Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Sree Capital

Sreemant Dudhoria

Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Fundamental Research on Listed Indian Companies

Sree Capital

Sree Capital is a platform to share fundamental research on listed Indian companies. We do this research for our own investment

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>EV sales rose 9% MoM in May, showing early signs of recovery post-April dip; YoY growth strong at 29%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> ’s market share slipped to 19%, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tvs-motor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16123:1" rel="noopener">TVS Motor (TVSL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3613:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN)</a> remained steady; market concentration continues.</li>
<li>Affordability challenges remain, as lower subsidies pressure entry-level demand; OEM pricing and rollout strategies in focus.</li>
</ul>


EV sales rose 9% MoM in May, showing early signs of recovery post-April dip; YoY growth strong at 29%.

Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) ’s market share slipped to 19%, while TVS Motor (TVSL IN) and Bajaj Auto Ltd (BJAUT IN) remained steady; market concentration continues.
Affordability challenges remain, as lower subsidies pressure entry-level demand; OEM pricing and rollout strategies in focus.


Bajaj, TVS Overtake Ola as EV 2W Market Consolidates

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>May’25 Wholesale Volumes: The overall domestic 2W industry witnessed a 3% marginal uptick (and 7% YoY without HMSI) in volumes led by outperformance in TVS, RE, Suzuki Motorcycles (Bajaj/ Hero grew by 2% each).</li><li>Domestic PV industry sales volumes were flat YoY. While Toyota, M&amp;M, JSW, MG, and Kia reported strong volumes, this was offset by volume declines in Hyundai, TaMo, and Maruti.</li><li>The domestic CV industry saw a degrowth of 1% YoY, while the domestic tractor industry registered 8% YoY volume growth.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

May’25 Wholesale Volumes: The overall domestic 2W industry witnessed a 3% marginal uptick (and 7% YoY without HMSI) in volumes led by outperformance in TVS, RE, Suzuki Motorcycles (Bajaj/ Hero grew by 2% each).Domestic PV industry sales volumes were flat YoY. While Toyota, M&amp;M, JSW, MG, and Kia reported strong volumes, this was offset by volume declines in Hyundai, TaMo, and Maruti.The domestic CV industry saw a degrowth of 1% YoY, while the domestic tractor industry registered 8% YoY volume growth.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul>
<li>Our selection of Indian Auto companies is based on these characteristics: value, near term growth triggers, margin of safety and management commentary post Q4FY25 Results.</li>
<li>We present our list of stocks in the BUY, SELL(short) and HOLD category in this insight.</li>
<li>We will review our note on these names post their monthly sales volume performance and outlook in medium term.</li>
</ul>


Our selection of Indian Auto companies is based on these characteristics: value, near term growth triggers, margin of safety and management commentary post Q4FY25 Results.
We present our list of stocks in the BUY, SELL(short) and HOLD category in this insight.
We will review our note on these names post their monthly sales volume performance and outlook in medium term.


Shortlist Of High Conviction Long and Short Ideas in Indian Auto:Growth Outlook & Valuation-May 2025

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>India's Electric Two-Wheeler (E2W) market is expected to surge from 5.1% penetration in FY2024 to 35-40% by FY2031, growing at a CAGR of 41-44%.</li>
<li>The E2W sector's growth is driven by government support, rising fuel costs, air pollution concerns, and a young, tech-savvy population, making it a key player in India’s sustainable mobility transition.</li>
<li>E2Ws are set to dominate India’s two-wheeler market, offering consumers cost-effective, eco-friendly alternatives, reshaping mobility and providing new investment opportunities in the automotive and energy sectors.</li>
</ul>


India's Electric Two-Wheeler (E2W) market is expected to surge from 5.1% penetration in FY2024 to 35-40% by FY2031, growing at a CAGR of 41-44%.
The E2W sector's growth is driven by government support, rising fuel costs, air pollution concerns, and a young, tech-savvy population, making it a key player in India’s sustainable mobility transition.
E2Ws are set to dominate India’s two-wheeler market, offering consumers cost-effective, eco-friendly alternatives, reshaping mobility and providing new investment opportunities in the automotive and energy sectors.


