Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the EURO STOXX 50, as discussed April 18</li>
<li>Discussed last Thursday(4/18/24) how further downside may be limited with these indexes 4-5% off their highs, combined with ACWI-US testing gap support ($105) and the EURO STOXX50 testing 6-month uptrend. </li>
<li>So far, these supports have held strong, and Japan's TOPIX has also held strong above 2615 support -- with all producing strong bounces far this week.</li>
</ul>


We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the EURO STOXX 50, as discussed April 18
Discussed last Thursday(4/18/24) how further downside may be limited with these indexes 4-5% off their highs, combined with ACWI-US testing gap support ($105) and the EURO STOXX50 testing 6-month uptrend. 
So far, these supports have held strong, and Japan's TOPIX has also held strong above 2615 support -- with all producing strong bounces far this week.


Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Supports Holding on MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, and EM

Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway, Odd Lots

Odd Lots

Podcast by Joe Weisenthal & Tracy Alloway

Bloomberg's Joe Weisenthal and Tracy Alloway explore the most interesting topics in finance, markets and economics. Join the conversation every Monday and Thursday.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Inflation data has been hotter than expected, remaining stubbornly above 3%</li><li>Demand in the economy has been robust, with strong retail sales and job reports</li><li>Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin discusses potential factors influencing inflation and the need for offsetting housing strength in the economy</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Inflation data has been hotter than expected, remaining stubbornly above 3%Demand in the economy has been robust, with strong retail sales and job reportsRichmond Fed President Tom Barkin discusses potential factors influencing inflation and the need for offsetting housing strength in the economyThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin On Getting Inflation Under Control

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

<ul><li>Tax receipts post-tax day are tracking about 15% above last year's pace, below 2022 levels.</li><li>Increase in electronic filings leads to quicker processing of tax receipts.</li><li>TGA balances have increased by $250 billion to $930 billion, in line with 2022 trends.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Tax receipts post-tax day are tracking about 15% above last year's pace, below 2022 levels.Increase in electronic filings leads to quicker processing of tax receipts.TGA balances have increased by $250 billion to $930 billion, in line with 2022 trends.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

US Rates: Tax Season, Debt Ceiling, and Reserves

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ChartSmarter

Douglas Busch

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst

ChartSmarter

ChartSmarter is a service dedicated to the art of technical analysis.

On a daily basis we write up actionable ideas on a specific, major S&P sector on both the long and short side, in an easy yet thorough way. In the notes we give precise entries and exits, while looking to capture the "meat" of a trend.

Technical Analysis.

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P 500 looks vulnerable. Maintain large cash positions for forseeable future.</li>
<li>US Dollar bull flagging and may put pressure on equities in near term.</li>
<li>Nikkei at inflection point. Bulls must stand up here to defend.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P 500 looks vulnerable. Maintain large cash positions for forseeable future.
US Dollar bull flagging and may put pressure on equities in near term.
Nikkei at inflection point. Bulls must stand up here to defend.


Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Macro is truly back with central banks and pricing of policy rates back on the top priority list amongst traders and investors.</li><li>Powell’s remarks from yesterday confirmed fears of the Fed deviating from their promised rate cuts back in December, and the question will now be, whether they will cut rates at all.</li><li>A pivot from a pivot is tough, but it might be exactly what’s going to happen.</li></ul>

Macro is truly back with central banks and pricing of policy rates back on the top priority list amongst traders and investors.Powell’s remarks from yesterday confirmed fears of the Fed deviating from their promised rate cuts back in December, and the question will now be, whether they will cut rates at all.A pivot from a pivot is tough, but it might be exactly what’s going to happen.

5 Things We Watch – Rates Pricing, Bond Positioning, Equities Setback, USD Wrecking Ball...

United States

The U.S. Dollar Index(USDX) indicates the general int'l value of the USD. The USDX does this by averaging the exchange rates between the USD and major world currencies. The ICE US computes this by using the rates supplied by some 500 banks. FOR REAL TIME SEE EIS ICEA<GO>.

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Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Supports Holding on MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, and EM

Upgrading Europe to Overweight EURO $STOXX 50 $FEZ; Supports Holding on MSCI $ACWI, $ACWX, $EFA, and $EEM. Latest 4-6% pullback remains healthy...

Vermilion Research

Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin On Getting Inflation Under Control

Flexible financing program at Netsuite.com, special Odd Lots podcast episode with Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin discussing robust demand and...

Odd Lots

US Rates: Tax Season, Debt Ceiling, and Reserves

Despite a significant amount of treasury coupons settling, funding volumes remained stable, tax receipts are tracking above last year's pace, and T...

At Any Rate

Silver Measured Move to 35.50

Gold looks a bit fatigued and silver likely to play catch up. Greenback could present headwinds for equities. Japan reverses big gains in 2024.

Douglas Busch

5 Things We Watch – Rates Pricing, Bond Positioning, Equities Setback, USD Wrecking Ball...

Macro is truly back with central banks and pricing of policy rates back on the top priority list amongst traders and investors. Powell’s remarks...

Steno Research

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