US/3690 HK/NTES US/AI Sector Update

<ul>
<li>TCOM US: Dragon Boat Festival holiday travel volume miss expectations(-) </li>
<li>JD US: JD Food Delivery Daily Orders Surpass 25 Million(+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent Yuanbao App announces integration with Tencent Maps, enabling precise location (+)</li>
</ul>


TCOM US: Dragon Boat Festival holiday travel volume miss expectations(-) 
JD US: JD Food Delivery Daily Orders Surpass 25 Million(+)
700 HK: Tencent Yuanbao App announces integration with Tencent Maps, enabling precise location (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:TCOM US/JD US/700 HK/NTES US/PDD US/BABA US/ 3690 HK/Entertainment

<ul>
<li>JD US/BABA US/3690 HK: Food Delivery Subsidy Rules Adjusted Again, Merchant Share Rises to 70% (+/+/+)</li>
<li>TCOM US: Stable Traffic Growth in Dragon Boat Festival Traffic(+)</li>
<li>TCOM US:Daily cross-border trips during Dragon Boat Festival holiday hit 2.15m (-)</li>
</ul>


JD US/BABA US/3690 HK: Food Delivery Subsidy Rules Adjusted Again, Merchant Share Rises to 70% (+/+/+)
TCOM US: Stable Traffic Growth in Dragon Boat Festival Traffic(+)
TCOM US:Daily cross-border trips during Dragon Boat Festival holiday hit 2.15m (-)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/3690HK/TCOM US/1024HK/700HK/PONY US/BIDU US/WRD US/GOOGL

China

Trip.com Group Ltd. provides online travel agency services. The Company offers mobile applications, hotel reservations, flight ticketing, package tours, corporate travel management, and train ticketing services.

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Trip.com (TCOM US)

US Customs & Border Patrol Traveler Data Show Mixed Picture, Sharp Drop in Northern Border Crossings

Recently released US border crossing data show a mixed bag: total crossings at the US Northern and Southern borders are down YTD, but crossings by...

Tracking Traffic

Internet - Business Model/Competitive Barrier Back in Focus

Most internet companies’ 1Q25 earnings met or exceeded market expectations, while concerns are mainly around over reduced earnings visibility due...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/1024 HK/JD US/TCOM US/3690 HK/NTES US/AI Sector Update

Tencent's set to release on November 25, Kuaishou partners with LOVART for AI, JD.com considers launching OTA services.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:TCOM US/JD US/700 HK/NTES US/PDD US/BABA US/ 3690 HK/Entertainment

TCOM US disappointed with Dragon Boat Festival travel volume, JD US sees surge in food delivery orders, Tencent Yuanbao App integrates with...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/3690HK/TCOM US/1024HK/700HK/PONY US/BIDU US/WRD US/GOOGL

Food delivery subsidy rules adjusted, merchant share rises to 70%. Stable traffic growth for TCOM during Dragon Boat Festival, but daily cross...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

US Customs & Border Patrol Traveler Data Show Mixed Picture, Sharp Drop in Northern Border Crossings

Recently released US border crossing data show a mixed bag: total crossings at the US Northern and Southern borders are down YTD, but crossings by...

Tracking Traffic

Internet - Business Model/Competitive Barrier Back in Focus

Most internet companies’ 1Q25 earnings met or exceeded market expectations, while concerns are mainly around over reduced earnings visibility due...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/1024 HK/JD US/TCOM US/3690 HK/NTES US/AI Sector Update

​Tencent's set to release on November 25, Kuaishou partners with LOVART for AI, JD.com considers launching OTA services.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:TCOM US/JD US/700 HK/NTES US/PDD US/BABA US/ 3690 HK/Entertainment

​TCOM US disappointed with Dragon Boat Festival travel volume, JD US sees surge in food delivery orders, Tencent Yuanbao App integrates with...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:JD US/BABA US/3690HK/TCOM US/1024HK/700HK/PONY US/BIDU US/WRD US/GOOGL

​Food delivery subsidy rules adjusted, merchant share rises to 70%. Stable traffic growth for TCOM during Dragon Boat Festival, but daily cross...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent's set to release on November 25, Kuaishou partners with LOVART for AI, JD.com considers launching OTA services.

TCOM US disappointed with Dragon Boat Festival travel volume, JD US sees surge in food delivery orders, Tencent Yuanbao App integrates with...

Food delivery subsidy rules adjusted, merchant share rises to 70%. Stable traffic growth for TCOM during Dragon Boat Festival, but daily cross...