Thematic Report: Electric Two-Wheeler Market in India

<ul><li>Apr’25 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV industry sales grew by 6-7% YoY, driven by strong volumes by Toyota, M&amp;M, JSW MG and Kia, while Hyundai/TaMo witnessed declines; and Maruti saw 4% YoY growth.</li><li>The domestic CV industry saw a degrowth of 1% YoY.</li><li>The domestic tractor industry registered 7% YoY volume growth, led by 69% and 8% YoY growth in VST Tillers and M&amp;M respectively. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apr’25 Wholesale Volumes: Domestic PV industry sales grew by 6-7% YoY, driven by strong volumes by Toyota, M&amp;M, JSW MG and Kia, while Hyundai/TaMo witnessed declines; and Maruti saw 4% YoY growth.The domestic CV industry saw a degrowth of 1% YoY.The domestic tractor industry registered 7% YoY volume growth, led by 69% and 8% YoY growth in VST Tillers and M&amp;M respectively. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

TVS Motor Company is an Indian multinational manufacturer of two-wheelers and three-wheelers, including motorcycles, scooters, mopeds, and electric vehicles. The company also offers financial services, insurance, and vehicle repairs. It is headquartered in Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India, and was founded in 1978.

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TVS Motor Company (TVSL IN)

Bajaj, TVS Overtake Ola as EV 2W Market Consolidates

Indian EV industry is concerned with China’s ban on the export of high-rare-earth (HRE) magnets to Indian auto makers. Many auto OEMs including...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - May 2025

The overall domestic 2W industry witnessed a 3% marginal uptick (and 7% YoY without HMSI) in volumes led by outperformance in TVS, RE, Suzuki...

Axis Direct

Shortlist Of High Conviction Long and Short Ideas in Indian Auto:Growth Outlook & Valuation-May 2025

Highlights Indian Auto companies based on value, growth triggers and management commentary post Q4FY25 results. Stocks categorized as BUY, SELL...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Thematic Report: Electric Two-Wheeler Market in India

India's Electric Two-Wheeler market poised for explosive growth, set to dominate with eco-friendly options and new investment opportunities in...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - April 2025

Domestic PV industry sales grew by 6-7% YoY, driven by strong volumes by Toyota, M&M, JSW MG and Kia, while Hyundai/TaMo witnessed declines; and...

Axis Direct

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bajaj, TVS Overtake Ola as EV 2W Market Consolidates

Indian EV industry is concerned with China’s ban on the export of high-rare-earth (HRE) magnets to Indian auto makers. Many auto OEMs including...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - May 2025

The overall domestic 2W industry witnessed a 3% marginal uptick (and 7% YoY without HMSI) in volumes led by outperformance in TVS, RE, Suzuki...

Axis Direct

Shortlist Of High Conviction Long and Short Ideas in Indian Auto:Growth Outlook & Valuation-May 2025

​Highlights Indian Auto companies based on value, growth triggers and management commentary post Q4FY25 results. Stocks categorized as BUY, SELL...

Sreemant Dudhoria

Thematic Report: Electric Two-Wheeler Market in India

​India's Electric Two-Wheeler market poised for explosive growth, set to dominate with eco-friendly options and new investment opportunities in...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Auto Monthly Sales Volume - April 2025

Domestic PV industry sales grew by 6-7% YoY, driven by strong volumes by Toyota, M&M, JSW MG and Kia, while Hyundai/TaMo witnessed declines; and...

Axis Direct

Highlights Indian Auto companies based on value, growth triggers and management commentary post Q4FY25 results. Stocks categorized as BUY, SELL...

India's Electric Two-Wheeler market poised for explosive growth, set to dominate with eco-friendly options and new investment opportunities in...