Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wan-hai-lines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14262:1" rel="noopener">Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yang-ming-marine-transport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8502:1" rel="noopener">Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT)</a> are currently in contention to be added to the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade around 0.5x ADV in the inclusions while impact on the forecast deletes is between 0.36-2.2x ADV.</li>
<li>Short interest has decreased and is near the lows for the forecast adds while short interest has been increasing in the forecast deletions.</li>
</ul>



Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT) and Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT) are currently in contention to be added to the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December.
Passive trackers will need to trade around 0.5x ADV in the inclusions while impact on the forecast deletes is between 0.36-2.2x ADV.
Short interest has decreased and is near the lows for the forecast adds while short interest has been increasing in the forecast deletions.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Shippers Sailing Back Into Indices

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Regional container carrier TS Lines debuted in HK at HK$4.18 on November 1 </li>
<li>Post-IPO, shares appear cheap, trading at 65% of fleet replacement + net cash</li>
<li>We provide updates on early trading, Q324 earnings from peers, &amp; more</li>
</ul>


Regional container carrier TS Lines debuted in HK at HK$4.18 on November 1 
Post-IPO, shares appear cheap, trading at 65% of fleet replacement + net cash
We provide updates on early trading, Q324 earnings from peers, &amp; more


TS Lines HKEX IPO: Early Trading | Valuation Vs Wan Hai & RCL | Return to TransPac May Not Work Out

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Taishin Financial, Elite Material, Nuvoton Technology, Wan Hai Lines, King Yuan Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Taishin Financial, Elite Material, Nuvoton Technology, Wan Hai Lines, King Yuan Electronics.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 1st): Taishin Financial, Elite Material, Nuvoton Technology

Equity Bottom-Up

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Maersk's Q324 results were strong, fueled almost purely by higher freight rates</li>
<li>The company's peers have been reporting similar results since early 2024</li>
<li>We continue to believe that price momentum has peaked; AVOID the carriers</li>
</ul>


Maersk's Q324 results were strong, fueled almost purely by higher freight rates
The company's peers have been reporting similar results since early 2024
We continue to believe that price momentum has peaked; AVOID the carriers


Maersk Q324 Results: Giant Dane Finally Joins the Party, But Read-Through for Industry Is Limited

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-s-lines" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39795:1" rel="noopener">T.S. Lines (TSL HK)</a> is looking to raise US$145m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>T.S. Lines (TSL) is a container shipping firm primarily operating in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region.</li>
<li>In a previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we discuss peers and share our thoughts on valuation. </li>
</ul>



T.S. Lines (TSL HK) is looking to raise US$145m in its Hong Kong IPO.
T.S. Lines (TSL) is a container shipping firm primarily operating in the Asia Pacific (APAC) region.
In a previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we discuss peers and share our thoughts on valuation. 


TS Lines IPO - Smaller than Peers, Although Valuation Seems Attractive

Taiwan

Wan Hai Lines Ltd. provides marine transportation and shipping agent services. The Company also purchases, sells, and leases vessels and containers as well as operates container freight stations.

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Wan Hai Lines (2615 TT)

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Shippers Sailing Back Into Indices

Wan Hai Lines and Yang Ming Marine could replace Alchip and Airtac. Short interest has moved lower for the adds and higher for the deletes. EPS...

Brian Freitas

TS Lines HKEX IPO: Early Trading | Valuation Vs Wan Hai & RCL | Return to TransPac May Not Work Out

In this insight we offer some quick updates on regional container carrier TS Lines, which successfully listed its shares in Hong Kong on November 1.

Tracking Traffic

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 1st): Taishin Financial, Elite Material, Nuvoton Technology

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Taishin Financial, Elite Material, Nuvoton...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Maersk Q324 Results: Giant Dane Finally Joins the Party, But Read-Through for Industry Is Limited

Maersk reported a scary-good set of quarterly results on Halloween! But many of its peers have been enjoying similar price-driven improvements in...

Tracking Traffic

TS Lines IPO - Smaller than Peers, Although Valuation Seems Attractive

T.S. Lines (TSL HK) is looking to raise US$145m in its Hong Kong IPO. In a previous note, we looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note,...

Clarence Chu

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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