Daily Brief Credit: Adani Ports – Earnings Flash – H1 FY 2023-24 Results – Lucror Analytics and more

Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone’s (APSEZ) H1/23-24 results came in slightly above expectations, with revenue growth of 26% y-o-y exceeding management’s full-year guidance for a 15-20% increase. EBITDA (excluding FX losses) rose by 17%, at the higher end of the 13-17% guidance. Net adjusted leverage improved to 3.4x (FY 2022-23: 4.0x). We expect the company’s leverage to continue improving in FY 2023-24, in line with management’s guidance.

In our view, there remains a small degree of regulatory overhang and negative headline risk facing the broader Adani Group, which may affect group entities’ financing access in the offshore bond market (particularly on an unsecured basis). That said, the group’s access to onshore and bank financing remains intact.

Separately, we note that the Supreme Court hearing regarding the Securities and Exchange Board of India’s (SEBI) investigation on Adani Group has been repeatedly deferred. The Supreme Court requested on November 6th that all parties file final submissions regarding the case by November 8th. We believe the regulatory overhang may only be resolved by the eventual outcome of SEBI’s investigation and the Supreme Court’s judgement. 

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

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