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Daily Brief India: Bharat Electronics, Schloss Bangalore Ltd, Kotak Mahindra Bank, CARE Ratings, Borosil Renewables, Indusind Bank, JSW Energy Ltd, Precot and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank
  • Schloss Bangalore IPO – Growth Has Softened; Corporate Structure Reorganised
  • Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) Vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN): A Relative Value Play
  • CARE Ratings Q4 & FY25 Update: Strong Performance Driven by Ratings and Diversification Gains
  • Borosil Renewables Q4 FY25 Update: Domestic Strength Shines Amidst Overseas Challenges
  • IndusInd Bank: Auditors Caught Napping
  • JSW Energy Q4 FY25 & FY25 Update: Powering Ahead with Landmark Capacity Expansion
  • Business Breakdown: Precot Limited – A Strategic Weave of Yarn and Technical Textiles


SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

By Brian Freitas


Schloss Bangalore IPO – Growth Has Softened; Corporate Structure Reorganised

By Akshat Shah

  • Schloss Bangalore Ltd (SCHBL IN) is looking to raise about US$409m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier size of around US$600m.
  • It is a luxury hospitality company which owns, operates, manages and develops luxury hotels and resorts under ‘The Leela’ brand, through direct ownership and hotel management agreements with third-party owners.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates.

Bajaj Finance (BAF IN) Vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN): A Relative Value Play

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • The Bajaj Finance Ltd (BAF IN) vs. Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN) Price-Ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • While one of the two companies displays higher revenue growth, the valuation might begin to become stretched. Fundamental key figures are provided to complement the statistical analysis.
  • Trade setup, statistical properties, factor exposure, risk management strategies, and key events are discussed.

CARE Ratings Q4 & FY25 Update: Strong Performance Driven by Ratings and Diversification Gains

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • CARE Ratings achieved its highest-ever standalone and consolidated income and profitability in FY25, significantly improving margins across the group.
  • The results validate the effectiveness of the company’s quality-led growth strategy, operational efficiencies, and strategic investments in non-ratings and international businesses.
  • The performance reinforces confidence in Care’s ability to outpace the industry and achieve its diversification targets, supported by strong execution and market positioning.

Borosil Renewables Q4 FY25 Update: Domestic Strength Shines Amidst Overseas Challenges

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Definitive anti-dumping duty (ADD) imposed on solar glass imports from China and Vietnam until December 2029; Standalone Indian operations showed significant improvement in Q4 and FY25.  
  • The ADD provides a stable pricing environment and growth catalyst for domestic solar glass manufacturing. Improved domestic performance underscores resilience despite international market volatility.  
  • Reinforces a positive outlook for the Indian business due to favorable regulatory support and robust demand. However, the German subsidiary’s performance remains a key monitorable.

IndusInd Bank: Auditors Caught Napping

By Nitin Mangal

  • Indusind Bank (IIB IN) released their Q4 and FY25 results, which highlighted further episodes of bizarre accounting plays. 
  • The cumulative impact of material accounting adjustments was INR 26 bn, enough to engulf profits by 50% for the year. 
  • Noting the same, management and auditors, which were left blindfolded, suggested a possible fraud committed against the bank.

JSW Energy Q4 FY25 & FY25 Update: Powering Ahead with Landmark Capacity Expansion

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • FY25 was a landmark year for JSW Energy Ltd (JSW IN), crossing 10 GW operational capacity, driven by record wind additions and strategic acquisitions of KSK Mahanadi and O2 Power.
  • The aggressive inorganic and organic expansion, coupled with a strong focus on energy storage, positions JSW Energy as a diversified player in India’s evolving power landscape, balancing baseload and renewables.  
  • The disciplined capital allocation, robust project pipeline, and strong execution capabilities, despite high leverage, reinforce confidence in achieving the ambitious ’30 by 30′ target and long-term value creation.

Business Breakdown: Precot Limited – A Strategic Weave of Yarn and Technical Textiles

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Precot (PRTM IN) has shifted focus from its spinning division to the high-margin Technical Textiles, with EBITDA margins in this rising to 33% in 1HFY25 from 26% in FY24.
  • This shift towards TT has transformed Precot’s revenue mix, improving profitability and reducing reliance on the cyclical spinning business. However, the company faces customer concentration risk in the TT segment.
  • With the TT segment now driving 76% of total EBITDA in 1HFY25, Precot’s growth strategy is clearly focused on margin expansion, making it a resilient player in the textile sector.

