Daily BriefsEnergy & Materials Sector

Daily Brief Energy/Materials: BP PLC, Petroleos Mexicanos and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Crude Awakening: Shell’s Possible Bid to Refine BP’s Future
  • EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views


Crude Awakening: Shell’s Possible Bid to Refine BP’s Future

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • Shell–BP deal offers strong industrial logic, with $70B in synergies justifying a 40–50% premium while delivering robust EPS accretion and strategic energy transition alignment.
  • Regulatory hurdles are real but manageable, with anticipated divestitures in UK/EU fuel retail and limited structural issues in the U.S.
  • Multiple financing structures are viable; a 60/40 cash-stock mix preserves leverage discipline, limits dilution, and enhances deal feasibility from a risk-arb perspective.

EM Spreads – Weekly News & Views

By Leandro Gubler

  • Cemex 1Q25: Credit Strength Persists, but No Catalyst for Spread Compression
  • Pemex 1Q25: Upgraded to Market Perform, but Structural Risks Persist
  • YPF and Globant Sign Agreement to Modernize Supply Chain with AI

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