Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allied-blenders-distillers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36090:1" rel="noopener">Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers</a>' recent IPO spotlighted India's alcoholic beverage sector, which bucks global trends with strong volume and value growth.</li>
<li>India is the third largest alcoholic beverage market globally, and the second largest for spirits. It is projected to grow at a CAGR of more than 10% over the near-term.</li>
<li>Incumbent players in this highly regulated sector can benefit from strong market moats and evolving growth opportunities if they can effectively navigate the highly regulated business  environment.</li>
</ul>



Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers' recent IPO spotlighted India's alcoholic beverage sector, which bucks global trends with strong volume and value growth.
India is the third largest alcoholic beverage market globally, and the second largest for spirits. It is projected to grow at a CAGR of more than 10% over the near-term.
Incumbent players in this highly regulated sector can benefit from strong market moats and evolving growth opportunities if they can effectively navigate the highly regulated business  environment.


India Alcoholic Beverages: Growing in Pints And Quarts. IPO Adds a Valuation Kick

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Allied Blenders & Distillers / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allied-blenders-distillers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36090:1" rel="noopener">Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we talked about various aspects of the company. In this note, we talk about its RHP updates and our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.
ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.
In our previous notes, we talked about various aspects of the company. In this note, we talk about its RHP updates and our thoughts on valuation.


Allied Blenders and Distillers - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>UNSP 4QFY24 print was broadly in line with our estimates, however, volume growth in the regular segment surprised us positively</li><li>Volume growth in the Prestige and above segment remained in the low single digits for the third consecutive quarter, management attributed the below-par performance to an unfavourable base and economic slowdown</li><li>UNSP is targeting low teen revenue growth in the P&amp;A segment in FY25, with a mix of 40/60% skewed towards volume/price respectively</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

UNSP 4QFY24 print was broadly in line with our estimates, however, volume growth in the regular segment surprised us positivelyVolume growth in the Prestige and above segment remained in the low single digits for the third consecutive quarter, management attributed the below-par performance to an unfavourable base and economic slowdownUNSP is targeting low teen revenue growth in the P&amp;A segment in FY25, with a mix of 40/60% skewed towards volume/price respectivelyContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

United Spirits (4QFY24): Moderating Growth Outlook. Maintain ADD

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allied-blenders-distillers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36090:1" rel="noopener">Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.  </li>
<li>ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide a summary of its refiling updates, undertake a quick peer comparison and share our initial thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Allied Blenders &amp; Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO.  
ABD is the largest Indian-owned Indian-made foreign liquor (IMFL) company and the third largest IMFL company in India, in terms of annual sales volumes between FY14 and FY22.
In this note, we provide a summary of its refiling updates, undertake a quick peer comparison and share our initial thoughts on valuation.


Allied Blenders and Distillers Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates and Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Demand environment continues to remain challenging: FMCG demand sentiment has stayed consistent during the quarter, largely mirroring trends seen in Q3FY24</li><li>While urban markets continue to outgrow rural markets, price rollbacks on softening commodity inflation have aided the narrowing of the gap</li><li>Nonetheless, we expect a gradual recovery in CY2024, led by (1) moderating inflation, (2) government spending, (3) a positive outlook for rabi crop harvest, (4) conducive consumer pricing across categories, and (5) expectation of normal monsoon</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand environment continues to remain challenging: FMCG demand sentiment has stayed consistent during the quarter, largely mirroring trends seen in Q3FY24While urban markets continue to outgrow rural markets, price rollbacks on softening commodity inflation have aided the narrowing of the gapNonetheless, we expect a gradual recovery in CY2024, led by (1) moderating inflation, (2) government spending, (3) a positive outlook for rabi crop harvest, (4) conducive consumer pricing across categories, and (5) expectation of normal monsoonContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FMCG, Alco Bev & QSR (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Challenging demand environment

India

United Spirits Ltd. manufactures and distributes alcoholic beverages. The Company provides a variety of alcohols and spirits, including whiskey, brandy, and rum. United Spirits also manufactures indian-made foreign liquor brands. United Spirits serves customers worldwide.

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United Spirits (UNITDSPR IN)

India Alcoholic Beverages: Growing in Pints And Quarts. IPO Adds a Valuation Kick

India's alcoholic beverage sector has delivered strong volume and value growth as well as attractive shareholder returns. Know the fundamentals and...

Devi Subhakesan

Allied Blenders and Distillers - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

Allied Blenders & Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about its RHP updates...

Ethan Aw

United Spirits (4QFY24): Moderating Growth Outlook. Maintain ADD

UNSP 4QFY24 print was broadly in line with our estimates, however, volume growth in the regular segment surprised us positively

HDFC Securities

Allied Blenders and Distillers Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates and Initial Thoughts on Valuation

Allied Blenders & Distillers (9844250Z IN) is looking to raise about US$180m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we share our initial thoughts...

Ethan Aw

FMCG, Alco Bev & QSR (Q4FY24 Results Preview): Challenging demand environment

Demand environment continues to remain challenging: FMCG demand sentiment has stayed consistent during the quarter, largely mirroring trends seen...

HDFC Securities

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