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Daily Brief India: Punjab National Bank, Indusind Bank, Godawari Power and Ispat, Allied Blenders & Distillers, ADF Foods , Karamtara Engineering Ltd, Krsnaa Diagnostics and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Canara Bank (CBK IN) Vs. Punjab National Bank (PNB IN): A Relative Value Opportunity
  • IndusInd Bank Crisis: More Discrepancies, Losses, Suspected Fraud
  • Godawari Power: Expansion Led Growth Ahead Despite Near-Term Delays
  • ABDL Q4 Update: A Transformational Year with Record Performance and Premiumization Drive
  • ADF Foods Q4 Update: Strategic Shifts Driving Growth, Margin Expansion, Capex
  • Karamtara Engineering Ltd Pre-IPO – Robust Revenue Growth Amid Cash Flow Pressures
  • Krsnaa Diagnostics Q4 & FY25 Update: Strong Margin Expansion Despite Revenue Growth Shortfall


Canara Bank (CBK IN) Vs. Punjab National Bank (PNB IN): A Relative Value Opportunity

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • The Canara Bank (CBK IN) vs. Punjab National Bank (PNB IN) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • The relative value opportunity has a target return of approximately 6% and can be implemented through stocks, derivatives, or as relative over-/underweights in a long only context.
  • Trade setup, statistical properties, factor exposure, risk management strategies, and key events are discussed.

IndusInd Bank Crisis: More Discrepancies, Losses, Suspected Fraud

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Indusind Bank (IIB IN) faces significant accounting discrepancies, leadership resignations, and suspicions of fraud, with the bank announcing a net loss of Rs 2,329Crs in Q4 FY25 due to this.
  • The escalating situation, involving fraud suspicions and leadership resignations, raises concerns about the bank’s internal controls, financial reporting, and governance.
  • IndusInd Bank’s path forward hinges on transparent investigations, fixing internal control systems, and restoring leadership accountability. Investors should closely monitor the regulatory response and management’s corrective actions.

Godawari Power: Expansion Led Growth Ahead Despite Near-Term Delays

By Rahul Jain

  • Iron ore mining capacity expansion from 2.35 MTPA to 6 MTPA and pellet capacity from 2.7 MTPA to 4.7 MTPA expected by 3QFY26 with full ramp-up by Q4 FY26.
  • 4QFY25 consolidated revenues of ₹1,468 crore, with EBITDA at ₹318 crore and PAT at ₹221 crore, reflecting a slight decline year-on-year due to lower realizations.
  • Valuations appear reasonable driven by steady earnings growth backed by capacity addition, mine expansion and operational efficiencies.

ABDL Q4 Update: A Transformational Year with Record Performance and Premiumization Drive

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Allied Blenders & Distillers (9844250Z IN)‘s FY25 marked a pivotal shift with record profitability, fueled by premiumization, cost efficiency, and expansion into international markets, notably through its luxury portfolio.
  • Record profitability and a strengthened balance sheet position ABDL for aggressive expansion in the high-margin super-premium and luxury segments, supported by strategic CapEx.
  • ABD’s transformation into a premium-focused brand with significant global expansion potential, particularly in luxury segments, positions it for sustained growth and higher margins.

ADF Foods Q4 Update: Strategic Shifts Driving Growth, Margin Expansion, Capex

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • ADF Foods (ADFL IN) reported robust Q4 & FY25 results, driven by strong growth in key brands and strategic adjustments in North American distribution.
  • The company’s focus on improving distribution and expanding manufacturing capacity signals a stronger platform for future growth, particularly for its flagship Ashoka brand.
  • The strategic initiatives and consistent performance reinforce a positive outlook, suggesting continued market share gains and profitability for ADF Foods.

