Index Rebalance and Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Afridi Reyal

Index Rebalance and Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2026 rebal. The Airtel Money IPO is a question.</li>
<li>Beazley is set to be deleted from the F100 at the close of 30th September 2026. We have discussed the intra-review implications for the F100 and F250.</li>
<li>Airtel Money isn't certain (more below). Currently we see no likely regular changes taking place for F100 or F250 but some names are close to the border. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2026 rebal. The Airtel Money IPO is a question.
Beazley is set to be deleted from the F100 at the close of 30th September 2026. We have discussed the intra-review implications for the F100 and F250.
Airtel Money isn't certain (more below). Currently we see no likely regular changes taking place for F100 or F250 but some names are close to the border. 


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec26: Beazley F100 DEL 30th Sep; Airtel Money IPO Question

US-EU Index & Corporate Actions Analyst, ORTEX

Harry Kalfas

US-EU Index & Corporate Actions Analyst

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zurich-insurance-group-ag-6200ef7e-59a6-4d82-87df-6dfcaec68274" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27910:1" rel="noopener">Zurich Insurance Group (ZURN SW)</a> has agreed to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beazley-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21835:1" rel="noopener">Beazley (BEZ LN)</a> in an all-cash transaction, with Beazley shareholders receiving 1,310 pence per share.</li>
<li>Nuveen has agreed to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schroders-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22134:1" rel="noopener">Schroders (SDR LN)</a> in an all-cash transaction, with the two deals expected to become effective at the same time on October 1, 2026.</li>
<li>BEZ and SDR will be removed from UK and European indices, with significant passive demand expected for their intra-quarter replacements in UK Top 100 and Europe Top 600.</li>
</ul>



Zurich Insurance Group (ZURN SW) has agreed to acquire Beazley (BEZ LN) in an all-cash transaction, with Beazley shareholders receiving 1,310 pence per share.
Nuveen has agreed to acquire Schroders (SDR LN) in an all-cash transaction, with the two deals expected to become effective at the same time on October 1, 2026.
BEZ and SDR will be removed from UK and European indices, with significant passive demand expected for their intra-quarter replacements in UK Top 100 and Europe Top 600.


Zurich-Beazley and Nuveen-Schroders Deals Near Completion, UK & European Index Replacements Ahead

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the EURO STOXX 50, as discussed April 18</li>
<li>Discussed last Thursday(4/18/24) how further downside may be limited with these indexes 4-5% off their highs, combined with ACWI-US testing gap support ($105) and the EURO STOXX50 testing 6-month uptrend. </li>
<li>So far, these supports have held strong, and Japan's TOPIX has also held strong above 2615 support -- with all producing strong bounces far this week.</li>
</ul>


We continue to view the latest pullback as healthy and normal within the ongoing bull market on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the EURO STOXX 50, as discussed April 18
Discussed last Thursday(4/18/24) how further downside may be limited with these indexes 4-5% off their highs, combined with ACWI-US testing gap support ($105) and the EURO STOXX50 testing 6-month uptrend. 
So far, these supports have held strong, and Japan's TOPIX has also held strong above 2615 support -- with all producing strong bounces far this week.


Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Supports Holding on MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, and EM

<ul>
<li>It appears the recent pullback is over, and we could see the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) test YTD highs at $93. We still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023.</li>
<li>Overweight Europe/UK and non-U.S., we are buyers on pullbacks as long as FTSE 100 is above 7700, STOXX Europe 50 is above 3800, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 4000.</li>
<li>As long as these support levels are holding, we are constructive from a price perspective</li>
</ul>


It appears the recent pullback is over, and we could see the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) test YTD highs at $93. We still expect $93 to cap upside in 2023.
Overweight Europe/UK and non-U.S., we are buyers on pullbacks as long as FTSE 100 is above 7700, STOXX Europe 50 is above 3800, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 4000.
As long as these support levels are holding, we are constructive from a price perspective


Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

United Kingdom

WPP is a British multinational communications, advertising, public relations, technology, and commerce holding company. It offers a comprehensive range of services including advertising, media planning and buying, public relations, brand consulting, and digital marketing. The company is headquartered in London, England, and was founded in 1971.

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WPP (WPP LN)

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec26: Beazley F100 DEL 30th Sep; Airtel Money IPO Question

F100 members Beazley and Schroders will be deleted from the index following their acquisitions by Zurich and Nuveen respectively. As a result, WPP...

Afridi Reyal

Zurich-Beazley and Nuveen-Schroders Deals Near Completion, UK & European Index Replacements Ahead

Zurich-Beazley and Nuveen-Schroders deals trigger UK and European index removals, creating significant passive demand for the intra-quarter...

Harry Kalfas

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading Europe to Overweight; Supports Holding on MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, and EM

Upgrading Europe to Overweight EURO $STOXX 50 $FEZ; Supports Holding on MSCI $ACWI, $ACWX, $EFA, and $EEM. Latest 4-6% pullback remains healthy...

Vermilion Research

Remain Overweight Europe/UK & Non-US Equities; Pullback Over?; Buys in Industrials and Financials

Remain overweight Europe/UK and non-US equities; we are buyers on pullbacks as long as the FTSE 100 is above 7700, the STOXX Europe 50 is above...

Vermilion Research

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