Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Global macro never sleeps, and this week is no exception with ongoing turmoil at the BOJ amidst their decision to change the YCC policy.</li><li>As always, we have collected 5 of the things we find to be the most important to watch in the current landscape.</li><li>YCC flexibility from the BOJ and more JPY weakness to come?</li></ul>

Global macro never sleeps, and this week is no exception with ongoing turmoil at the BOJ amidst their decision to change the YCC policy.As always, we have collected 5 of the things we find to be the most important to watch in the current landscape.YCC flexibility from the BOJ and more JPY weakness to come?

5 Things We Watch – BOJ, JPY, Treasury, Equities & Portfolio

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Hello everyone, and welcome to a shorter piece on where to find fundamental value in the current FX environment.</li><li>We’ll take a trip back to the theory books and use some of the good old correlations and fundamental value metrics to give some insights on the best FX bets now that the tightening cycle is likely soon coming to an end.</li><li>Read along, as we run through the most important pairs below.</li></ul>

Hello everyone, and welcome to a shorter piece on where to find fundamental value in the current FX environment.We’ll take a trip back to the theory books and use some of the good old correlations and fundamental value metrics to give some insights on the best FX bets now that the tightening cycle is likely soon coming to an end.Read along, as we run through the most important pairs below.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The quarterly refunding report from the US Treasury was far from the issuance-bazooka that some had expected.</li><li>There was no move in the target for the Treasury General Account either as we had expected, but it is not a reason to celebrate for bond bulls anyway.</li><li>Let’s have a look at the details and the consequences for USD liquidity.</li></ul>

The quarterly refunding report from the US Treasury was far from the issuance-bazooka that some had expected.There was no move in the target for the Treasury General Account either as we had expected, but it is not a reason to celebrate for bond bulls anyway.Let’s have a look at the details and the consequences for USD liquidity.

Liquidity & Treasury Watch: The Ramifications of the Quarterly Refunding Report

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The USD is trading mostly lower against its major peers to start a busy week—one which contains month-end, the FOMC, BoE and BoJ decisions, and US jobs data on Friday.</li><li>A widening ground offensive in Gaza has not unsettled markets to any obvious extent; crude prices have slipped back from Friday’s advance and stocks are generally firmer.</li><li>Bonds are mixed; European yields are slightly lower while Treasury yields are a firmer but holding within Friday’s range. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The USD is trading mostly lower against its major peers to start a busy week—one which contains month-end, the FOMC, BoE and BoJ decisions, and US jobs data on Friday.A widening ground offensive in Gaza has not unsettled markets to any obvious extent; crude prices have slipped back from Friday’s advance and stocks are generally firmer.Bonds are mixed; European yields are slightly lower while Treasury yields are a firmer but holding within Friday’s range. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

<ul><li>Post the ECB’s decision to maintain interest rates at 4%, signalling a halt following a string of ten successive interest rate hikes, the market’s focus will now shift to this week’s FOMC meeting, with the expectation of a similar outcome.</li><li>Lower liquidity will hasten a higher BI rate policy, with SRBI indicating a higher yield.</li><li>Fiscal stimulus will be enough to compensate for the impact of BI’s 25 bps rate hike, and fiscal acceleration in 4Q will be seen as a panacea for liquidity.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Post the ECB’s decision to maintain interest rates at 4%, signalling a halt following a string of ten successive interest rate hikes, the market’s focus will now shift to this week’s FOMC meeting, with the expectation of a similar outcome.Lower liquidity will hasten a higher BI rate policy, with SRBI indicating a higher yield.Fiscal stimulus will be enough to compensate for the impact of BI’s 25 bps rate hike, and fiscal acceleration in 4Q will be seen as a panacea for liquidity.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

United States

The U.S. Dollar Index(USDX) indicates the general int'l value of the USD. The USDX does this by averaging the exchange rates between the USD and major world currencies. The ICE US computes this by using the rates supplied by some 500 banks. FOR REAL TIME SEE EIS ICEA<GO>.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Dollar Index (DXY CURNCY)

5 Things We Watch – BOJ, JPY, Treasury, Equities & Portfolio

Global macro never sleeps, and this week is no exception with ongoing turmoil at the BOJ amidst their decision to change the YCC policy. As...

Steno Research

FX Watch – Exploring FX Fundamentals

We’ll take a trip back to the theory books and use some of the good old correlations and fundamental value metrics to give some insights on the...

Steno Research

Liquidity & Treasury Watch: The Ramifications of the Quarterly Refunding Report

There was no move in the target for the Treasury General Account either as expected, but it is not a reason to celebrate for bond bulls. Let’s look...

Steno Research

FX Daily - USD Drifts on Market Calm

The USD is trading mostly lower against its major peers to start a busy week—one which contains month-end, the FOMC, BoE and BoJ decisions, and US...

Scotiabank

Macro Strategy: Liquidity Impetus

Fiscal stimulus will be enough to compensate for the impact of BI’s 25 bps rate hike, and fiscal acceleration in 4Q will be seen as a panacea for...

BRI Danareksa Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)