Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Why Is Michael Burry So Bearish on Alibaba (And Other Major Chinese Tech Stocks)? and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Why Is Michael Burry So Bearish on Alibaba (And Other Major Chinese Tech Stocks)?
  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): TSMC’s Arizona Subsidiary Sent a Letter in Response to the U.S. Authorities.
  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical: Expanding VOXZOGO Market Penetration To Up Their Game!
  • Palantir Technologies Is on Fire with U.S. Growth and AI Momentum—But One Risk Could Derail It All!
  • Leonardo DRS Inc.: These Are The 6 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!
  • Shake Shack: Looking To Redefine Fast-Casual Dining with High-Impact Innovation & Smart Pricing!
  • Floor & Décor: Diversification In Sourcing & Supply Chain Management to Protect Margins Amidst Tariff Turmoil!
  • Itron Is Capturing Utility Market with Smart Grid Revolution—Is It the Ultimate Energy Infrastructure Play?
  • Mohawk Industries Bets Big on Luxury—Can Its Premium Products Help Them Gain Market Share?
  • Arrow Electronics Is Looking To Secure Future Growth with Record-High Backlog & Cloud-Driven Demand; But Will It Work?


Why Is Michael Burry So Bearish on Alibaba (And Other Major Chinese Tech Stocks)?

By Douglas Kim

  • It recently became publicly available that Michael Burry (CEO of Scion Asset Management) started buying put options on numerous Chinese stocks including Alibaba Group Holding (BABA US).
  • We highlight four major reasons why Burry may have turned bearish on Chinese tech names (tariffs, delisting threats, increasing hostile political pressure on China, and China’s 30 year bond yield). 
  • Although we do not know exactly know how Burry has changed his position in 2Q25, he is likely to have reduced put options on major Chinese tech stocks in April/May.

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): TSMC’s Arizona Subsidiary Sent a Letter in Response to the U.S. Authorities.

By Patrick Liao

  • The U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Industry and Security (U.S. BIS) recently released a series of public consultations regarding Section 232 related to semiconductors.  
  • TSMC stated that any import measures should not create uncertainty for existing semiconductor investments.
  • Any measures taken by the U.S. government should not undermine the national security policy objectives of the U.S. government, including advanced semiconductor production at TSMC Arizona.

BioMarin Pharmaceutical: Expanding VOXZOGO Market Penetration To Up Their Game!

By Baptista Research

  • BioMarin Pharmaceutical reported strong first-quarter financial results for 2025, marked by a 15% increase in total revenue to $745 million compared to the prior year.
  • This growth was significantly driven by VOXZOGO, which generated $214 million, a 40% year-over-year increase, demonstrating continued demand for the achondroplasia treatment.
  • Additionally, the enzyme therapies business unit grew by 8%, bolstered by a 22% increase in PALYNZIQ revenues.

Palantir Technologies Is on Fire with U.S. Growth and AI Momentum—But One Risk Could Derail It All!

By Baptista Research

  • Palantir Technologies entered 2025 with first-quarter results that underscore both the power of its artificial intelligence portfolio and the hurdles that still shadow its global ambitions.
  • Revenue climbed 39% year over year to roughly $1.02 billion, led by a 55% jump in the United States, where commercial sales surged 71% and government revenue rose 45%.
  • Management highlighted that U.S. commercial activities have crossed a $1 billion annualized run rate and that uptake of its new Artificial Intelligence Platform is “racing ahead” across healthcare, financial-services, and industrial clients.

Leonardo DRS Inc.: These Are The 6 Biggest Factors Impacting Its Performance In 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • Leonardo DRS demonstrated a strong performance in the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, with financial metrics surpassing initial expectations.
  • The company registered organic growth of 16% in revenues, with a significant book-to-bill ratio of 1.2 and a record backlog of $8.6 billion.
  • This quarter marks the 13th consecutive quarter with a book-to-bill ratio over 1, underpinning strong demand across a diversified portfolio of products, including advanced infrared sensing, electric power and propulsion, and tactical radars.

Shake Shack: Looking To Redefine Fast-Casual Dining with High-Impact Innovation & Smart Pricing!

By Baptista Research

  • Shake Shack’s recent quarter results indicate a dynamic period for the company, showcasing both substantial progress and areas with potential challenges.
  • The company has positioned 2025 as a transformative year, beginning with an ambitious expansion strategy to increase the number of company-operated Shacks to at least 1,500.
  • This expansion will demand strong leadership and innovative strategies, with a focus on enhancing the guest experience, operational efficiency, and margin improvements.

Floor & Décor: Diversification In Sourcing & Supply Chain Management to Protect Margins Amidst Tariff Turmoil!

By Baptista Research

  • Floor & Decor Holdings reported its fiscal 2025 first quarter results, offering an insightful view into its strategic positioning and operational efficiencies amid a challenging economic landscape characterized by high volatility and uncertainty.
  • The company delivered diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.45, slightly down from $0.46 in the same period last year, but still surpassing the lower end of its expectations despite a decline in comparable store sales.
  • Total sales showed a 5.8% increase, reaching $1.161 billion compared to $1.097 billion in the previous year.

Itron Is Capturing Utility Market with Smart Grid Revolution—Is It the Ultimate Energy Infrastructure Play?

By Baptista Research

  • Itron’s first quarter of 2025 financial results demonstrated a robust performance characterized by strong margin expansion and earnings growth that surpassed expectations.
  • The company delivered a revenue of $607 million with an adjusted EBITDA of $88 million, indicating a solid operational quarter.
  • Non-GAAP earnings per share reached $1.52, representing a substantial year-over-year increase, while free cash flow doubled from the previous year to $67 million.

Mohawk Industries Bets Big on Luxury—Can Its Premium Products Help Them Gain Market Share?

By Baptista Research

  • Mohawk Industries’ fourth-quarter results showed a mixed performance amid ongoing industry challenges.
  • The company reported net sales of approximately $2.6 billion, consistent with the previous year, although this included the benefit from two additional shipping days.
  • Positively impacting the results were sales initiatives, restructuring efforts, and productivity improvements.

Arrow Electronics Is Looking To Secure Future Growth with Record-High Backlog & Cloud-Driven Demand; But Will It Work?

By Baptista Research

  • Arrow Electronics has presented several key financial outcomes and operational insights in its first quarter of 2025 results.
  • The company reported consolidated sales of $6.8 billion, which exceeded the upper range of its guidance.
  • Results showed that while global components sales were slightly down by 1% year-over-year at $4.8 billion, the Enterprise Computing Solutions (ECS) segment saw a notable 18% year-over-year increase in sales to $2 billion, indicating strong performance particularly in cloud and hybrid cloud technologies, and infrastructure software.

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