Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>DXY strength through 1Q25 predicted with positive volatility</li><li>Dollar correlations expected to remain firm, with potential pockets of soft cross correlations</li><li>Systematic FX adoptions models highlight opportunities in FX carry via options, short volume strategy, volume reversal model, and volcurve model for 2025</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

DXY strength through 1Q25 predicted with positive volatilityDollar correlations expected to remain firm, with potential pockets of soft cross correlationsSystematic FX adoptions models highlight opportunities in FX carry via options, short volume strategy, volume reversal model, and volcurve model for 2025This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

<ul><li>Potential diversification of sovereign bond holdings away from U.S. treasuries and into other government markets, particularly in Euro area government bonds</li><li>FX hedging impacts on cross currency basis markets from hedging of dollar assets, with potential flow of reserve managers into European rates markets</li><li>Strategic bullish duration stance on German yields driven by expectations of ECB easing, lower inflation, easing of term premium, and positive carry in long duration exposures</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Potential diversification of sovereign bond holdings away from U.S. treasuries and into other government markets, particularly in Euro area government bondsFX hedging impacts on cross currency basis markets from hedging of dollar assets, with potential flow of reserve managers into European rates marketsStrategic bullish duration stance on German yields driven by expectations of ECB easing, lower inflation, easing of term premium, and positive carry in long duration exposuresThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Rates: European rates market round-up

<ul><li>Market is seeing an uptick in CNY fixing, potentially halting the DXY bear trend temporarily</li><li>Investors are focused on upcoming tariff event risk on April 2, leading to de-risking behavior</li><li>Various potential scenarios for tariff implementation and FX response, with uncertainty around delivery and impact of tariffs on different sectors and countries</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Market is seeing an uptick in CNY fixing, potentially halting the DXY bear trend temporarilyInvestors are focused on upcoming tariff event risk on April 2, leading to de-risking behaviorVarious potential scenarios for tariff implementation and FX response, with uncertainty around delivery and impact of tariffs on different sectors and countriesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: What to expect when you are expecting tariffs (again)

Podcast by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend, Macro Voices

Macro Voices

Podcast by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend

Weekly market commentary by Hedge Fund Manager Erik Townsend and interviews with the brightest minds in the world of finance and macroeconomics. Made possible by funding from Fourth Turning Capital Management, LLC

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Stock market experienced a significant decline on Monday, prompting thoughts of hedging downside risk with options back in February.</li><li>There are still strategies using options to manage risk and repair portfolios, as discussed in upcoming webinar.</li><li>Variant Perception CEO Tian Yang discusses macro environment, impact of Trump's policies, and the economy in interview with Macro Voices host Eric Townsend.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Stock market experienced a significant decline on Monday, prompting thoughts of hedging downside risk with options back in February.There are still strategies using options to manage risk and repair portfolios, as discussed in upcoming webinar.Variant Perception CEO Tian Yang discusses macro environment, impact of Trump's policies, and the economy in interview with Macro Voices host Eric Townsend.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

MacroVoices #471 Tian Yang: Tariffs Will Continue Until Morale Improves

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Oil markets in 2024 experienced slow supply and demand growth after years of high volatility</li>
<li>Heading into 2025, demand is reaccelerating faster than supply, leading to a bullish outlook</li>
<li>With low inventory levels and a modest supply deficit expected, prices are likely to gradually rise to low 80s Brent basis</li>
</ul>
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Oil markets in 2024 experienced slow supply and demand growth after years of high volatility
Heading into 2025, demand is reaccelerating faster than supply, leading to a bullish outlook
With low inventory levels and a modest supply deficit expected, prices are likely to gradually rise to low 80s Brent basis

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

MacroVoices #465 Rory Johnston: Oil Markets Under Trump 2.0

United States

The U.S. Dollar Index(USDX) indicates the general int'l value of the USD. The USDX does this by averaging the exchange rates between the USD and major world currencies. The ICE US computes this by using the rates supplied by some 500 banks. FOR REAL TIME SEE EIS ICEA<GO>.

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Dollar Index (DXY CURNCY)

Global FX Volatility Outlook 2025

The prediction for Dollar (DXY) strength through 1Q25 and positive volatility is influenced by factors such as President Trump's policies, the...

At Any Rate

Global Rates: European rates market round-up

Discussion on potential diversification of sovereign bond holdings, FX hedging impacts, Europe's benefit from de-dollarization, and strategic...

At Any Rate

Global FX: What to expect when you are expecting tariffs (again)

Market participants are closely watching the impact of CNY fixing, de-risking ahead of tariff events, and the uncertain response of FX to potential...

At Any Rate

MacroVoices #471 Tian Yang: Tariffs Will Continue Until Morale Improves

The article discusses the importance of hedging downside equity market risk with options, the recent market movements, key economic indicators to...

Macro Voices

MacroVoices #465 Rory Johnston: Oil Markets Under Trump 2.0

Patrick Ceresna emphasizes the importance of heavy blend stock for refining U.S. shale oil as the S&P 500, US dollar index, and various commodity...

Macro Voices

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