Karamtara Engineering Ltd Pre-IPO – Robust Revenue Growth Amid Cash Flow Pressures

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Karamtara Engineering Ltd (6589452Z IN)  (KEL) is planning to raise about US$200m in its upcoming India IPO. 
  • KEL is a backward integrated manufacturer of products for renewable energy and transmission lines sectors. 
  • As per F&S report, KEL was a leading manufacturer of solar mounting structures and tracker components in India and the largest in terms of installed capacity in FY24 and 1H25.

Krsnaa Diagnostics Q4 & FY25 Update: Strong Margin Expansion Despite Revenue Growth Shortfall

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Krsnaa Diagnostics (KRSNAA IN) reported robust margin expansion in FY25 driven by operational efficiency and a favourable business mix. Retail footprint expanded significantly, quadrupling touchpoints in focus states.
  • Enhanced profitability highlights the effectiveness of cost control and operational leverage. Retail growth diversifies revenue beyond the core PPP model.
  • Reinforces management’s commitment to profitable and disciplined growth over aggressive top-line targets alone. Acknowledges execution hurdles like site delays but underscores confidence in receivables and future growth.

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Daily Brief India: Belrise Industries, Protean, Welspun Living, Adani Ports & Special Economic Zone, Apcotex Industries, Archean Chemical Industries, Vinati Organics, Innova Captab and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Belrise Industries IPO – RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation
  • PROTEAN EGov Technologies – Impact of PAN 2.0 Setback
  • The Beat Ideas: Welspun Living- Home Textile Giant Weaving Growth
  • Adani Ports: Anchored on Scale, Navigating Towards 1BT Ambition by FY30
  • Apcotex Industries Q4 FY25 Update: Strong Volume Growth and Margin Recovery
  • Archean Chemical Industries Q4 & FY25 Update: Strong Volume Growth & Strategic Expansions
  • Vinati Organics Q4 FY25 Update: Strong Growth with Robust Performance Across Key Segments
  • Innova Captab Q4FY25 Update: Jammu Plant, R&D, and Market Penetration


Belrise Industries IPO – RHP Updates & Thoughts on Peer Comp and Valuation

By Akshat Shah

  • Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN) is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the IPO valuations.

PROTEAN EGov Technologies – Impact of PAN 2.0 Setback

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • PROTEAN eGov Technologies LTD (PROTEAN) has experienced a significant setback by not being shortlisted for the Indian government’s PAN 2.0 project worth INR 1,440 crore, a material negative.
  • This exclusion, despite earlier confidence, is expected to lead to a substantial decline in this revenue stream over the next 2-3 years, potentially collapsing by 75-100%.
  • The PAN business has historically been a key driver of profitability and free cash flow, funding new initiatives now under threat. 

The Beat Ideas: Welspun Living- Home Textile Giant Weaving Growth

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Welspun Living targets INR 15,000 crore revenue by FY27, focusing on debt reduction and expanding its non-core businesses, diversifying its growth and financial resilience.
  • The company’s emphasis on sustainability and innovation, including renewable energy initiatives, positions it as a leader in eco-friendly home textiles, responding to market shifts.
  • Despite fierce competition, Welspun Living’s strong brand portfolio and global presence reaffirm its leadership in the home textiles market, making it well-positioned for long-term growth.

Adani Ports: Anchored on Scale, Navigating Towards 1BT Ambition by FY30

By Rahul Jain

  • Targeting 1 billion tonnes of cargo by 2030 with ~2,000 MMT capacity. Gangavaram Port timely expansion is crucial.
  • FY26 guidance implies strong revenue growth (₹36,000–38,000 Cr) and rising cargo volumes, but the PAT outlook appears conservative.
  • Trades at 17x EV/EBITDA FY27 which is in-line with historic multiples. High margin business with strong cash conversion provides visibility to achieve FY30 targets.

Apcotex Industries Q4 FY25 Update: Strong Volume Growth and Margin Recovery

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Apcotex Industries (APCO IN) reported a robust 12.5% YoY revenue growth in Q4 FY25, driven by strong volume and export growth.
  • Despite external challenges like crude price volatility and global overcapacity in latex, the company showcased strong operational performance.
  • The recovery in margins, driven by improved capacity utilization and higher exports, supports optimism for FY26 despite market uncertainties.

