Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms, Mint Finance

Pranay Yadav

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>US CPI remains well above Fed’s 2% target range. Rising gasoline and shelter costs will push March CPI number upwards.</li>
<li>Consensus is for March CPI to print at 3.4% YoY in March from 3.2% in Feb. Core CPI is expected to clock 3.7% YoY. </li>
<li>Rising CPI will dent the likelihood of rate cut in the near term. Fed has reiterated its data dependence. Hot CPI data will vindicate Fed’s hawkish stance.</li>
</ul>


US CPI remains well above Fed’s 2% target range. Rising gasoline and shelter costs will push March CPI number upwards.
Consensus is for March CPI to print at 3.4% YoY in March from 3.2% in Feb. Core CPI is expected to clock 3.7% YoY. 
Rising CPI will dent the likelihood of rate cut in the near term. Fed has reiterated its data dependence. Hot CPI data will vindicate Fed’s hawkish stance.


[US CPI Preview] Rising Gasoline Prices & Shelter Costs to Result in Hot US Inflation

Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Solid PMI numbers out of China supporting the reflation story</li><li>Steel Production looks ok. There is still potential for the USD to throw a wrench in the works</li><li>This week we’ll pick up where we left off last week and continue to talk about China as we have had a surprise in PMI numbers.</li></ul>

Solid PMI numbers out of China supporting the reflation storySteel Production looks ok. There is still potential for the USD to throw a wrench in the worksThis week we’ll pick up where we left off last week and continue to talk about China as we have had a surprise in PMI numbers.

Energy Cable #63: It is still all eyes on China

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook initiated on November 7, 2023 remains intact; this intermediate-to-long-term outlook is likely to stay in place as long as 4800 support holds on the SPX (7-10% downside).</li>
<li>To be clear, we aren't calling for a pullback to 4800; we view it as a worst-case scenario for the S&amp;P 500, and we want to be prepared for anything.</li>
<li>Shorter-Term, we remain bullish on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) as they both refuse to close below their 20-day MAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days.</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook initiated on November 7, 2023 remains intact; this intermediate-to-long-term outlook is likely to stay in place as long as 4800 support holds on the SPX (7-10% downside).
To be clear, we aren't calling for a pullback to 4800; we view it as a worst-case scenario for the S&amp;P 500, and we want to be prepared for anything.
Shorter-Term, we remain bullish on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) as they both refuse to close below their 20-day MAs for more than 2-3 consecutive days.


Downgrading Real Estate to Underweight; Bullish Outlook Intact; Broadening Participation

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

<ul>
<li>Switzerland sparks the start of a global wave of monetary policy easing. And it’s only March!</li>
<li>Why are central banks already contemplating rate cuts when inflation levels are significantly above target, and the global economy is at full employment?</li>
<li>I explain why investors should pay more attention to the MOVE Index and less to the VIX Index. It comes down to the answer to the question above.</li>
</ul>


Switzerland sparks the start of a global wave of monetary policy easing. And it’s only March!
Why are central banks already contemplating rate cuts when inflation levels are significantly above target, and the global economy is at full employment?
I explain why investors should pay more attention to the MOVE Index and less to the VIX Index. It comes down to the answer to the question above.


The Weekly Market Monitor – Global Monetary Policy Easing Has Begun!

<ul><li>Last week we wrote about the price action in commodities and the week ended in some strong gains across the space.</li><li>Our portfolio remains tilted strongly towards cyclical / inflationary bets such as materials and crude.</li><li>For the whole portfolio click here: Steno Research Portfolio.</li></ul>

Last week we wrote about the price action in commodities and the week ended in some strong gains across the space.Our portfolio remains tilted strongly towards cyclical / inflationary bets such as materials and crude.For the whole portfolio click here: Steno Research Portfolio.

Energy Cable #61: Commodities are breaking out #2!

United States

The U.S. Dollar Index(USDX) indicates the general int'l value of the USD. The USDX does this by averaging the exchange rates between the USD and  major world currencies.  The ICE US computes this by using the rates supplied by some 500 banks. FOR REAL TIME SEE EIS ICEA<GO>. 

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Dollar Index (DXY CURNCY)

[US CPI Preview] Rising Gasoline Prices & Shelter Costs to Result in Hot US Inflation

Rising gasoline and shelter costs expected to push March CPI numbers higher, reducing the likelihood of a rate cut in the near term and supporting...

Mint Finance

Energy Cable #63: It is still all eyes on China

Solid PMI numbers out of China supporting the reflation story. Steel Production looks ok. There is still potential for the USD to throw a wrench in...

Steno Research

Downgrading Real Estate to Underweight; Bullish Outlook Intact; Broadening Participation

Downgrading Real Estate to Underweight; Bullish Outlook Intact on $SPX $QQQ $NDX $IWM $RTY $IJH $MDY $VXF; Broadening Participation (NYSE Net New...

Vermilion Research

The Weekly Market Monitor – Global Monetary Policy Easing Has Begun!

Start your week in financial markets with last week's biggest charts and stories! Start ahead and read the Weekly Market Monitor!

Jeroen Blokland

Energy Cable #61: Commodities are breaking out #2!

Last week we wrote about the price action in commodities and the week ended in some strong gains across the space. Our portfolio remains tilted...

Steno Research

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