Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Happy Sunday from Sunny Copenhagen and welcome to our flagship editorial! Is the business cycle dead?</li><li>It is a fair question to ask after what seems like years of recession chasing once again ending in tears for the macro bears.</li><li>This sublime graphic created by the great Lee Coppock is exceptionally telling.</li></ul>

Happy Sunday from Sunny Copenhagen and welcome to our flagship editorial! Is the business cycle dead?It is a fair question to ask after what seems like years of recession chasing once again ending in tears for the macro bears.This sublime graphic created by the great Lee Coppock is exceptionally telling.

Steno Signals #91 – No more recessions ever!?

<ul>
<li>Welcome to our flagship editorial! Is it the year 2021, 2007 or 1995?</li>
<li>These historical analogies are often used in sell-side reports, and we are going to jump the bandwagon with a few semi-fishy analogies today.</li>
<li>I do get some vibes that are reminiscent of melt-up years ahead of crisis years.</li>
</ul>


Welcome to our flagship editorial! Is it the year 2021, 2007 or 1995?
These historical analogies are often used in sell-side reports, and we are going to jump the bandwagon with a few semi-fishy analogies today.
I do get some vibes that are reminiscent of melt-up years ahead of crisis years.


Steno Signals #90 – More Liquidity to the Most Hated Rally in Recent History

Elias Lisberg Glistrup

<ul><li>Greetings and welcome to this month’s Macro Regime Indicator.</li><li>Financial markets have behaved pretty much just as we laid out in last month’s predictions.</li><li>Sentiment remains strong and the US consumer continues to spend.</li></ul>

Greetings and welcome to this month’s Macro Regime Indicator.Financial markets have behaved pretty much just as we laid out in last month’s predictions.Sentiment remains strong and the US consumer continues to spend.

Macro Regime Indicator: MORE liquidity is coming

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The number of risk-on signals continues to grow, while risk-off signals remain virtually non-existent. We will be sure to point it out when this dynamic starts to change</li>
<li>In the meantime, we want to continue riding this bull market higher, and our bullish outlook on the S&amp;P 500, Russell 2000, and Nasdaq 100 (since early-November 2023) remains intact.</li>
<li>Gold is breaking out of a 3.5-year base to all-time closing highs -- buy. Silver is breaking out above a 3-month base at $23.50. Fueled by toppy DXY and rates</li>
</ul>


The number of risk-on signals continues to grow, while risk-off signals remain virtually non-existent. We will be sure to point it out when this dynamic starts to change
In the meantime, we want to continue riding this bull market higher, and our bullish outlook on the S&amp;P 500, Russell 2000, and Nasdaq 100 (since early-November 2023) remains intact.
Gold is breaking out of a 3.5-year base to all-time closing highs -- buy. Silver is breaking out above a 3-month base at $23.50. Fueled by toppy DXY and rates


Gold Breaking Out Above 3.5-Year Resistance as the U.S. Dollar (DXY) And Treasury Yields Roll Over

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

<ul>
<li>Understanding the ISM Manufacturing Index has been a tricky affair in recent months. Based on regional PMI data, the ISM (48.7) was anticipated to breach the 50 mark (50.7).</li>
<li>The gap between the current 10-year US Treasury yield and the ISM Manufacturing Index is huge!</li>
<li>In addition, the latest ISM numbers suggest a 26% downside for the S&amp;P 500 Index. Yikes!</li>
</ul>


Understanding the ISM Manufacturing Index has been a tricky affair in recent months. Based on regional PMI data, the ISM (48.7) was anticipated to breach the 50 mark (50.7).
The gap between the current 10-year US Treasury yield and the ISM Manufacturing Index is huge!
In addition, the latest ISM numbers suggest a 26% downside for the S&amp;P 500 Index. Yikes!


ISM Manufacturing – the Ugliest Macro Indicator for Stocks!

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

US Treasury (10 Yr Generic) (GT10 GOVT)

Steno Signals #91 – No more recessions ever!?

Happy Sunday from Sunny Copenhagen and welcome to our flagship editorial! Is the business cycle dead? It is a fair question to ask after what...

Steno Research

Steno Signals #90 – More Liquidity to the Most Hated Rally in Recent History

Welcome to our flagship editorial! Is it the year 2021, 2007 or 1995? These historical analogies are often used in sell-side...

Steno Research

Macro Regime Indicator: MORE liquidity is coming

Greetings and welcome to this month’s Macro Regime Indicator. Financial markets have behaved pretty much just as we laid out in last month’s...

Steno Research

Gold Breaking Out Above 3.5-Year Resistance as the U.S. Dollar (DXY) And Treasury Yields Roll Over

Gold $GLD $GC_F Breaking Out Above 3.5-Year Resistance as $DXY and Treasury Yields Roll Over $TNX $TYX; Seeing More Risk-On Signals, Not Less....

Vermilion Research

ISM Manufacturing – the Ugliest Macro Indicator for Stocks!

Even though some structural changes can explain part of the lackluster performance of the ISM Manufacturing Index, 26% potential downside should be...

Jeroen Blokland

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)