Category

ECM

Daily Brief ECM: Ola Electric Mobility Pre-IPO Tearsheet and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Ola Electric Mobility Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Ola Electric IPO: The Bear Case
  • Aequitas HK IPOs + Placements Broker Performance 2023
  • Inabata & Co Placement – Should Come as a Surprise
  • MIXUE Group Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Kerry Logistics Network to Pay Dividend in Form of KEX Shares | SF Holding’s Role & Objectives
  • Aequitas 2023 IPOs and Placements Performance Review – IPOs Forming a Low Base, Placements Pick Up
  • Pre-IPO IVF Hospital Management Group – The Industry, the Business and the Risks Behind


Ola Electric Mobility Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • Ola Electric (1700674D IN) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners are Kotak, Citigroup, BofA, Goldman Sachs, Axis, ICICI Sec, SBI Caps, BoB Caps.
  • Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells.
  • The firm manufactures EVs and certain core EV components like battery packs, motors and vehicle frames.

Ola Electric IPO: The Bear Case

By Arun George

  • Ola Electric (1700674D IN), the largest Indian electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W) player, is seeking US$660 million from a primary raise along with a secondary raise at a US$7-8 billion valuation.
  • In Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
  • The bear case rests on high R&D capitalization, ongoing losses, high attrition, declining contract liabilities, cash burn and deteriorating balance sheet. 

Aequitas HK IPOs + Placements Broker Performance 2023

By Ethan Aw

  • In this note, we will take a look at broker performance for HK IPOs and placements in 2023. 
  • The following dataset includes all HK IPOs and placements above US$100m, which amounted to a total of 27 deals.
  • The deals you see in this note are based on our historical IPO and placement tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information.

Inabata & Co Placement – Should Come as a Surprise

By Ethan Aw

  • Sumitomo Chemical (4005 JP) and Mizuho Trust & Banking are looking to raise around US$180m through the sale of their stake in Inabata & Co (8098 JP).
  • The deal is a large one to digest, at 90 days of three month ADV and 15% of current mcap. 
  • In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.

MIXUE Group Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Clarence Chu

  • MIXUE Group (1860056D CH) is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. The bookrunners on the deal are Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, and UBS.
  • MIXUE Group (MIXUE) is a freshly-made drinks company providing affordable products to consumers, including freshly-made fruit drinks, tea, ice cream and coffee, typically priced at around one USD per item.
  • The firm is the largest domestically freshly-made drinks company in terms of number of stores as of Sept 23, and number of cups sold during 9M23, according to CIC.

Kerry Logistics Network to Pay Dividend in Form of KEX Shares | SF Holding’s Role & Objectives

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Kerry Logistics Network will pay a special dividend in the form of KEX shares
  • This will trigger a general offer by SF Holding for all KEX shares at THB 5.50
  • Why is SF Holding doing this, & how could its int’l express business change?

Aequitas 2023 IPOs and Placements Performance Review – IPOs Forming a Low Base, Placements Pick Up

By Sumeet Singh

  • 2023 marked our eighth year covering Equity Capital Markets in Asia Pacific. In 2023, IPOs didn’t pick up much from the low base of 2022  while placements showed upward momentum.
  • We ended 2023 with an accuracy rate of 73.7% across 57 IPOs that we covered and 79.3% across 115 placements.
  • For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.

Pre-IPO IVF Hospital Management Group – The Industry, the Business and the Risks Behind

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • IVF Hospital’s profitability and growth momentum look good at this stage, but the Company is still in early stage of development, with obvious gap with leading players in the industry.
  • IVF penetration rate in China is not high and the rate of improvement is slow. With public hospitals accounting for over 90% market share, IVF Hospital’s growth space is limited.
  • Licensing is a big barrier for development, slowing down the pace of nationwide expansion. The “good story” should be based on internationalization, which is actually the weakness of IVF Hospital.

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Daily Brief ECM: Weekly Deals Digest (07 Jan) – Ola Electric and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Weekly Deals Digest (07 Jan) – Ola Electric, Mixue, Aoki Super, Hollysys, Weiqiao Textile, Vinda
  • Temu Versus Dollar Tree: More Online & Offline Adventures in Pursuit of Ultra-Cheap Stuff


Weekly Deals Digest (07 Jan) – Ola Electric, Mixue, Aoki Super, Hollysys, Weiqiao Textile, Vinda

By Arun George


Temu Versus Dollar Tree: More Online & Offline Adventures in Pursuit of Ultra-Cheap Stuff

By Daniel Hellberg

  • A recent report shows apparent gains by Temu against US “dollar” store chains
  • In this insight we introduce the “dollar” store concept and share our experiences
  • We conclude that Temu & SHEIN don’t likely view some categories as priorities

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Daily Brief ECM: MIXUE Group IPO: The Investment Case and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • MIXUE Group IPO: The Investment Case


MIXUE Group IPO: The Investment Case

By Arun George

  • Mixue Group (MIX HK), a world-leading freshly made drinks company, filed for an HKEx IPO to raise US$0.5-1.0 billion. 
  • Mixue is China’s largest and the world’s second-largest freshly made drinks company, in terms of both the number of stores and cups sold in 9M23, according to CIC.
  • The investment case rests on a strong brand, leading market share, high revenue growth, robust cost control, stable profitability and cash generation. 

