HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We expect more supportive measures to be rolled out on hydrogen energy development in 2022, and the recently announced MIIT Plan already showed an escalation of its industrial use. </li>
<li>Hydrogen may potentially account for 5% of final energy consumption in 2030 and 20% in 2060. Industrial use may represent 60% of total, driving tremendous opportunities for the players.</li>
<li>We think <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">Cimc Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weichai-power-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12508:1" rel="noopener">Weichai Power Co Ltd H (2338 HK)</a> are the prime beneficiaries and they have made good progress lately.</li>
</ul>


We expect more supportive measures to be rolled out on hydrogen energy development in 2022, and the recently announced MIIT Plan already showed an escalation of its industrial use. 
Hydrogen may potentially account for 5% of final energy consumption in 2030 and 20% in 2060. Industrial use may represent 60% of total, driving tremendous opportunities for the players.
We think Dongfang Electric (1072 HK), Cimc Enric Holdings (3899 HK) and Weichai Power Co Ltd H (2338 HK) are the prime beneficiaries and they have made good progress lately.


China's Hydrogen Economy: More Excitements into 2022

China has stepped up its push for more utilisation of hydrogen energy in its efforts to achieve the target of carbon neutrality before 2060.  Various government policies have been put in place to encourage the research and use of hydrogen energy, and some sources have projected hydrogen will represent 10% of China's final energy consumed by 2050. In other words, there is huge room for the growth of China's hydrogen economy.Share prices of many hydrogen-concept stocks have rallied sharply lately. Most of them have projects in the early-stage of development and still do not derive any meaningful contribution from such hydrogen ventures. However, we looked into some interesting names which potentially to be significant players over the long term. They are: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">Cimc Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric Corporation (1072 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weichai-power-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12508:1" rel="noopener">Weichai Power Co Ltd H (2338 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongyue-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20429:1" rel="noopener">Dongyue Group (189 HK)</a>. Please follow below for details.

China has stepped up its push for more utilisation of hydrogen energy in its efforts to achieve the target of carbon neutrality before 2060.  Various government policies have been put in place to encourage the research and use of hydrogen energy, and some sources have projected hydrogen will represent 10% of China's final energy consumed by 2050. In other words, there is huge room for the growth of China's hydrogen economy.Share prices of many hydrogen-concept stocks have rallied sharply lately. Most of them have projects in the early-stage of development and still do not derive any meaningful contribution from such hydrogen ventures. However, we looked into some interesting names which potentially to be significant players over the long term. They are: Cimc Enric Holdings (3899 HK), Dongfang Electric Corporation (1072 HK), Weichai Power Co Ltd H (2338 HK) and Dongyue Group (189 HK). Please follow below for details.  

China's Hydrogen Economy: Some HK-Listed Names to Watch

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 190 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.5% as of Jul 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, communication services and offset by utilities, health care, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 190 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 85.5% as of Jul 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by 0.3ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, information technology, communication services and offset by utilities, health care, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 10th): Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 3rd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Hua Hong Semi, Alibaba, Ntes, Kingboard, Midea, Meituan, Biren Tech.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 3rd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Hua Hong Semi, Alibaba, Ntes, Kingboard, Midea, Meituan, Biren Tech.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Hua Hong Semi, Alibaba, Ntes, Kingboard

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Investor sentiment in the Industrials sector is turning positive after a multi-year decline among active Asia Ex-Japan fund managers.Average allocations in the Industrials sector fell from a peak of 11.4% in mid-2011 to a low of just 4.82% in July of last year.  Since that trough, allocations have started to increase, with today's levels of 5.46% the highest since late 2019.We highlight 7 companies that have attracted new investment in the early stages of the reallocation towards the Industrials sector.

Investor sentiment in the Industrials sector is turning positive after a multi-year decline among active Asia Ex-Japan fund managers.Average allocations in the Industrials sector fell from a peak of 11.4% in mid-2011 to a low of just 4.82% in July of last year.  Since that trough, allocations have started to increase, with today's levels of 5.46% the highest since late 2019.We highlight 7 companies that have attracted new investment in the early stages of the reallocation towards the Industrials sector.  

China

Weichai Power is a Chinese industrial technology company specializing in the research, development, and manufacturing of powertrains, vehicles, and key components such as engines, transmissions, and axles. The company also offers intelligent logistics solutions, including forklifts and warehousing services, and is actively developing new energy technologies like hydrogen fuel cells. Weichai Power was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Weifang, Shandong, China.

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Weichai Power (2338 HK)

China's Hydrogen Economy: More Excitements into 2022

China's push for hydrogen energy use is likely to further escalate in 2022, following a soon-to-be announcement of top-level design plan for the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China's Hydrogen Economy: Some HK-Listed Names to Watch

We looked into how CIMC Enric, Dongfang Electric, Weichai Power and Dongyue Group position in China's rapidly developing hydrogen economy amid the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 10th): Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, Smic, Yangtze Optical Fibre And-H, Innocare.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Hua Hong Semi, Alibaba, Ntes, Kingboard

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 3rd and highlight short interest changes in Tencent (700 HK), Kingboard...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Ex-Japan: Industrials Rotation

Investor sentiment in the Industrials sector is turning positive after a multi-year decline among active Asia Ex-Japan fund managers.

Steven Holden

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