IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> priced its IPO at JPY1,840 per share to raise secondary proceeds of US$723 million. The shares will start trading on 25 October.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kokusai-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:113787" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kokusai-electric-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:114152" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kokusai-electric-ipo-lower-price-range-is-reasonable" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:114886" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric IPO: Lower Price Range Is Reasonable</a>.</li>
<li>The peers have modestly derated since the lowered IPO price range was announced on 10 October. However, the IPO price remains attractive. Our DCF valuation is JPY2,058. </li>
</ul>



Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) priced its IPO at JPY1,840 per share to raise secondary proceeds of US$723 million. The shares will start trading on 25 October.
We previously discussed the IPO in Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bull Case, Kokusai Electric IPO: The Bear Case and Kokusai Electric IPO: Lower Price Range Is Reasonable.
The peers have modestly derated since the lowered IPO price range was announced on 10 October. However, the IPO price remains attractive. Our DCF valuation is JPY2,058. 


Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visional-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32977:1" rel="noopener">Visional (4194 JP)</a>'s 4QFY07/23 revenue missed consensus by 0.2% despite revenues increasing 22.1% YoY to 14.73bn. Operating profit beat consensus by a huge margin of 21%.</li>
<li>Though revenue growth has slowed down, BizReach has maintained its steady performance while HRMOS continues to see strong growth with significant reduction in operating losses.</li>
<li>The company’s share price moved up by more than 5% following its earnings announcement and Visional remains our top pick in the Japanese HR space.</li>
</ul>



Visional (4194 JP)'s 4QFY07/23 revenue missed consensus by 0.2% despite revenues increasing 22.1% YoY to 14.73bn. Operating profit beat consensus by a huge margin of 21%.
Though revenue growth has slowed down, BizReach has maintained its steady performance while HRMOS continues to see strong growth with significant reduction in operating losses.
The company’s share price moved up by more than 5% following its earnings announcement and Visional remains our top pick in the Japanese HR space.


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genda-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39911:1" rel="noopener">Genda Inc (9166 JP)</a> raised around US$100m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily operating under its Genda GiGO Entertainment subsidiary.</li>
<li>In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Genda Inc (9166 JP) raised around US$100m in its Japan IPO.
Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily operating under its Genda GiGO Entertainment subsidiary.
In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Genda IPO Trading - Stronger Subscription Rates than the Recent Large JP IPO

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> priced its IPO at JPY1,200 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$339 million. The shares will start trading on 24 July.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105670" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:105712" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:106020" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tryt-ipo-revised-ipo-price-range-remains-unattractive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:106233" rel="noopener">TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive</a>. </li>
<li>The market sentiment on the sector has broadly remained unchanged since the release of the prospectus. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is, at best, fully priced at the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP) priced its IPO at JPY1,200 per share to raise gross proceeds of US$339 million. The shares will start trading on 24 July.
We previously discussed the IPO in TRYT IPO: The Bull Case, TRYT IPO: The Bear Case, TRYT IPO: Valuation Insights and TRYT IPO: Revised IPO Price Range Remains Unattractive. 
The market sentiment on the sector has broadly remained unchanged since the release of the prospectus. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is, at best, fully priced at the IPO price.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a> raised around US$344m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares.</li>
<li>Tryt Inc (Tryt) offers employee placement services and temporary staffing services for the elderly care, nursing care and childcare workers segments.</li>
<li>In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP) raised around US$344m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares.
Tryt Inc (Tryt) offers employee placement services and temporary staffing services for the elderly care, nursing care and childcare workers segments.
In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Tryt IPO Trading - Subscription Rates Mostly Outdid Recent Large Japan Deals

Japan

Visional, Inc. develops application products. The Company develops a system that promotes industrial digital transformation and other services. Visional provides its services throughout Japan.

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Visional (4194 JP)

Kokusai Electric IPO: Trading Debut

The peers have modestly derated since the lowered IPO price range was announced on 10 October. However, the IPO price remains attractive. Our DCF...

Arun George

Visional: Steady Performance

Visional's 4QFY07/23 OP beat consensus by a large margin. Unlike its counterpart Recruit whose earnings growth has declined, both BizReach and...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Genda IPO Trading - Stronger Subscription Rates than the Recent Large JP IPO

Genda Inc (9166 JP) raised around US$100m in its Japan IPO. Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan. In this note we will talk...

Clarence Chu

TRYT IPO: Trading Debut

The market sentiment on the sector has broadly remained unchanged since the release of the prospectus. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is, at best,...

Arun George

Tryt IPO Trading - Subscription Rates Mostly Outdid Recent Large Japan Deals

Tryt Inc (9164 JP) raised around US$344m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares. In this note we will talk about the trading...

Clarence Chu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Kokusai Electric IPO: Trading Debut

The peers have modestly derated since the lowered IPO price range was announced on 10 October. However, the IPO price remains attractive. Our DCF...

Arun George

Visional: Steady Performance

​Visional's 4QFY07/23 OP beat consensus by a large margin. Unlike its counterpart Recruit whose earnings growth has declined, both BizReach and...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Genda IPO Trading - Stronger Subscription Rates than the Recent Large JP IPO

Genda Inc (9166 JP) raised around US$100m in its Japan IPO. Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan. In this note we will talk...

Clarence Chu

TRYT IPO: Trading Debut

The market sentiment on the sector has broadly remained unchanged since the release of the prospectus. Our analysis suggests that Tryt is, at best,...

Arun George

Tryt IPO Trading - Subscription Rates Mostly Outdid Recent Large Japan Deals

Tryt Inc (9164 JP) raised around US$344m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares. In this note we will talk about the trading...

Clarence Chu

Visional's 4QFY07/23 OP beat consensus by a large margin. Unlike its counterpart Recruit whose earnings growth has declined, both BizReach and...