New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

Warehouse Group Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The Warehouse Group (WHS) has issued another downgrade to its FY25 EBIT guidance, expecting to be EBIT breakeven at the mid-point of its revised range, implying a significant loss in 2H25.</li><li>The consumer environment remains challenging with elevated promotional activity, and IKEA's entry will coincide with the key Christmas trading period, presenting challenges for WHS.</li><li>Despite expected EBIT losses, WHS is unlikely to breach its debt covenants and is expected to maintain a positive free cash flow in FY25.</li></ul>

The Warehouse Group (WHS) has issued another downgrade to its FY25 EBIT guidance, expecting to be EBIT breakeven at the mid-point of its revised range, implying a significant loss in 2H25.The consumer environment remains challenging with elevated promotional activity, and IKEA's entry will coincide with the key Christmas trading period, presenting challenges for WHS.Despite expected EBIT losses, WHS is unlikely to breach its debt covenants and is expected to maintain a positive free cash flow in FY25.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/talkmed-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16079:1" rel="noopener">Talkmed (TKMED SP)</a>'s Scheme and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jilin-jiutai-rural-comm-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23735:1" rel="noopener">Jilin Jiutai Rural Comm Bank (6122 HK)</a>'s Hobson's Choice</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9712:1" rel="noopener">New World Resources (NWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia (IFL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silk-logistics-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35733:1" rel="noopener">Silk Logistics (SLH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/domain-holdings-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26033:1" rel="noopener">Domain (DHG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nissin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12749:1" rel="noopener">Nissin (9066 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viol-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41010:1" rel="noopener">VIOL (335890 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Talkmed (TKMED SP)'s Scheme and Jilin Jiutai Rural Comm Bank (6122 HK)'s Hobson's Choice
Key updates/news took place on New World Resources (NWC AU), Insignia (IFL AU), Silk Logistics (SLH AU), Fengxiang (9977 HK),Domain (DHG AU), Nissin (9066 JP) and VIOL (335890 KS).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Talkmed, Jilin Jiutai Bank, Insignia, Silk Logistics, Fengxiang, Nissin, VIOL

<ul>
<li>On the 23 Dec 2024, tertiary health care provider <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/talkmed-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16079:1" rel="noopener">TalkMed (TKMED SP)</a>  <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/Press%20Release.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=828585" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an Offer, by way of a Scheme, from Tamarind Health at S$0.456/share, a 20% premium to undisturbed.  </li>
<li>Tamarind is a Singaporean-based, pan-Asian oncology-focused group. As part of the deal, Temasek-backed 65 Equity Partners will subscribe for new shares in Tamarind.</li>
<li>
The Composite Document is now <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/TalkMed%20-%20Composite%20Document.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=850261" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a Court Meeting on the 15th July, and expected payment around the 29th August. The IFA (KPMG) says "fair &amp; reasonable". </li>
</ul>


On the 23 Dec 2024, tertiary health care provider TalkMed (TKMED SP)  announced an Offer, by way of a Scheme, from Tamarind Health at S$0.456/share, a 20% premium to undisturbed.  
Tamarind is a Singaporean-based, pan-Asian oncology-focused group. As part of the deal, Temasek-backed 65 Equity Partners will subscribe for new shares in Tamarind.

The Composite Document is now out, with a Court Meeting on the 15th July, and expected payment around the 29th August. The IFA (KPMG) says "fair &amp; reasonable". 


<ul>
<li>I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/humm-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35366:1" rel="noopener">Humm Group (HUM AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/viol-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41010:1" rel="noopener">VIOL (335890 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos (STO AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet (PBH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9712:1" rel="noopener">New World Resources (NWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/smartpay-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45153:1" rel="noopener">SmartPay (SMP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dickson-concepts-intl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5052:1" rel="noopener">Dickson Concepts (113 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener"></a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 43 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Humm Group (HUM AU) and VIOL (335890 KS).
Key updates/news took place onSantos (STO AU), PointsBet (PBH AU), New World Resources (NWC AU), SmartPay (SMP AU), Dickson Concepts (113 HK), and SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Santos, PointsBet, New World Resources, SmartPay, SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Humm

<ul>
<li>In December 2021, buy-now, pay-later outfit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/humm-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35366:1" rel="noopener">humm (HUM AU)</a> announced approaches from third parties to acquire all/part of the company. This was discussed in<a href="https://skr.ma/CkbrE" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> BNPL Play Hummgroup Fields Proposals</a>. </li>
<li>Six months later, a proposed sale of Humm Consumer Finance business to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/latitude-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26740:1" rel="noopener">Latitude (LFS AU)</a> was terminated, before the scheduled vote, due to opposition from founder/chairman Andrew Abercrombie. </li>
<li>Now the Abercrombie Group (TAG), the family office of Andrew Abercrombie, has tabled a A$0.58/share non-binding Offer, in cash, by way of a Scheme. Abercrombie hold 26.6%.</li>
</ul>


In December 2021, buy-now, pay-later outfit humm (HUM AU) announced approaches from third parties to acquire all/part of the company. This was discussed in BNPL Play Hummgroup Fields Proposals. 
Six months later, a proposed sale of Humm Consumer Finance business to Latitude (LFS AU) was terminated, before the scheduled vote, due to opposition from founder/chairman Andrew Abercrombie. 
Now the Abercrombie Group (TAG), the family office of Andrew Abercrombie, has tabled a A$0.58/share non-binding Offer, in cash, by way of a Scheme. Abercrombie hold 26.6%.


New Zealand

The Warehouse Group Limited operates general merchandise and stationery supply retail stores throughout New Zealand.

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Warehouse Group Limited (WHS NZ)

The Warehouse Group A Year in the Red

The Warehouse Group (WHS) has issued another downgrade to its FY25 EBIT guidance, expecting to be EBIT breakeven at the mid-point of its revised...

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This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

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Humm Group (HUM AU): Chairman's NBIO

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