IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a>, a premium Chinese BEV manufacturer and a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, has launched an IPO to raise up to US$368 million.  </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zeekr-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:117508" rel="noopener">ZEEKR IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zeekr-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:117721" rel="noopener">ZEEKR IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/zeekr-ipo-latest-updates-as-the-ipo-process-restarts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:136469" rel="noopener">ZEEKR IPO: Latest Updates as the IPO Process Restarts</a>. </li>
<li>The IPO price range values ZEEKR at a material discount to peers' multiples. We would be inclined to participate in the IPO. </li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US), a premium Chinese BEV manufacturer and a subsidiary of Geely Auto (175 HK), has launched an IPO to raise up to US$368 million.  
We previously discussed the IPO in ZEEKR IPO: The Bull Case, ZEEKR IPO: The Bear Case and ZEEKR IPO: Latest Updates as the IPO Process Restarts. 
The IPO price range values ZEEKR at a material discount to peers' multiples. We would be inclined to participate in the IPO. 


Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>Geely-Backed ZEEKR set terms for U.S. IPO: EV maker offers 17.5M American depositary shares (ADSs) at the price range of $18-$21, implying a market cap of ~$4.8B at the midpoint.</li>
<li>Geely Auto, Mobileye and CATL have indicated a non-binding interest in subscribing for an aggregate of up to ~$349M worth of the ADSs being offered in this offering.</li>
<li>I have a positive view of ZEEKR IPO as the offering will be priced significantly below last round valuation of ~$13B.  </li>
</ul>


Geely-Backed ZEEKR set terms for U.S. IPO: EV maker offers 17.5M American depositary shares (ADSs) at the price range of $18-$21, implying a market cap of ~$4.8B at the midpoint.
Geely Auto, Mobileye and CATL have indicated a non-binding interest in subscribing for an aggregate of up to ~$349M worth of the ADSs being offered in this offering.
I have a positive view of ZEEKR IPO as the offering will be priced significantly below last round valuation of ~$13B.  


ZEEKR IPO: Attractive ~$4.8B Midpoint Valuation Offers At Least 30% Upside

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kfc-holdings-japan-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12358:1" rel="noopener">Kfc Holdings Japan (9873 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mimasu-semiconductor-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5531:1" rel="noopener">Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/austal-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14420:1" rel="noopener">Austal Ltd (ASB AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) and ZEEKR (ZK US) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments: L'Occitane (973 HK), Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP), Kfc Holdings Japan (9873 JP), Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), Austal Ltd (ASB AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (05 May) - L'Occitane, C&F Logistics, KFC Japan, Austal, Hyundai Marine, ZEEKR

<ul>
<li>ZEEKR, a Chinese EV maker, plans to raise up to $500M in US IPO. The company put its offering on hold in 2023 due to a mismatch in valuation expectations.</li>
<li>A fast-growing company will offer ADSs, and the size of the company’s potential IPO is down from their initial target of up to $1B, a negative sign for ZEEKR shares.</li>
<li>EV stocks have significantly underperformed the broader market this year amid price wars, slow growth ahead and intense competition, especially in China.  </li>
</ul>


ZEEKR, a Chinese EV maker, plans to raise up to $500M in US IPO. The company put its offering on hold in 2023 due to a mismatch in valuation expectations.
A fast-growing company will offer ADSs, and the size of the company’s potential IPO is down from their initial target of up to $1B, a negative sign for ZEEKR shares.
EV stocks have significantly underperformed the broader market this year amid price wars, slow growth ahead and intense competition, especially in China.  


ZEEKR IPO Valuation Update: Likely To Price IPO Below Last Round Valuation of ~$13B

Hollysys Automation Technologies / Event-Driven

Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> lock-ups. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hd-hyundai-marine-solution-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41002:1" rel="noopener">HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inageya-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13994:1" rel="noopener">Inageya Co Ltd (8182 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-lung-properties-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:49:1" rel="noopener">Hang Lung Properties (101 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) and J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) lock-ups. HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS), ZEEKR (ZK US) and Sichuan Baicha Baidao Industrial (2555 HK) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments: Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), Inageya Co Ltd (8182 JP), Hang Lung Properties (101 HK), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (21 Apr) - Hollysys, Shinko, Inageya, Hang Lung, Kokusai, HD Hyundai Marine

United States

ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, principally engages in commercialization and sales of electric vehicles and battery, and provision of automotive related research and development services. ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding serves customers worldwide.

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ZEEKR (ZK US)

ZEEKR (ZK US) IPO: Valuation Insights

The IPO price range values ZEEKR at a material discount to peers' multiples. We would be inclined to participate in the IPO.

Arun George

ZEEKR IPO: Attractive ~$4.8B Midpoint Valuation Offers At Least 30% Upside

ZEEKR plans to price its IPO in May and my analysis suggests that attractive ~$4.8B midpoint valuation offers at least 30% upside vs. IPO price of...

Andrei Zakharov

Weekly Deals Digest (05 May) - L'Occitane, C&F Logistics, KFC Japan, Austal, Hyundai Marine, ZEEKR

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (L'Occitane, CF Logistics, KFC Japan, Mimasu Sem, Austal) and ECM (HD Hyundai Marine, ZEEKR).

Arun George

ZEEKR IPO Valuation Update: Likely To Price IPO Below Last Round Valuation of ~$13B

ZEEKR restarted US IPO in April and plans to raise up to $500M. I’m cautious about buying into ZEEKR IPO as EV stocks have significantly...

Andrei Zakharov

Weekly Deals Digest (21 Apr) - Hollysys, Shinko, Inageya, Hang Lung, Kokusai, HD Hyundai Marine

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Hollysys, CF Logistics, Shinko, Inageya, Hang Lung Properties, Tietto ) and ECM (Kokusai,...

Arun George

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