Archean Chemical Industries Q4 & FY25 Update: Strong Volume Growth & Strategic Expansions

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Archean Chemical Industries (ACI IN) posted strong operational performance, driven by robust export growth and stable demand across key segments.
  • Despite external market challenges, Archean’s diversified product portfolio and strategic acquisitions provide a solid foundation for future growth.
  • Archean is well-positioned to continue expanding, with significant upside in bromine derivatives and energy storage, supporting its long-term growth trajectory.

Vinati Organics Q4 FY25 Update: Strong Growth with Robust Performance Across Key Segments

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Vinati Organics reported a 24% QoQ increase in net income, driven by strong growth in ATBS and antioxidants.
  • The company’s focus on capacity expansion and product diversification positions it for sustainable growth in FY26.
  • Continued leadership in specialty chemicals and a clear Capex roadmap reinforce confidence in future growth.

Innova Captab Q4FY25 Update: Jammu Plant, R&D, and Market Penetration

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Innova Captab (1605221D IN) achieved strong Q4 FY25 revenue growth of nearly 20%, though profitability felt impact from new Jammu plant’s depreciation and finance costs.
  • The new manufacturing facility in Jammu was commercialized in Q4 FY25, contributing INR  36 crores revenue and expanding production capabilities.
  • The company expects strong FY26 growth, with Jammu plant adding INR 400 crores, projecting a 25% revenue CAGR long-term and improving margins.

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Daily Brief India: JSW Energy Ltd, Aarti Industries, NIFTY Index, SGX Rubber Future TSR20 and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • JSW Energy: Balancing Strong Growth Aspirations with Elevated Leverage Add Ticke
  • Aarti Industries Q4 FY25 Update: Volume Recovery Drives Sequential Growth
  • NSE NIFTY50/ Vol Update / Indo-Pak Ceasefire! Large Markdowns in IV-Skew-Smile Triggered
  • Indian Tire Majors Launch ‘iSPEED’ To Empower 2 Lakh Rubber Smallholders


JSW Energy: Balancing Strong Growth Aspirations with Elevated Leverage Add Ticke

By Rahul Jain

  • Unveiled a Rs1.3 lakh crore capex program is planned over FY26–FY30 to reach 30 GW total capacity and 40 GWh energy storage by FY30.
  • Reported a 16% year-on-year increase in Q4 FY25 net profit to ₹408 crore, with revenue rising 16% to ₹3,189 crore.
  •   Trades at ~46x P/E—above Adani Power (~17x) and Tata Power (~33x).

Aarti Industries Q4 FY25 Update: Volume Recovery Drives Sequential Growth

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Aarti Industries (ARTO IN) posted a solid 9% QoQ revenue growth, driven by higher volumes in the energy sector.
  • The company is navigating external volatility, including US tariffs and geopolitical uncertainty, while maintaining growth through volume recovery and diversification.
  • The solid volume uptick in key sectors positions Aarti for continued growth in FY26, despite margin pressures.

NSE NIFTY50/ Vol Update / Indo-Pak Ceasefire! Large Markdowns in IV-Skew-Smile Triggered

By Sankalp Singh

  • Indo-Pak ceasefire triggers risk-premia markdowns – Monthly IVs -4.0 vols lower, Skew & Smile get compressed  
  • Vol-Regime stays in “High & Up” state with high likelihood of switching to “High & Down” in the upcoming week.  
  • IV term-structure flattened as the week progressed. Leaving front-end vol-differentials in Contango & Back-end Backwardation now eased to +0.60 vols.  

Indian Tire Majors Launch ‘iSPEED’ To Empower 2 Lakh Rubber Smallholders

By Vinod Nedumudy

  • US$16.9 mn initiative to enhance productivity and quality in Northeast  
  • Stress on sheet-making infrastructure to fetch better price for farmers  
  • INROAD creates over 136,000 new smallholders in the Northeast  

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Daily Brief India: Belrise Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Belrise Industries IPO: Strategic OEM Partner, Deleveraging Move Faces Structural Headwinds


Belrise Industries IPO: Strategic OEM Partner, Deleveraging Move Faces Structural Headwinds

By Rahul Jain

  • Belrise Industries, founded by the Badve family, is a leading auto component maker launching its Rs2,150 crore IPO from May 21–23, 2025, at a price band of Rs85–90.
  • It supplies key chassis and metal parts to top OEMs like Bajaj Auto, Hero MotoCorp, and HMSI, playing a critical role across ICE and EV platforms.
  • While most proceeds are earmarked for debt repayment, high working capital needs suggest leverage could rebuild as the business scales.