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Daily Brief ECM: Hyundai Hyms IPO Valuation Analysis and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Hyundai Hyms IPO Valuation Analysis


Hyundai Hyms IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Hyundai Hyms is implied target price of 8,025 won per share, which is 27% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. 
  • We believe Hyundai Hyms’ valuation premium to the comps is appropriate due to much stronger operating profit growth and its strong relationships with HD Hyundai Heavy Industries.
  • Hyundai Hyms’s main business includes shipbuilding equipment and related services. The company manufactures a wide variety of items necessary for ship construction, such as ship unit blocks and piping manufacturing.

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Daily Brief ECM: Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case
  • Cloudbreak Pharma (拨康视云) Pre-IPO: Old Drug, New Formulation


Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case

By Arun George

  • Ola Electric (1700674D IN), the largest Indian electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W) player, is seeking US$660 million from a primary raise along with a secondary raise at a US$7-8 billion valuation. 
  • Ola is the best-selling E2W brand in India in terms of monthly E2W registrations on the VAHAN Portal of the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways.
  • The bull case rests on rising market share in a growing market, a rapid growth phase, increasing gross margin and a favourable cash conversion cycle.   

Cloudbreak Pharma (拨康视云) Pre-IPO: Old Drug, New Formulation

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • Cloudbreak Pharma, a China-based clinical-stage biotechnology company, plans to raise up to US$200m via a Hong Kong listing.
  • In this note, we examine the company’s core products, namely CBT-001 and CBT-009, for pterygium and juvenile myopia respectively.
  • We are seeing a lack of convincing sustainable innovation from the company. Pre-IPO investors and management are mediocre.

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Daily Brief ECM: Pre-IPO QuantumPharm – Good Stories May Not Be Backed up by Performance and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Pre-IPO QuantumPharm – Good Stories May Not Be Backed up by Performance


Pre-IPO QuantumPharm – Good Stories May Not Be Backed up by Performance

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The essential difference between QuantumPharm and InSilico in terms of business models is that InSilico is an end-to-end generative AI-driven biotech but QuantumPharm is more of a platform-based service provider.
  • It’s difficult for QuantumPharm to achieve significant increase in revenue scale in short time,because the service fee amount is usually not large, and it takes time to accumulate order volume.
  • If there is no substantial performance contribution, these good stories would not bring about a sustained leap in valuation. QuantumPharm’s valuation in last funding round before IPO is too expensive. 

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Daily Brief ECM: Hyundai Hyms IPO Preview and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Hyundai Hyms IPO Preview
  • APR IPO Valuation Analysis
  • J&T Global Express FY23 Earnings Preview | Revenue Growth & Margin | China, SE Asia, ‘Other’


Hyundai Hyms IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • Hyundai Hyms is getting ready to complete its IPO in KOSDAQ in January. The total IPO offering amount is 43.5 billion to 54.9 billion won. 
  • The company is offering 8.7 million shares in this IPO, of which 40% are old shares and 60% are new shares. 
  • Hyundai Hyms specializes in shipbuilding equipment. Hyundai Hyms’s main business includes shipbuilding equipment and related services. 

APR IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of APR is implied price of 370,809 won per share, representing an 85% upside from the high end of the bankers’ valuation range. 
  • We estimate APR to generate sales of 683.9 billion won (up 25.7% YoY) and operating profit of 114.6 billion won (up 39.5% YoY) in 2024. 
  • APR is one of the best IPOs in the Korean cosmetics sector in the past several years.

J&T Global Express FY23 Earnings Preview | Revenue Growth & Margin | China, SE Asia, ‘Other’

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In this insight we preview J&T’s maiden earnings report as a listed company
  • We focus on revenue growth & margin trends in the China & SE Asia businesses
  • We fear slowing organic growth & margin deterioration could spook investors

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Daily Brief ECM: APR IPO Preview and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • APR IPO Preview


APR IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim

  • APR is getting ready to complete an IPO in KOSPI in February 2024. The IPO price range is from 147,000 won to 200,000 won. 
  • According to the bankers’ valuation, the company’s valuation is expected to range from 1.1 trillion won to 1.6 trillion won post IPO. 
  • The company’s best selling product is its skin care beauty device product called Medicube Age-R. 

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Daily Brief ECM: Pre-IPO Concord Healthcare Group (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • Pre-IPO Concord Healthcare Group (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention


Pre-IPO Concord Healthcare Group (PHIP Updates) – Some Points Worth the Attention

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Concord’s financial performance seems improving on the surface,but a closer look reveals that the sudden explosive revenue increase in 2021 was mainly due to an acquisition, with potential risks behind.
  • We’ve doubts about Concord’s endogenous growth capability. If Concord’s hospitals cannot make a profit, then any further expansion is just a beautiful story and cannot bring expected returns to investors. 
  • Concord conducted a total of four rounds of financing, with a valuation of approximately RMB7.2 billion. However, based on our analysis, its valuation could be lower than peers.

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Daily Brief ECM: ECM Weekly (24th Dec 2023) – Embassy REIT and more

By | Daily Briefs, ECM

In today’s briefing:

  • ECM Weekly (24th Dec 2023) – Embassy REIT, Muthoot Microfin, India Shelter, Inox, UBTech


ECM Weekly (24th Dec 2023) – Embassy REIT, Muthoot Microfin, India Shelter, Inox, UBTech

By Ethan Aw

  • Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
  • On the IPO front, things started to cool down into the year end with some smaller issuers still trying their luck to get listed before the year ends.
  • On the placement front, most of the action continued to come from India. 

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