IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mason-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17664:1" rel="noopener">Mason Group Holdings (273 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silk-laser-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33498:1" rel="noopener">Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/musgrave-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2564:1" rel="noopener">Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads  111 Inc (YI US), Mason Group Holdings (273 HK), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU), Chindata Group (CD US). 
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU), Lian Beng (LBG SP), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU). 


Merger Arb Mondays (12 Jun) - Chindata, Mason, Yitai, Toshiba, Estia, Origin, Musgrave, Toyo

Golden Energy and Resources / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The IFA has concluded that the Widjaja family’s offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a> is fair and reasonable. The EGM will be held on 9 June. </li>
<li>The IFA has justified its conclusion based on a convoluted methodology that has serious flaws. A fairer SOTP valuation is 37% higher than the IFA’s SOTP valuation range.</li>
<li>Notably, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dian-swastatika-sentosa-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15281:1" rel="noopener">Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ)</a> will abstain from voting on both resolutions. While the prospect of a bump is diminishing, the offeror is yet to declare the offer final. </li>
</ul>


The IFA has concluded that the Widjaja family’s offer for Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP) is fair and reasonable. The EGM will be held on 9 June. 
The IFA has justified its conclusion based on a convoluted methodology that has serious flaws. A fairer SOTP valuation is 37% higher than the IFA’s SOTP valuation range.
Notably, Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ) will abstain from voting on both resolutions. While the prospect of a bump is diminishing, the offeror is yet to declare the offer final. 


Golden Energy (GER SP): Minorities Should Hold Firm at the EGM on June 9

<ul>
<li>A battle is brewing between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silver-lake-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6529:1" rel="noopener">Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/st-barbara-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3764:1" rel="noopener">St Barbara Ltd (SBM AU)</a>’s Leonora assets. SLR's revised proposal addresses some Board's concerns.</li>
<li>SLR’s revised offer which shortens the completion timeline, is fully funded and higher than GMD’s offer, pressures the Board to engage to create a bidding war. </li>
<li>Irrespective of the winning bidder, SBM is attractive, and the shares offer a free option on realising value from its remaining assets and investment portfolio.    </li>
</ul>


A battle is brewing between Genesis Minerals (GMD AU) and Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU) for St Barbara Ltd (SBM AU)’s Leonora assets. SLR's revised proposal addresses some Board's concerns.
SLR’s revised offer which shortens the completion timeline, is fully funded and higher than GMD’s offer, pressures the Board to engage to create a bidding war. 
Irrespective of the winning bidder, SBM is attractive, and the shares offer a free option on realising value from its remaining assets and investment portfolio.    


St Barbara (SBM AU): Silver Lake and Genesis Minerals Brewing Battle Creates Option Value

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dian-swastatika-sentosa-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15281:1" rel="noopener">Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ)</a>/DSS shareholders have approved the sale of DSS' 77.49% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-fiber-system-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20826:1" rel="noopener">Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP)</a> to the Widjaja family. </li>
<li>No objection has also been received from the OJK and IDX. The make-for-break condition is the GEAR shareholder approval of the distribution resolution, which DSS will abstain from voting on. </li>
<li>Minorities and SIAS rightly claim that the revised offer remains light. A bump to the offer, particularly to the delisting offer price is S$0.181, is required for a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Dian Swastatika Sentosa (DSSA IJ)/DSS shareholders have approved the sale of DSS' 77.49% stake in Golden Energy &amp; Resources (GER SP) to the Widjaja family. 
No objection has also been received from the OJK and IDX. The make-for-break condition is the GEAR shareholder approval of the distribution resolution, which DSS will abstain from voting on. 
Minorities and SIAS rightly claim that the revised offer remains light. A bump to the offer, particularly to the delisting offer price is S$0.181, is required for a done deal. 


Golden Energy (GER SP): Two Conditions Satisfied, Now for the Hard Part

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/st-barbara-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3764:1" rel="noopener">St Barbara Ltd (SBM AU)</a> have dropped their merger plans. Instead, GMD will acquire SBM’s Leonora gold assets for a total consideration of A$600 million.</li>
<li>The transaction is favourable for GMD shareholders. GMD is getting the assets at an attractive price. GMD will fund the acquisition through a A$450 million placement at A$1.15 per share.</li>
<li>The transaction provides a way out for long-suffering SBM shareholders as they retain exposure to gold assets and have option value on the sale of SBM’s remaining assets.</li>
</ul>



Genesis Minerals (GMD AU) and St Barbara Ltd (SBM AU) have dropped their merger plans. Instead, GMD will acquire SBM’s Leonora gold assets for a total consideration of A$600 million.
The transaction is favourable for GMD shareholders. GMD is getting the assets at an attractive price. GMD will fund the acquisition through a A$450 million placement at A$1.15 per share.
The transaction provides a way out for long-suffering SBM shareholders as they retain exposure to gold assets and have option value on the sale of SBM’s remaining assets.


Genesis Minerals (GMD AU): Alternate Transaction and Placement to Buy St Barbara’s Key Assets

Australia

Westgold Resources Limited provides gold mining services. The Company owns and operates gold mining projects. Westgold Resources conducts its business in Australia.

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Westgold Resources (WGX AU)

Merger Arb Mondays (12 Jun) - Chindata, Mason, Yitai, Toshiba, Estia, Origin, Musgrave, Toyo

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (31.2%), Mason Group (20.7%), United Malt (17.1%), HKBN (16.7%), Silk Laser (13.2%), Chindata (12.5%),...

Arun George

Golden Energy (GER SP): Minorities Should Hold Firm at the EGM on June 9

Minorities are in a strong position as DSS is required to abstain from voting on both resolutions. While the prospect of a bump is diminishing, the...

Arun George

St Barbara (SBM AU): Silver Lake and Genesis Minerals Brewing Battle Creates Option Value

Irrespective of the winning bidder, SBM is attractive, and the shares offer a free option on realising value from its remaining assets and...

Arun George

Golden Energy (GER SP): Two Conditions Satisfied, Now for the Hard Part

Two conditions were satisfied but the make-for-break condition is the approval of the distribution resolution. The offer remains light vs GEAR's...

Arun George

Genesis Minerals (GMD AU): Alternate Transaction and Placement to Buy St Barbara’s Key Assets

The alternative transaction is a good result for GMD (transformative acquisition at an attractive price) and SBM (a palatable plan to generate...

Arun George

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