China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The pricing trend is expected to experience higher sequential decline 1) parcel pricing is at a high point; 2) alleviated cost pressure; 3) delivery companies try to capture parcel volume. </li>
<li>The collaboration with PDD’s Temu could provide J&amp;T a source of international order volume. For its potential IPO, J&amp;T’s overseas operation gives more room of imagination than its domestic business.</li>
<li>We downgrade SFH to SELL with TP of RMB48 due to Fengwang’s unpromising outlook .Our top pick of the Logistics sector remains ZTO. We are a buyer to JD logistics.</li>
</ul>


The pricing trend is expected to experience higher sequential decline 1) parcel pricing is at a high point; 2) alleviated cost pressure; 3) delivery companies try to capture parcel volume. 
The collaboration with PDD’s Temu could provide J&amp;T a source of international order volume. For its potential IPO, J&amp;T’s overseas operation gives more room of imagination than its domestic business.
We downgrade SFH to SELL with TP of RMB48 due to Fengwang’s unpromising outlook .Our top pick of the Logistics sector remains ZTO. We are a buyer to JD logistics.


China Logistics Sector Update & Downgrade S.F. Holding (2352.CH) To SELL: Pricing Pressure in 1H

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Recently we revisited the SHEIN vs Amazon shopping comparison we first tried in Dec 2023</li>
<li>For the items we purchased 17 months ago, total cost at AMZN was largely unchanged</li>
<li>But at SHEIN, those items almost tripled in cost, still feature slow transits, difficult returns</li>
</ul>


Recently we revisited the SHEIN vs Amazon shopping comparison we first tried in Dec 2023
For the items we purchased 17 months ago, total cost at AMZN was largely unchanged
But at SHEIN, those items almost tripled in cost, still feature slow transits, difficult returns


SHEIN Vs Amazon, Part II: What Changed Since Our Last Shopping Adventure? SHEIN Cost Nearly Tripled!

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul>
<li>China’s major express couriers will charge more for their services over the Lunar New Year period</li>
<li>
Express couriers, which mainly serve e-commerce sellers, typically see a lower volume of packages over the Lunar New Year when those businesses shut down. 
</li>
<li>
Consumers generally buy their new years goods around a month before the festival, when such firms plan for a rush.
</li>
</ul>


China’s major express couriers will charge more for their services over the Lunar New Year period

Express couriers, which mainly serve e-commerce sellers, typically see a lower volume of packages over the Lunar New Year when those businesses shut down. 


Consumers generally buy their new years goods around a month before the festival, when such firms plan for a rush.



China Couriers Hike Lunar New Year Prices as Delivery Riders Head Home

<ul>
<li>Over the last 25 months, there's been a steady stream of bad news for DTC platform SHEIN</li>
<li>The latest challenges: US tariff chaos &amp; Amazon's launch of its competing platform, Haul 
</li>
<li>Tariff changes &amp; growth of Haul could mean SHEIN IPO gets done at fraction of 2023 valuation</li>
</ul>


Over the last 25 months, there's been a steady stream of bad news for DTC platform SHEIN
The latest challenges: US tariff chaos &amp; Amazon's launch of its competing platform, Haul 

Tariff changes &amp; growth of Haul could mean SHEIN IPO gets done at fraction of 2023 valuation


It's Been a Tough Two+ Years for SHEIN & Its Investors, & Things Don't Get Easier From Here

<ul>
<li>More than three years after her arrest, Lijuan Chen was sentenced to 30 months in prison</li>
<li>The California woman ran a scheme linked to tens of millions of parcels from China</li>
<li>We believe US Feds may develop case against the companies who benefited from the fraud</li>
</ul>


More than three years after her arrest, Lijuan Chen was sentenced to 30 months in prison
The California woman ran a scheme linked to tens of millions of parcels from China
We believe US Feds may develop case against the companies who benefited from the fraud


Head of US$150M Postage Fraud Scheme Tied to Chinese EComm Parcels Sentenced to Prison in California

China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as an express delivery company. The Company provides express delivery service through their nationwide network, as well as other value-added logistics services. ZTO Express serves customers globally.

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ZTO Express Cayman (ZTO US)

China Logistics Sector Update & Downgrade S.F. Holding (2352.CH) To SELL: Pricing Pressure in 1H

We downgrade S.F. Holding to SELL due to Fengwang’s unpromising outlook under competitive pricing environment. Our top pick of the Logistics sector...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

SHEIN Vs Amazon, Part II: What Changed Since Our Last Shopping Adventure? SHEIN Cost Nearly Tripled!

Now that fast fashion giant SHEIN has finally filed offering documents in Hong Kong, we believe it's a good time to revisit the company's evolution...

Tracking Traffic

China Couriers Hike Lunar New Year Prices as Delivery Riders Head Home

China’s major express couriers will charge more for their services over the Lunar New Year period. Express couriers, which mainly serve e-commerce...

Caixin Global

It's Been a Tough Two+ Years for SHEIN & Its Investors, & Things Don't Get Easier From Here

Now that fast-fashion giant SHEIN has finally filed offering documents in Hong Kong, we believe it's a good time to revisit the company's recent...

Tracking Traffic

Head of US$150M Postage Fraud Scheme Tied to Chinese EComm Parcels Sentenced to Prison in California

Leader of US international postage fraud tied to Chinese ecomm parcels has finally been sentenced to prison (and restitution). But Feds may still...

Tracking Traffic

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