Equity analyst - Containers, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Nilesh Tiwary

Equity analyst - Containers

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div>Most of the shipping stocks fell in the third week of January after the breakout of the corona virus caused multiple casualties in China. Nonetheless, we expect limited impact on container shipping companies in the longer term. However, if the severity of the outbreak increases, industrial production and retail sales could be affected, leading to rising inventory on ports. In addition, some carriers have warned of a temporary shortage of containers because, 1) Chinese New Year has been extended in China, 2) a shortage of customs and port labour could hold containers. Meanwhile, our overall view remains unchanged towards the stocks under coverage. If the situation is well managed and contained and depending on economic impact and valuations, we may consider revising our fair values. For now, the shock to demand and the macro environment would more likely be short term rather than the long term.</div>

Most of the shipping stocks fell in the third week of January after the breakout of the corona virus caused multiple casualties in China. Nonetheless, we expect limited impact on container shipping companies in the longer term. However, if the severity of the outbreak increases, industrial production and retail sales could be affected, leading to rising inventory on ports. In addition, some carriers have warned of a temporary shortage of containers because, 1) Chinese New Year has been extended in China, 2) a shortage of customs and port labour could hold containers. Meanwhile, our overall view remains unchanged towards the stocks under coverage. If the situation is well managed and contained and depending on economic impact and valuations, we may consider revising our fair values. For now, the shock to demand and the macro environment would more likely be short term rather than the long term.

Container Shipping - Coronavirus and Initial Thoughts

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD47.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, Realtek Semiconductor, TSMC.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD47.7bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, Realtek Semiconductor, TSMC.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 12th): Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, TSMC

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 5th. The aggregated holding was USD2,282.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,589mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 5th. The aggregated holding was USD2,282.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,589mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 5th): TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 18 adds and 18 deletes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF has an AUM of US$16.9bn.</li>
<li>The ETF has started trading the stocks and is expected to continue trading for the next 7 trading days.</li>
<li>The adds are outperforming the deletes today and that trend could continue for the next few days as the ETF trades the stocks.</li>
</ul>


There are 18 adds and 18 deletes for the TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index in June. The TIP Taiwan Select High Dividend ETF has an AUM of US$16.9bn.
The ETF has started trading the stocks and is expected to continue trading for the next 7 trading days.
The adds are outperforming the deletes today and that trend could continue for the next few days as the ETF trades the stocks.


TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$13.6bn Trade over the Next Week

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 29th. The aggregated holding was USD2,287.1bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD6,743mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Nanya Technology, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing, Quanta Computer.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 29th. The aggregated holding was USD2,287.1bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD6,743mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Nanya Technology, Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing, Quanta Computer.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 29th): Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Nanya Technology

Taiwan

Yang Ming Marine Transport provides transportation services and handles domestic and foreign maritime services on cargos.  The Company also operates warehouse, wharf, tug, barge, and container freight station services as well as repairs, leases, and sells containers and chassis.

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Yang Ming Marine Transport (2609 TT)

Container Shipping - Coronavirus and Initial Thoughts

Most of the shipping stocks fell in the third week of January after the breakout of the corona virus caused multiple casualties in China....

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 12th): Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, Yang Ming Marine, UMC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 5th): TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TIP Customized Taiwan Select High Dividend Index Rebalance: US$13.6bn Trade over the Next Week

There are 18 adds and 18 deletes for the index. Estimated one-way turnover is 40.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$13.6bn. Adds are...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 29th): Hon Hai Precision, Zhen Ding Technology, Nanya Technology

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hon Hai Precision (2317 TT), Zhen Ding...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

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