Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Max Healthcare Institute / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 in the September 2025 rebal.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices during the September 2025 index rebal event.
We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100 in the September 2025 rebal.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expected ADDs/DELs; New Pair Trade Ideas

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The Indian PSU banking (PSB) sector, once considered structurally broken, is experiencing early signs of a secular turnaround, buttressed by a combination of governance reforms (balance sheet repair and recapitalization), modernized digital stack, and a gradual turnaround in the quality and sustainability of earnings</li><li>This is beginning to reflect in PSBs finally stabilizing their loan market share (+52bps market share gains during FY25), enhancing the quality of their customer franchise and service standards, and improving their return ratios</li><li>Despite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earnings</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The Indian PSU banking (PSB) sector, once considered structurally broken, is experiencing early signs of a secular turnaround, buttressed by a combination of governance reforms (balance sheet repair and recapitalization), modernized digital stack, and a gradual turnaround in the quality and sustainability of earningsThis is beginning to reflect in PSBs finally stabilizing their loan market share (+52bps market share gains during FY25), enhancing the quality of their customer franchise and service standards, and improving their return ratiosDespite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earningsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Public Sector Banks: Repair, Reform, Reset

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Six pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors persist. Two </li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlight: Six pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors persist. Two 

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Roundup: Performance Recap of Pair Trades in Asia-Pacific

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlight: Two pair trade opportunities in the Indian financial sector persist, with price ratios exceeding two standard deviations from their historical means.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlight: Two pair trade opportunities in the Indian financial sector persist, with price ratios exceeding two standard deviations from their historical means.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Roundup: Performance Recap of Financial Pair Trades

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

<ul>
<li>Our proprietary scorecard applies a series of metrics related to valuation, returns, capital adequacy, funding, liquidity and credit quality to generate rankings in an investment valuation scorecard</li>
<li>Driven by the scorecard results, we keep Baroda on the buy list adding Canara and UBI, with the latter two replacing Bandhan and PNB previously on the buy list</li>
<li>We remove Kotak Mahindra from the sell list; IndusInd ranks bottom on the scorecard, but we feel that a lot of bad news is now discounted, limiting further downside risk</li>
</ul>


Our proprietary scorecard applies a series of metrics related to valuation, returns, capital adequacy, funding, liquidity and credit quality to generate rankings in an investment valuation scorecard
Driven by the scorecard results, we keep Baroda on the buy list adding Canara and UBI, with the latter two replacing Bandhan and PNB previously on the buy list
We remove Kotak Mahindra from the sell list; IndusInd ranks bottom on the scorecard, but we feel that a lot of bad news is now discounted, limiting further downside risk


Indian Banks: Adding Canara and UBI to the Buy List, Dropping Bandhan and PNB

India

Union Bank of India Limited provides a full range of banking services throughout India. The Company's activities include retail banking, commercial and personal banking, investment management, treasury and NRI services, cash management and assorted ATM facilities. Union Bank has an online tele-banking facility for all its core banking customers.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Union Bank Of India (UNBK IN)

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expected ADDs/DELs; New Pair Trade Ideas

There are multiple changes to our expected ADDs and expected DELs lists for NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 since the last time we published an insight...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Public Sector Banks: Repair, Reform, Reset

Despite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earnings

HDFC Securities

Relative Value Roundup: Performance Recap of Pair Trades in Asia-Pacific

Statistical methodology identifies pair trade opportunities in various markets and sectors, offering unique insights and pair trade inspiration...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Roundup: Performance Recap of Financial Pair Trades

A collection of relative value opportunities uncovered by a mean-reversion methodology, offering unique insights for potential gains in the Indian...

Gaudenz Schneider

Indian Banks: Adding Canara and UBI to the Buy List, Dropping Bandhan and PNB

Our proprietary scorecard places Baroda, Canara, and UBI on the buy list, replacing Bandhan and UBI; Kotak Mahindra is no longer on the sell list....

Victor Galliano

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expected ADDs/DELs; New Pair Trade Ideas

There are multiple changes to our expected ADDs and expected DELs lists for NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 since the last time we published an insight...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Public Sector Banks: Repair, Reform, Reset

Despite improving profitability (FY25 RoAs approaching 1%), investors remain skeptical of the sustainability of these earnings

HDFC Securities

Relative Value Roundup: Performance Recap of Pair Trades in Asia-Pacific

​Statistical methodology identifies pair trade opportunities in various markets and sectors, offering unique insights and pair trade inspiration...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Roundup: Performance Recap of Financial Pair Trades

A collection of relative value opportunities uncovered by a mean-reversion methodology, offering unique insights for potential gains in the Indian...

Gaudenz Schneider

Indian Banks: Adding Canara and UBI to the Buy List, Dropping Bandhan and PNB

​Our proprietary scorecard places Baroda, Canara, and UBI on the buy list, replacing Bandhan and UBI; Kotak Mahindra is no longer on the sell list....

Victor Galliano

Statistical methodology identifies pair trade opportunities in various markets and sectors, offering unique insights and pair trade inspiration...

Our proprietary scorecard places Baroda, Canara, and UBI on the buy list, replacing Bandhan and UBI; Kotak Mahindra is no longer on the sell list....