HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

China has stepped up its push for more utilisation of hydrogen energy in its efforts to achieve the target of carbon neutrality before 2060.  Various government policies have been put in place to encourage the research and use of hydrogen energy, and some sources have projected hydrogen will represent 10% of China's final energy consumed by 2050. In other words, there is huge room for the growth of China's hydrogen economy.Share prices of many hydrogen-concept stocks have rallied sharply lately. Most of them have projects in the early-stage of development and still do not derive any meaningful contribution from such hydrogen ventures. However, we looked into some interesting names which potentially to be significant players over the long term. They are: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cimc-enric-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47:1" rel="noopener">Cimc Enric Holdings (3899 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric Corporation (1072 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weichai-power-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12508:1" rel="noopener">Weichai Power Co Ltd H (2338 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongyue-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20429:1" rel="noopener">Dongyue Group (189 HK)</a>. Please follow below for details.

China has stepped up its push for more utilisation of hydrogen energy in its efforts to achieve the target of carbon neutrality before 2060.  Various government policies have been put in place to encourage the research and use of hydrogen energy, and some sources have projected hydrogen will represent 10% of China's final energy consumed by 2050. In other words, there is huge room for the growth of China's hydrogen economy.Share prices of many hydrogen-concept stocks have rallied sharply lately. Most of them have projects in the early-stage of development and still do not derive any meaningful contribution from such hydrogen ventures. However, we looked into some interesting names which potentially to be significant players over the long term. They are: Cimc Enric Holdings (3899 HK), Dongfang Electric Corporation (1072 HK), Weichai Power Co Ltd H (2338 HK) and Dongyue Group (189 HK). Please follow below for details.  

China's Hydrogen Economy: Some HK-Listed Names to Watch

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 132.0% as of Apr 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, financials, materials and offset by communication services, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Fosun Pharma, China Southern Air, CICC, Ganfeng Lithium, Joinn Lab.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 147 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 132.0% as of Apr 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.7ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, financials, materials and offset by communication services, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Fosun Pharma, China Southern Air, CICC, Ganfeng Lithium, Joinn Lab.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 19th): Fosun Pharma, China Southern Air, CICC, Ganfeng Lithium, Joinn Lab

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>The 35% decline in China’s LNG price (due to abundant supply) along with the 4% increase in diesel price (due to strong crude price) YTD have reduced the gas/diesel price ratio to only 0.56x (0.9x in late Dec 2023).</li><li>The expanding price spread boosted the sales of natural gas HDTs substantially by 2x YoY in Mar, taking the gas HDT ratio to 25% (vs 7% in Jan).</li><li>We expect the current gas/diesel price spread could last longer than that in 2023, given the elevated crude price arising from the geopolitical tension in the Middle East. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The 35% decline in China’s LNG price (due to abundant supply) along with the 4% increase in diesel price (due to strong crude price) YTD have reduced the gas/diesel price ratio to only 0.56x (0.9x in late Dec 2023).The expanding price spread boosted the sales of natural gas HDTs substantially by 2x YoY in Mar, taking the gas HDT ratio to 25% (vs 7% in Jan).We expect the current gas/diesel price spread could last longer than that in 2023, given the elevated crude price arising from the geopolitical tension in the Middle East. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Heavy Duty Truck - Expanding Gas/Diesel Price Spread to Further Boost Sales of Gas HDTs

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.4% as of Apr 12th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -9.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, utilities, information technology and offset by consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for GWM, Beigene, Cansino, First Tractor.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.4% as of Apr 12th.
The average A-H premium changed by -9.4ppt week-on-week, led by health care, utilities, information technology and offset by consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for GWM, Beigene, Cansino, First Tractor.


A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 12th): GWM, Beigene, Cansino, First Tractor

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 22nd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$934.0 million, led by health care, materials, information technology, and offset by communication services, industrials, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 22nd.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$934.0 million, led by health care, materials, information technology, and offset by communication services, industrials, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software Technology.


Northbound Flows (Mar 22nd): CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software

China

Weichai Power Co., Ltd. specializes in the research and development, manufacturing and sales of vehicles and parts. The Company produces engines, heavy vehicles, light vehicles, construction machinery, hydraulic products, automotive electronics, and related parts. Weichai Power markets its products across worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Weichai Power (000338 CH)

China's Hydrogen Economy: Some HK-Listed Names to Watch

We looked into how CIMC Enric, Dongfang Electric, Weichai Power and Dongyue Group position in China's rapidly developing hydrogen economy amid the...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 19th): Fosun Pharma, China Southern Air, CICC, Ganfeng Lithium, Joinn Lab

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Fosun Pharma, China Southern Air, CICC, Ganfeng Lithium,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Heavy Duty Truck - Expanding Gas/Diesel Price Spread to Further Boost Sales of Gas HDTs

The expanding price spread boosted the sales of natural gas HDTs substantially by 2x YoY in Mar, taking the gas HDT ratio to 25% (vs 7% in Jan).

CMB International

A-H Premium Weekly (Apr 12th): GWM, Beigene, Cansino, First Tractor

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for GWM, Beigene, Cansino, First Tractor.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Mar 22nd): CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai, Thunder Software

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Midea, Wuxi Apptec, Moutai,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)