In today’s briefing:
- Ohayo Japan | Regional Banks Spoil Party
- Japan Morning Connection: Japanese Banks Likely to Follow US Peers Lower as Bad Debt Concerns Grow
- Rob Mullin: Gold Stocks Still Cheap, Energy Stocks Cheaper
- The Rise, Fall, and Rise Again of Lithium – A Critical Material Back in the Spotlight
- Singapore Market Roundup (16-Oct-2025): DBS and CGS maintain ‘hold’ on Aztech Global stock.
- NBFC Q2FY26 Outlook – Rate Cuts, Credit Stress & Selective Wins in NBFCs
- Exencial Industry Tidings 16/10/2025
- AI Industry Primer A Survey of 50 Under-Covered Companies in Artificial Intelligence (AI)

Ohayo Japan | Regional Banks Spoil Party
- US stocks declined with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq falling 0.6% and 0.5% respectively, on US-China trade tensions and regional bank loan losses.
- Shares of Zions Bancorporation (-13%) and Western Alliance (-11%) plunged after both banks disclosed loan problems
- US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged Japan to halt Russian LNG imports
Japan Morning Connection: Japanese Banks Likely to Follow US Peers Lower as Bad Debt Concerns Grow
- TSMC numbers not enough to appease markets, while Oracle quells AI profitability concerns.
- HP enterprise margins shrink on growing costs for its servers to house turbo-charged AI chips.
- Essilorluxottica’s Meta AI glasses a hit, but how does Nikon fit into the frame?
Rob Mullin: Gold Stocks Still Cheap, Energy Stocks Cheaper
- Rob Mullen writes gripping resource investor letters, discussing topics like private credit, private equity, and market impact
- He takes a disciplined approach to investing, focusing on cash flow dynamics and management transparency
- Mullen’s background in quantitative analysis and psychology influences his value-driven investment strategy in the natural resources sector
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The Rise, Fall, and Rise Again of Lithium – A Critical Material Back in the Spotlight
- Lithium has re-emerged as a focus due to export controls and its designation as a critical material in the US and Europe.
- Lithium equities have begun to price in higher values but remain well below full recovery levels.
- Given their underperformance, lithium equities offer a lower-risk way to play the critical minerals theme.
Singapore Market Roundup (16-Oct-2025): DBS and CGS maintain ‘hold’ on Aztech Global stock.
- DBS and CGS International keep ‘hold’ rating on Aztech Global.
- DBS reports public transport fare hikes are lower than anticipated.
- JP Morgan notes Keppel’s continued asset monetisation in their update.
NBFC Q2FY26 Outlook – Rate Cuts, Credit Stress & Selective Wins in NBFCs
- Demand outside gold remains soft; co‑funding costs show early easing; asset quality stress is shifting, with vehicle finance and micro‑LAP emerging as pain points.
- The divergence across NBFC subsegments (gold, affordable housing, vehicle finance, micro-LAP) is widening, making sector-level staging less helpful – selective bets will matter more.
- We remain biased toward affordable HFCs, gold financiers (to ride momentum), and select diversified NBFCs. Vigilance is needed to combat NIM pressure and rising unsecured stress.
Exencial Industry Tidings 16/10/2025
- India bans import of roasted arecanut priced below Rs.351 per kg
- Eli Lilly’s Orforglipron shows strong results in late-stage diabetes trials
- CEA drafts plan for investments of Rs.19.3 trillion in nuclear capacity
AI Industry Primer A Survey of 50 Under-Covered Companies in Artificial Intelligence (AI)
- Methodology. We reviewed 50 under-covered, AI-involved public companies (~$2.7 billion average market cap; about five analysts each) and their respective one-year market-cap changes.
- We then mapped them to one or more of 11 AI application areas.
- We also assigned each company a subjective “AI Centricity” score (1 to 10 scale) based on each company’s level of focus on AI.
