Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Tsuruha and Welcia are on the road to a merger, where Tsuruha takes over Welcia but Aeon ends up owning "more than 50% but less than 51%" of Tsuruha.</li>
<li>The Price Ratio is now 4.24x. Trailing EPS ratios is &gt;5. Forward EPS ratios are further above 5. BVPS ratio? Near 5. Welcia grows storecount. Tsuruha makes more money/store.</li>
<li>Tsuruha changed its FY-end to match that of Welcia/Aeon so both will report earnings/guidance in just over 3 weeks. That will likely influence the ratio.</li>
</ul>


Tsuruha and Welcia are on the road to a merger, where Tsuruha takes over Welcia but Aeon ends up owning "more than 50% but less than 51%" of Tsuruha.
The Price Ratio is now 4.24x. Trailing EPS ratios is &gt;5. Forward EPS ratios are further above 5. BVPS ratio? Near 5. Welcia grows storecount. Tsuruha makes more money/store.
Tsuruha changed its FY-end to match that of Welcia/Aeon so both will report earnings/guidance in just over 3 weeks. That will likely influence the ratio.


Tsuruha (3391) - Welcia (3141) - Tsuruha Earnings In a Week - Still Good To Be Long The Ratio

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/econavista-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39958:1" rel="noopener">EcoNaviSta (5585 JP)</a> has a couple of interesting product lines and platforms. That makes it attractive, and scalable. Synergies to a big buyer are reasonably obvious.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eisai-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21001:1" rel="noopener">Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP)</a> is that big buyer, having decided to be interested last summer. I could imagine others could be interested too. The tech has uses.</li>
<li>For the moment, it is a high EV/Revenue bid on an interesting small company. The chairman, cross-holders, directors, and a couple of financial institutions own 66+%. But...</li>
</ul>



EcoNaviSta (5585 JP) has a couple of interesting product lines and platforms. That makes it attractive, and scalable. Synergies to a big buyer are reasonably obvious.

Eisai Co Ltd (4523 JP) is that big buyer, having decided to be interested last summer. I could imagine others could be interested too. The tech has uses.
For the moment, it is a high EV/Revenue bid on an interesting small company. The chairman, cross-holders, directors, and a couple of financial institutions own 66+%. But...


EcoNavista (5585 JP) - Takeover By Eisai (4523)

<ul>
<li>Bowing before bureaucratic, governmental, societal, and perhaps finally shareholder pressure, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> Friday announced it is rolling up two big subsidiaries. </li>
<li>Aeon Mall will be merged with Aeon in a share exchange and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-delight-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16763:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Delight (9787 JP)</a> will be taken over via slightly long-dated Tender Offer which starts Monday.</li>
<li>This is probably the wrong price, but it isn't egregiously wrong I expect. And it would be difficult to block. I expect it gets done easily.</li>
</ul>


Bowing before bureaucratic, governmental, societal, and perhaps finally shareholder pressure, Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) Friday announced it is rolling up two big subsidiaries. 
Aeon Mall will be merged with Aeon in a share exchange and Aeon Delight (9787 JP) will be taken over via slightly long-dated Tender Offer which starts Monday.
This is probably the wrong price, but it isn't egregiously wrong I expect. And it would be difficult to block. I expect it gets done easily.


Aeon Tender Offer for Aeon Delight (9787) At ¥5,400/Share

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>I tally 59 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kaonavi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29703:1" rel="noopener">Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 59 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deals discussed this week: Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP) and Kaonavi Inc (4435 JP).
Key updates/news took place on: Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), Sun Art Retail (6808 HK), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Paragon REIT, Kaonavi, Arcadium Lithium, Sun Art Retail, HKBN, and Seven & I

<ul>
<li>I tally 61 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Six new deals! Australia's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/selfwealth-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30690:1" rel="noopener">SelfWealth (SWF AU)</a>, and Japan's <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tohto-suisan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7524:1" rel="noopener">Tohto Suisan (8038 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tecnos-japan-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5167:1" rel="noopener">Tecnos Japan (3666 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/proto-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2511:1" rel="noopener">Proto (4298 JP)</a>, &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-sugar-refining-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2182:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Sugar Refining (2107 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151:1" rel="noopener">Suntec REIT (SUN SP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong (2888 TT)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin  (2887 TT)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 61 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Six new deals! Australia's SelfWealth (SWF AU), and Japan's Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP), Tohto Suisan (8038 JP), Tecnos Japan (3666 JP), Proto (4298 JP), &amp; Toyo Sugar Refining (2107 JP).
Key updates/news took place on: Insignia Financial (IFL AU) , Fosun Tourism (1992 HK) , Fuji Soft (9749 JP), Suntec REIT (SUN SP), and Shin Kong (2888 TT)/Taishin  (2887 TT).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Shibaura, Tecnos, Insignia Fin., Fosun Tourism, Fuji Soft, Shin Kong/Taishin

Japan

TSURUHA HOLDINGS INC. is a holding company which manages subsidiaries that operate drug stores in Hokkaido and the Tohoku area.  The Company's product line includes drugs, cosmetics, and household utensils.

Price Gauge
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Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)

Tsuruha (3391) - Welcia (3141) - Tsuruha Earnings In a Week - Still Good To Be Long The Ratio

The Tsuruha/Welcia trade is a good-looking "guess the ratio" trade because Tsuruha wins on PBR, PER, forward PER, etc. The price ratio should be...

Travis Lundy

EcoNavista (5585 JP) - Takeover By Eisai (4523)

Eisai has announced a takeover of EcoNaviSta. This is probably worth a look to people who can trade tiny caps (US$100mm). There is a setup here...

Travis Lundy

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Paragon REIT, Kaonavi, Arcadium Lithium, Sun Art Retail, HKBN, and Seven & I

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Shibaura, Tecnos, Insignia Fin., Fosun Tourism, Fuji Soft, Shin Kong/Taishin

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tsuruha (3391) - Welcia (3141) - Tsuruha Earnings In a Week - Still Good To Be Long The Ratio

The Tsuruha/Welcia trade is a good-looking "guess the ratio" trade because Tsuruha wins on PBR, PER, forward PER, etc. The price ratio should be...

Travis Lundy

EcoNavista (5585 JP) - Takeover By Eisai (4523)

Eisai has announced a takeover of EcoNaviSta. This is probably worth a look to people who can trade tiny caps (US$100mm). There is a setup here...

Travis Lundy

Aeon Tender Offer for Aeon Delight (9787) At ¥5,400/Share

Aeon has announced a Tender Offer for facilities maintenance subsidiary Aeon Delight. It's an all-time high, but the TOB Premium on Aeon Delight is...

Travis Lundy

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Paragon REIT, Kaonavi, Arcadium Lithium, Sun Art Retail, HKBN, and Seven & I

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Shibaura, Tecnos, Insignia Fin., Fosun Tourism, Fuji Soft, Shin Kong/Taishin

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett