Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keep-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35947:1" rel="noopener">Keep Inc (3650 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> will be added to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) after the close of trading on 1 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keep-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35947:1" rel="noopener">Keep (3650 HK)</a> will be added to Southbound Stock Connect from the open on 4 December while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> will only be added to Stock Connect in April.</li>
<li>There are lock-up expiries on both stocks, prior to or after inclusion in Stock Connect, and trading strategies will need to take that into account.</li>
</ul>



Keep Inc (3650 HK) and Tuhu Car (9690 HK) will be added to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) after the close of trading on 1 December.

Keep (3650 HK) will be added to Southbound Stock Connect from the open on 4 December while Tuhu Car (9690 HK) will only be added to Stock Connect in April.
There are lock-up expiries on both stocks, prior to or after inclusion in Stock Connect, and trading strategies will need to take that into account.


HSCI Index Rebalance: Keep (3650 HK) & TUHU Car (9690 HK) Added

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> announced in-specie dividends of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> (US$15bn+) in 2021 and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> (US$20bn) in 2022.</li>
<li>With the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> Board meeting on 15 November to approve Q3 results and considering the payment of a dividend, the pattern could repeat this year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> owns stakes of US$1bn+ in 10 listed companies. We take a look at the stocks that could be next in line to be paid as in-specie dividends.</li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) announced in-specie dividends of JD.com (9618 HK) (US$15bn+) in 2021 and Meituan (3690 HK) (US$20bn) in 2022.
With the Tencent (700 HK) Board meeting on 15 November to approve Q3 results and considering the payment of a dividend, the pattern could repeat this year.

Tencent (700 HK) owns stakes of US$1bn+ in 10 listed companies. We take a look at the stocks that could be next in line to be paid as in-specie dividends.


Tencent (700 HK): Board Meets Next Week; In-Specie Dividend Candidates

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>As a leader in O2O auto service, Tuhu is expected to surf on the growing industry tailwinds, with in-depth control over workshops, franchisee-friendly ecosystem and strong supply chain.</li><li>We expect its rev to grow at 20% CAGR in FY23-25E, driven by stores expansion, higher efficiency, monetization diversification and technological enhancement.</li><li>Auto maintenance would be the key mid-term driver, while NEV initiatives and other services would unlock longer-term TAM.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

As a leader in O2O auto service, Tuhu is expected to surf on the growing industry tailwinds, with in-depth control over workshops, franchisee-friendly ecosystem and strong supply chain.We expect its rev to grow at 20% CAGR in FY23-25E, driven by stores expansion, higher efficiency, monetization diversification and technological enhancement.Auto maintenance would be the key mid-term driver, while NEV initiatives and other services would unlock longer-term TAM.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Tuhu Car (9690 HK)– A One-Stop Auto Service Ecosystem

<ul>
<li>The coming week has a lot of review periods ending - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX</a>, among others.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-stock-exchange-tokyo-price-index-topix" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22910:1" rel="noopener">TOPIX</a> rebalance will be implemented on Monday while the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-x-lithium-battery-tech-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32745:1" rel="noopener">Global X Lithium &amp; Battery Tech ETF (LIT US)</a> and IDX indices will rebalance at the close on Tuesday.</li>
<li>There were outflows from Emerging Market ETFs including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-core-msci-emerging-mar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32967:1" rel="noopener">iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schwab-emerging-markets-equi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32879:1" rel="noopener">Schwab Emerging Markets Equi (SCHE)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-edge-msci-min-vol-emerging-markets-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:725:1" rel="noopener">IShares Edge Min Vol Emerging Markets ETF (EEMV)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The coming week has a lot of review periods ending - KOSPI 200, KOSDAQ 150, CSI 300, CSI 500, SSE50, STAR50, ChiNext and SENSEX, among others.
The TOPIX rebalance will be implemented on Monday while the Global X Lithium &amp; Battery Tech ETF (LIT US) and IDX indices will rebalance at the close on Tuesday.
There were outflows from Emerging Market ETFs including iShares Emerging Markets (EEM), iShares Core Emerging Mar (IEMG), Schwab Emerging Markets Equi (SCHE) and IShares Edge Min Vol Emerging Markets ETF (EEMV).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KS200, KQ150, Yuanta Div+, LIT, HSCI, IDX, Japan Positioning

<ul>
<li>There were only 14 new listing on the Main Board of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> in the third quarter. Half of the listings were in the last week of September.</li>
<li>Of those stocks, only <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keep-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35947:1" rel="noopener">Keep (3650 HK)</a> have a chance of being added to the HSCI in December and then into Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keep-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35947:1" rel="noopener">Keep Inc (3650 HK)</a> could be added to Stock Connect in early December while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> will have to wait till April for inclusion to the link.</li>
</ul>


There were only 14 new listing on the Main Board of the HKEX (388 HK) in the third quarter. Half of the listings were in the last week of September.
Of those stocks, only Tuhu Car (9690 HK) and Keep (3650 HK) have a chance of being added to the HSCI in December and then into Southbound Stock Connect.

Keep Inc (3650 HK) could be added to Stock Connect in early December while Tuhu Car (9690 HK) will have to wait till April for inclusion to the link.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Tuhu Car in the Driver's Seat; Keep Inc in the Running

China

Tuhu Car operates as an integrated online and offline platform for automotive services in China. The company offers a wide range of products and services, including tires, chassis parts, auto maintenance, repair, car detailing, and auto accessories, along with advertising, franchise, and SaaS solutions. Tuhu Car was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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Tuhu Car (9690 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance: Keep (3650 HK) & TUHU Car (9690 HK) Added

Keep Inc and TUHU Car will be added to the HSCI in Dec. Keep will be added to Stock Connect from 4 Dec while TUHU Car will only join the link in...

Brian Freitas

Tencent (700 HK): Board Meets Next Week; In-Specie Dividend Candidates

Tencent could make it a hat-trick of special in-specie dividend distributions. After JD.com and Meituan, Kuaishou could be next. Or it could be...

Brian Freitas

Tuhu Car (9690 HK)– A One-Stop Auto Service Ecosystem

As a leader in O2O auto service, Tuhu is expected to surf on the growing industry tailwinds, with in-depth control over workshops, franchisee...

CMB International

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: KS200, KQ150, Yuanta Div+, LIT, HSCI, IDX, Japan Positioning

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview: Tuhu Car in the Driver's Seat; Keep Inc in the Running

Tuhu Car and Keep Inc could be added to the HSCI in December. While Keep could be added to Stock Connect in Dec, Tuhu Car will have to wait till...

Brian Freitas

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