Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Wynn Resorts reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing mixed performance across its various geographic markets.</li><li>In Las Vegas, the company reported EBITDA growth adjusted for hold of 3% to $211 million, despite encountering a difficult comparable quarter.</li><li>Gaming market share increased, driven by strong casino revenues which surged by 10%, while hotel revenue remained stagnant at $187 million.</li></ul>

Wynn Resorts reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing mixed performance across its various geographic markets.In Las Vegas, the company reported EBITDA growth adjusted for hold of 3% to $211 million, despite encountering a difficult comparable quarter.Gaming market share increased, driven by strong casino revenues which surged by 10%, while hotel revenue remained stagnant at $187 million.

Wynn Resorts Is Expanding Aggressively — But What Will Its UAE Monopoly Look Like?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I see <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wynn-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:606:1" rel="noopener">Wynn Resorts (WYNN US)</a></strong> trading around all-time highs - both the implied stub (net of <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wynn-macau-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:473:1" rel="noopener">Wynn Macau Ltd (1128 HK)</a></strong>) and on a simple ratio (WYNN/1280). </li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Wynn are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


I see Wynn Resorts (WYNN US) trading around all-time highs - both the implied stub (net of Wynn Macau Ltd (1128 HK)) and on a simple ratio (WYNN/1280). 
Preceding my comments on Wynn are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Wynn Resorts (WYNN US) Ekes Out New Highs

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage, Quiddity Advisors

Anjana Amarasuriya

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest (mostly profitable) US-listed names and is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.</li>
<li>A spin-off completes next week, and the new company's entry into the SP 500 is expected to trigger an intra-review deletion.</li>
<li>We expect two ADDs and two DELs at the December 2026 rebalance, and two M&amp;A deals could trigger intra-review ADDs before that.</li>
</ul>


The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest (mostly profitable) US-listed names and is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
A spin-off completes next week, and the new company's entry into the SP 500 is expected to trigger an intra-review deletion.
We expect two ADDs and two DELs at the December 2026 rebalance, and two M&amp;A deals could trigger intra-review ADDs before that.


Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Dec26 Rebal: Two M&A Deals Pending; One Spin-Off ADD Imminent

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Outlook remains bullish following the SPX multi-month base breakout above 5670-5783, alongside constructive market dynamics. The market is quite clearly telling us that the path of least resistance is higher.</li>
<li>We would treat any pre-election pullback (if it comes) as a buying opportunity, and we expect to see support on the SPX at 5760 and 5655-5670.</li>
<li>We believe there will be a strong end-of-year rally that will extend into the early part of 2025 due to bullish end-of-year seasonal tendencies during up years (SPX +22.1% YTD).</li>
</ul>


Outlook remains bullish following the SPX multi-month base breakout above 5670-5783, alongside constructive market dynamics. The market is quite clearly telling us that the path of least resistance is higher.
We would treat any pre-election pullback (if it comes) as a buying opportunity, and we expect to see support on the SPX at 5760 and 5655-5670.
We believe there will be a strong end-of-year rally that will extend into the early part of 2025 due to bullish end-of-year seasonal tendencies during up years (SPX +22.1% YTD).


Downgrading Health Care $XLV to Underweight; Bullish Outlook Intact $SPX; Bitcoin Breaking Out

<ul>
<li>We still recommend a tactical overweight to defensives (Staples, Utilities, Healthcare, and gold miners) as the SPX tests our 4165-4200 resistance range, and also resistance from the prior 1.5-month uptrend.</li>
<li>As we await Wednesdays FOMC announcement, the DJIA and Nasdaq Composite are testing 1-year resistances at 34,280 and 12,300, the DXY appears to be inflecting higher, and breadth remains weak.</li>
<li>While we still see a reach to 4300-4325 as possible, we believe playing for more upside is akin to picking up pennies in front of a steamroller.</li>
</ul>


We still recommend a tactical overweight to defensives (Staples, Utilities, Healthcare, and gold miners) as the SPX tests our 4165-4200 resistance range, and also resistance from the prior 1.5-month uptrend.
As we await Wednesdays FOMC announcement, the DJIA and Nasdaq Composite are testing 1-year resistances at 34,280 and 12,300, the DXY appears to be inflecting higher, and breadth remains weak.
While we still see a reach to 4300-4325 as possible, we believe playing for more upside is akin to picking up pennies in front of a steamroller.


S&P 500 Testing 4165-4200, DJIA Testing 34,280, Nasdaq Composite Testing 12,300; Stay Defensive

United States

Wynn Resorts, Limited owns and operates luxury hotels and destination casino resorts in Las Vegas, Nevada, Macau, and China. The Company offers amenities such as guest rooms and suites, restaurants, golf course, and an on-site luxury automotive dealership.

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Wynn Resorts (WYNN US)

Wynn Resorts Is Expanding Aggressively — But What Will Its UAE Monopoly Look Like?

Wynn Resorts reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing mixed performance across its various geographic markets. In Las Vegas,...

Baptista Research

StubWorld: Wynn Resorts (WYNN US) Ekes Out New Highs

Consensus indicate higher forward EBITDA growth for Wynn Resorts' stub ops vs. Wynn Macau. Wynn Macau's growth is below Macau peers. Stay in "set...

David Blennerhassett

Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Dec26 Rebal: Two M&A Deals Pending; One Spin-Off ADD Imminent

SP DJI could announce the addition of Vylor (VYLR US), the seed business spun off from Corteva (CTVA US), to the SP 500 within this week. Our...

Anjana Amarasuriya

Downgrading Health Care $XLV to Underweight; Bullish Outlook Intact $SPX; Bitcoin Breaking Out

Downgrading Health Care $XLV to Underweight; Bullish Outlook Intact $SPX $QQQ $NDX $IWM; Bitcoin and Silver Breaking Out $IBIT $SLV. Pullbacks =...

Vermilion Research

S&P 500 Testing 4165-4200, DJIA Testing 34,280, Nasdaq Composite Testing 12,300; Stay Defensive

$SPX testing our 4165-4200 resistance range, $DJI testing 34,280 1-yr resistance, Nasdaq Comp $COMPQ testing critical 12,300 resistance. All while...

Vermilion Research

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