Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Who’s Winning the AI Race? and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Who’s Winning the AI Race?
  • Broadcom Stock Drops on AI Outlook: Did Nvidia and Oracle Just Set the Trap?
  • Korea Zinc: US Government–Linked JV Raises Strategic Valuation Floor; TP to ₩2.1m
  • Applied Materials: How ICAPS, PVD Innovation, & AI Packaging Are Expanding Its Moat!
  • Intel’s $1.6B SambaNova Deal Could Be a Game Changer—or a Gamble!
  • CoreWeave’s AI Expansion Is Being Financed Forward
  • Primer: Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP) – Dec 2025
  • GlobalFoundries: Leveraging Differentiated Technologies Across Autos, Mobile, & Power!
  • 2026 High Conviction – KEI Industries: Growth at a Premium – And Why It Can Sustain
  • Marubeni (8002 JP): Re-Rating Done, Spot Copper Priced In


Who’s Winning the AI Race?

By Nicolas Baratte

  • Who wins the AI race is like asking ”who won the Internet?” Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft? Wait, maybe it’s ASML and TSMC? Do you see how dumb this question is? 
  • If you trade stocks, you enjoy the “Google is back” moment. Or maybe that was last week’s trade. The market wants profits and margins. Revenue growth is no longer enough.
  • So, who wins the AI race? I will eventually buy,  hopefully early 2026: AMD, Google, LAM, Meta, Microsoft, Micron, Nvidia, TSMC. These are the category winners IMO

Broadcom Stock Drops on AI Outlook: Did Nvidia and Oracle Just Set the Trap?

By Baptista Research

  • Broadcom just had its worst stock day in nearly a year—and the culprit was something investors were previously cheering: AI.
  • On the surface, the company had a strong quarter.
  • Revenue hit a record $18 billion, AI chip sales surged, and its infrastructure software business delivered steady growth.

Korea Zinc: US Government–Linked JV Raises Strategic Valuation Floor; TP to ₩2.1m

By Rahul Jain

  • US government–linked investment in a planned US smelter JV materially lifts Korea Zinc’s long-term strategic relevance and downside valuation floor, even though project cash flows are long-dated and execution-heavy.
  • Near–medium term earnings remain supported by zinc TC recovery, structurally higher rare-metals margins (led by antimony and germanium), and treasury-share cancellations, driving improved EPS visibility.
  • We raise our target price to ₩2.1m, reflecting partial governance-discount compression and a higher strategic multiple, while maintaining conservative assumptions on timing and returns.

Applied Materials: How ICAPS, PVD Innovation, & AI Packaging Are Expanding Its Moat!

By Baptista Research

  • Applied Materials recently concluded their fiscal year of 2025 with encouraging results, achieving record highs in revenue, gross margin dollars, operating profit, and earnings per share, despite facing significant headwinds.
  • The company reported a 4% year-over-year growth in revenue to $28.4 billion.
  • Notably, the Semiconductor Systems and Applied Global Services (AGS) divisions posted record revenues, even amidst tightened trade restrictions that notably impacted their market presence in China.

Intel’s $1.6B SambaNova Deal Could Be a Game Changer—or a Gamble!

By Baptista Research

  • Intel Corp. is reportedly nearing a $1.6 billion acquisition of artificial intelligence startup SambaNova Systems Inc., marking a potential inflection point in its strategic roadmap to reclaim dominance in the AI and semiconductor space.
  • This potential deal—first reported by Bloomberg—could materialize as early as next month, and would give Intel a foothold in custom AI chip architecture at a steep discount compared to SambaNova’s last valuation of $5 billion in 2021.
  • The move comes on the heels of a transformative year for Intel, highlighted by the U.S. government taking a 10% stake, major equity infusions from NVIDIA and SoftBank, and a public commitment from CEO Lip-Bu Tan to rebuild Intel’s AI, foundry, and inference capabilities.

CoreWeave’s AI Expansion Is Being Financed Forward

By Raghav Vashisht

  • The $2.25bn convertible issuance underscores strong bond-market confidence in AI infrastructure, but equity markets are increasingly focused on leverage, dilution, and refinancing risk.
  • With repeated debt raises and high fixed obligations relative to revenue, CoreWeave’s growth model is becoming more dependent on capital-market access than operating leverage.
  • As credit conditions tighten across data-centre and infrastructure lending, the divergence between bondholder confidence and equity caution highlights a narrowing margin for error.

Primer: Raffles Medical Group (RFMD SP) – Dec 2025

By αSK

  • Raffles Medical Group (RMG) is a leading integrated private healthcare provider in Asia, with a strong presence in Singapore and a growing footprint in China and other parts of the region.
  • The company’s growth strategy is centered on expanding its hospital and clinic network, particularly in China, and capitalizing on the rising demand for quality healthcare driven by aging populations and increasing affluence.
  • While facing challenges such as rising operating costs and execution risks in new markets, RMG’s established brand, integrated healthcare model, and strong balance sheet position it well for long-term growth.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


GlobalFoundries: Leveraging Differentiated Technologies Across Autos, Mobile, & Power!

By Baptista Research

  • GlobalFoundries Inc. recently reported its third-quarter financial results for fiscal 2025, showcasing a mixed performance across diverse segments and underscoring specific strategic directions aimed at driving long-term growth.
  • The company’s revenue for the quarter stood at $1.688 billion, marking a slight 3% decrease year-over-year, though it aligned with the high end of the anticipated guidance.
  • Gross margins saw expansion both sequentially and year-over-year, landing at approximately 26% due to shifts toward higher-margin product mixes and increased revenue from non-wafer technology services.

2026 High Conviction – KEI Industries: Growth at a Premium – And Why It Can Sustain

By Akshat Shah

  • KEI Industries (KEII IN) is a vertically-integrated wires and cables manufacturer with a diversified portfolio spanning low, medium and extra-high-voltage cables, house wires, stainless steel wires and turnkey EPC solutions.
  • It operates in three segments- Cable and wire (C&W), stainless steel wire and Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) segment, selling products both domestically as well as in global markets.
  • It sports a market capitalization of US$4.3bn and ADTV of ~US$11.4m. In this note, we will talk about the company’s past performance and future prospects.

Marubeni (8002 JP): Re-Rating Done, Spot Copper Priced In

By Rahul Jain

  • Re-Rating delivered; stock now reflects spot copper (~$11.5k) and sustained mid-teens ROE, limiting multiple-led upside.
  • Non-Resource platforms (leasing, agri) are stabilizing earnings; further upside depends on faster platform scaling and capital returns.
  • Fair value ~¥4,550 on spot EPS; Hold bias with asymmetric downside if copper or FX turns.

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