Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

And just like that, the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow have reclaimed new highs despite ongoing coronavirus concerns, as a buy the dip strategy has paid off. Primarily responsible for new highs in these indexes is Technology (esp. software and semis/semi suppliers) and FAANG stocks. While these areas all remain bullish, we still have some reservations due to the massive disparity in performance between them and the Materials (XLB, XME) and Energy (RYE) Sectors, and also small-caps (IWM) which continue to hit new RS lows. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Financials: Homebuilding, Large-Cap, Casinos &amp; Gaming, Small-Cap, Asset Management &amp; Custody Banks, Large-Cap, and Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage, Small-Cap.

And just like that, the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow have reclaimed new highs despite ongoing coronavirus concerns, as a buy the dip strategy has paid off. Primarily responsible for new highs in these indexes is Technology (esp. software and semis/semi suppliers) and FAANG stocks. While these areas all remain bullish, we still have some reservations due to the massive disparity in performance between them and the Materials (XLB, XME) and Energy (RYE) Sectors, and also small-caps (IWM) which continue to hit new RS lows. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary and Financials: Homebuilding, Large-Cap, Casinos &amp; Gaming, Small-Cap, Asset Management &amp; Custody Banks, Large-Cap, and Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage, Small-Cap.

U.S. Equities: Still Bullish, With Reservations

While the S&amp;P 500 has hit marginal new highs, price action of the S&amp;P 500 and the price and RS of several Sectors/subsectors is similar to the periods leading up to the October 2018 and May 2019 breakdowns. We draw several similarities in today’s report, and we continue to believe upside is likely to be muted from here barring additional positive developments.

While the S&amp;P 500 has hit marginal new highs, price action of the S&amp;P 500 and the price and RS of several Sectors/subsectors is similar to the periods leading up to the October 2018 and May 2019 breakdowns. We draw several similarities in today’s report, and we continue to believe upside is likely to be muted from here barring additional positive developments.

U.S. Equities: Mixed Signals Punctuate Muted Outlook

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing, Sacra

Sacra

Private Markets, Angel and Secondary Investing

Bringing transparency to private markets so investors, founders, and employees can build on conviction. Sacra delivers deeply researched insights on the private companies shaping tomorrow's markets. By surfacing the data, context, and operator perspective that are missing from private markets today, we help secondary buyers and sellers price equity accurately and unlock liquidity for the people building these businesses.

Private Capital Markets

<ul><li>Sacra estimates that Rippling hit $1B in annualized revenue in March 2026, up from $850M at the end of 2025 and growing 78% year-over-year.</li><li>Rippling is valued at $16.8 billion following its May 2025 Series G round, in which the company raised $450 million in new financing and announced a tender offer to repurchase up to $200 million of equity from current and former employees.</li><li>Rippling operates a B2B SaaS model with subscription pricing determined by employee count and the modules utilized.</li></ul>

Sacra estimates that Rippling hit $1B in annualized revenue in March 2026, up from $850M at the end of 2025 and growing 78% year-over-year.Rippling is valued at $16.8 billion following its May 2025 Series G round, in which the company raised $450 million in new financing and announced a tender offer to repurchase up to $200 million of equity from current and former employees.Rippling operates a B2B SaaS model with subscription pricing determined by employee count and the modules utilized.

<ul><li>Sacra estimates Intercom hit $400M in ARR in April 2026, up from $382M at the end of 2025.</li><li>Intercom was cash-flow positive as of late 2023 with hundreds of millions of dollars in gross profit on its balance sheet.</li><li>Intercom has raised $490M in total capital.</li></ul>

Sacra estimates Intercom hit $400M in ARR in April 2026, up from $382M at the end of 2025.Intercom was cash-flow positive as of late 2023 with hundreds of millions of dollars in gross profit on its balance sheet.Intercom has raised $490M in total capital.

<ul><li>Sacra estimates Klaviyo hit $937M in annual recurring revenue (ARR) in 2024, growing 34% year-over-year.</li><li>Klaviyo has raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance multiple times throughout the year, most recently to $1.215B–$1.219B in November 2025, representing approximately 30% YoY growth.</li><li>International expansion is accelerating, with combined EMEA and APAC revenue growing 43% YoY in Q3 2025.</li></ul>

Sacra estimates Klaviyo hit $937M in annual recurring revenue (ARR) in 2024, growing 34% year-over-year.Klaviyo has raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance multiple times throughout the year, most recently to $1.215B–$1.219B in November 2025, representing approximately 30% YoY growth.International expansion is accelerating, with combined EMEA and APAC revenue growing 43% YoY in Q3 2025.

United States

Zendesk, Inc. provides web-based help desk software with customer support platform. The Company offers applications that allow clients to manage incoming support requests from end customers from any internet connected computer. Zendesk serves customers in the United States.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Zendesk Inc (ZEN US)

U.S. Equities: Still Bullish, With Reservations

And just like that, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and the Dow have reclaimed new highs despite ongoing coronavirus concerns, as a buy the dip strategy...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equities: Mixed Signals Punctuate Muted Outlook

While the S&P 500 has hit marginal new highs, price action of the S&P 500 and the price and RS of several Sectors/subsectors is similar to...

Vermilion Research

Primer: Rippling - 10 May 2026

Workforce management software unifying HR, IT, and contractor payroll for global teams

Sacra

Primer: Intercom - 27 Apr 2026

Customer service software with AI chatbot, help desk, and agent assist tools

Sacra

Primer: Klaviyo - 19 Jan 2026

Marketing automation software for ecommerce brands to send personalized email and SMS campaigns

Sacra

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)