Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Nickel Asia: Valuation Low On Cyclical Slump But Limited Catalysts and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Nickel Asia: Valuation Low On Cyclical Slump But Limited Catalysts
  • Apple, Alibaba Join Forces to Bring AI to iPhones in China
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.16)-Update on CR Sanjiu’s Acquisition of Tasly, the Impact of US Tariff
  • Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP): Soft Guidance for 2025; Reduction of Investment Units


Nickel Asia: Valuation Low On Cyclical Slump But Limited Catalysts

By Graeme Cunningham

  • Nickel Asia is market leader for Philippines nickel ore and will remain a top player with decades of reserves leaving it well-positioned for the country’s move up the value chain  
  • However, short-term its share price has slumped on continued weakness in nickel, from a global oversupply and weakening demand, but also its removal from the PSEi 
  • While the 2025E P/B at 0.85x on a 6.4% ROE is likely near cyclical lows and the valuation is inexpensive for such a major player, there are few immediate catalysts 

Apple, Alibaba Join Forces to Bring AI to iPhones in China

By Caixin Global

  • Apple Inc. has teamed up with e-commerce giant Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. to develop artificial intelligence (AI) features for iPhones in China, sources familiar with the matter told Caixin.

  • The iPhone maker is intensifying its collaboration with Alibaba on AI large model technology, but it remains unclear whether Apple will work exclusively with a single company, according to three sources.

  • Apple and Alibaba haven’t replied to Caixin’s inquires.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.16)-Update on CR Sanjiu’s Acquisition of Tasly, the Impact of US Tariff

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • In our view, China’s biotech companies have sold their core pipelines/products too early, resulting in the loss of opportunities to gain much greater benefits in the future.
  • We summarized the impact of tariff policy implemented by the US on China’s healthcare industry. Short-term headwinds are inevitable, but in long term, it helps force the industry to upgrade.
  • After Spring Festival, the acquisition progress of Tasly by CR Sanjiu has significantly accelerated – SASAC/SAMR approvals have been received. It’s possible for the deal to be completed in 25Q1.

Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP): Soft Guidance for 2025; Reduction of Investment Units

By Tina Banerjee

  • For 2025, Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP) is looking for 2% YoY revenue growth to ¥2,380B. However, net profit is expected to decline 20% YoY to ¥275B.
  • Even upon a massive impact from LoE of Jinarc/Jynarque, total revenue will grow in 2025. Excluding one-time of impact of the tax adjustments, 2025 net profit guidance implies 6% growth.
  • Otsuka intends to reduce buyback to create a more investable environment, encourage individual investors to participate in the market, and revitalize the stock market.

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