Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's performance was -2.01% in October versus returns of -0.81 for the benchmark and -3.53 to  -8.62 for Hong Kong indexes.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has captured most of the market gains and minimized drawdowns since inception. The portfolio's outperformance is more than 40% since inception in October 2024.</li>
<li>At month-end, we reduced materials and healthcare exposure.  We had already reduced the tech exposure earlier in the month.  We established positions in the utility, textile, and battery sectors.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's performance was -2.01% in October versus returns of -0.81 for the benchmark and -3.53 to  -8.62 for Hong Kong indexes.
The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has captured most of the market gains and minimized drawdowns since inception. The portfolio's outperformance is more than 40% since inception in October 2024.
At month-end, we reduced materials and healthcare exposure.  We had already reduced the tech exposure earlier in the month.  We established positions in the utility, textile, and battery sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We compile our selection of small- and mid-cap names with the desired characteristics of high dividend yields, value, and a margin of safety.</li>
<li>We compile updates on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-watch-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19950:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Watch (398 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taste-gourmet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27339:1" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet (8371 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perfect-medical-health-management" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3639:1" rel="noopener">Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/plover-bay-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24191:1" rel="noopener">Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK)</a>, and other names following our visit to Hong Kong. </li>
<li>Our top picks are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asian-terminals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22959:1" rel="noopener">Asian Terminals (ATI PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-keepers-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23003:1" rel="noopener">The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taste-gourmet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27339:1" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet (8371 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippine-stock-exchange-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23182:1" rel="noopener">Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ginebra-san-miguel-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23029:1" rel="noopener">Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We compile our selection of small- and mid-cap names with the desired characteristics of high dividend yields, value, and a margin of safety.
We compile updates on Oriental Watch (398 HK), Taste Gourmet (8371 HK), Perfect Medical Health (1830 HK), Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK), and other names following our visit to Hong Kong. 
Our top picks are Asian Terminals (ATI PM), The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM), Taste Gourmet (8371 HK), Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE PM), and Ginebra San Miguel (GSMI PM).


Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety - October 2025

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on BYD, BOC, ALIBABA, MEITUAN, China Life, LONGFOR, China Life, BOC, BYD, Baba, Meituan, Longfor.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on BYD, BOC, ALIBABA, MEITUAN, China Life, LONGFOR, China Life, BOC, BYD, Baba, Meituan, Longfor.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Sep): BYD, BOC, ALIBABA, MEITUAN, China Life, LONGFOR, China Life, BOC

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 11.34% in October outperforming its benchmark and HK indexes.  The portfolio's Sharpe ratio increased to 2.91 and the beta and correlation to its benchmark decreased.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio is generating significant alpha (idiosyncratic) returns since launch, with 40% of returns represented by superior stock selection, with the remaining due to sector weighting.</li>
<li>
At the end of August, we bought <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luk-fook-holdings-intl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19054:1" rel="noopener">Luk Fook</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luk-fook-holdings-intl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19054:1" rel="noopener"> Holdin</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luk-fook-holdings-intl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19054:1" rel="noopener">gs</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luk-fook-holdings-intl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19054:1" rel="noopener"> Intl (590 HK)</a> for the portfolio as retail demand for gold products in mainland China increases.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 11.34% in October outperforming its benchmark and HK indexes.  The portfolio's Sharpe ratio increased to 2.91 and the beta and correlation to its benchmark decreased.
The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio is generating significant alpha (idiosyncratic) returns since launch, with 40% of returns represented by superior stock selection, with the remaining due to sector weighting.

At the end of August, we bought Luk Fook Holdings Intl (590 HK) for the portfolio as retail demand for gold products in mainland China increases.



<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has significantly outperformed the Hong Kong indexes in June and since inception. Outperformance range is 17% to 23% since inception.</li>
<li>At the end of June, we sold positions in the tech sector after substantial gains. The portfolio's exposure to the consumption sector was also trimmed, both discretionary and staples.</li>
<li>The portfolio added exposure to the metals refining sector and initiated positions in conglomerates <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-industrial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1447:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Industrial Holdings (363 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/citic-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20590:1" rel="noopener">Citic Ltd (267 HK)</a> .</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has significantly outperformed the Hong Kong indexes in June and since inception. Outperformance range is 17% to 23% since inception.
At the end of June, we sold positions in the tech sector after substantial gains. The portfolio's exposure to the consumption sector was also trimmed, both discretionary and staples.
The portfolio added exposure to the metals refining sector and initiated positions in conglomerates Shanghai Industrial Holdings (363 HK) and Citic Ltd (267 HK) .


Hong Kong

WH Group Limited operates as a holdings company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides meat processing services, supplies chilled meat, meat products, and other related products.

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WH Group (288 HK)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

We made mid-month adjustments to the portfolio due to sudden re-escalation of tensions with the US & concurrent sectoral de-rating. Several...

David Mudd

Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety - October 2025

We compile our selection of small and mid-cap names, focusing on those with the desired characteristics of high dividend yields, value, and a...

Sameer Taneja

HSI Index Earning Revision (Sep): BYD, BOC, ALIBABA, MEITUAN, China Life, LONGFOR, China Life, BOC

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Sep 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in BYD, BOC, ALIBABA, MEITUAN, China Life, LONGFOR, China Life, BOC, BYD,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO (August 2025)

Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 11.34% in October outperforming its benchmark and HK indexes. The portfolio's Sharpe ratio increased to 2.91 and...

David Mudd

Hong Kong Alpha Portfolio (June 2025)

The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has significantly outperformed the Hong Kong indexes in June and since inception. Outperformance range is 17% to 23%...

David Mudd

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