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Daily Brief India: Indusind Bank, Asian Paints, Gujarat Mineral Development, Akzo Nobel India and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • IndusInd Bank- Never Ending Trouble
  • Asian Paints: Navigating Growth Challenges Amid Evolving Industry Dynamics
  • GMDC (GMDC IN): Steady Core Performance with Hidden Asset Optionality
  • Akzo Nobel India [India M&A]: JSW Likely Buyer – Investors Should Assess Strategic Impact


IndusInd Bank- Never Ending Trouble

By Nitin Mangal

  • Indusind Bank (IIB IN) does not seem to be able to get out of hot water.
  • In yet another accounting and governance pothole, the bank has disclosed a surprising take on interest income, which was overstated by INR 6.7 bn. 
  • The internal audit department also reported unsubstantiated balances of INR 6 bn in other assets, which was netted off with liabilities. 

Asian Paints: Navigating Growth Challenges Amid Evolving Industry Dynamics

By Rahul Jain

  • Q4 FY25 volumes grew 1.8%, value declined; FY26 guidance is for low growth with 18–20% margins supported by integration and cost control.
  • Grasim and JSW are aggressively expanding with large capex and dealer networks, intensifying pricing pressure in decorative paints.
  • Stock corrected 15–20% but still trades at ~55x P/E, which remains expensive given slowing growth and rising competitive risks.

GMDC (GMDC IN): Steady Core Performance with Hidden Asset Optionality

By Rahul Jain

  • GMDC delivered strong FY25 results with 8MT of lignite sales and Rs992 crore in EBITDA, its second-best performance.
  • The company is focused on scaling lignite and coal volumes through new mines within Gujarat and Odisha. It also plans to diversify into rare earths and critical minerals. 
  • While valuations appear slightly elevated, upside optionality exists from the revival of Akrimota power plant and operationalization of new mines.

Akzo Nobel India [India M&A]: JSW Likely Buyer – Investors Should Assess Strategic Impact

By Rahul Jain

  • Akzo Nobel N.V. earlier announced its plans to exit India to focus on core markets where it holds a position of “differentiating scale.
  • JSW Paints has reportedly entered exclusive talks to acquire Akzo India, edging out Advent–Indigo and Pidilite.
  • Shareholders may tender in the open offer or stay invested for potential upside via JSW which has a long stellar track-record.

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Daily Brief India: Bharti Airtel, Blackbuck, Tata Motors ADR, Hero Motocorp, GMR Hyderabad International Airport, Tata Steel Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Bharti Airtel Block – Another Singtel Selldown Worth US$1bn
  • Zinka Logistics IPO Lockup – US$530m Lockup Release; PE Investors Might Look to Book Gains
  • Tata Motors Q4 & FY25 Update: Strong Financial Performance with Focus on EV Growth
  • Can the India’s Largest Motorcycle Manufacturer Maintain Its Dominance?
  • Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
  • Tata Steel – Earnings Flash – FY 2024-25 Results – Lucror Analytics


Bharti Airtel Block – Another Singtel Selldown Worth US$1bn

By Akshat Shah

  • Pastel Ltd, a subsidiary of Singapore Telecommunications (Singtel) is looking to raise up to US$1bn via selling a 0.8% stake in Bharti Airtel Limited.
  • Singtel had sold a 0.8% stake (US$950m then) to GQG Partners in Mar 2024.  Singtel had a total stake of around 29.3% in the firm, as of the last close.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

Zinka Logistics IPO Lockup – US$530m Lockup Release; PE Investors Might Look to Book Gains

By Akshat Shah

  • Blackbuck (1355652D IN) raised around US$130m in its India IPO in Nov 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
  • Zinka Logistics (Blackbuck) is India’s largest digital platform for truck operators (in terms of users), with 27.52% of India’s truck operators transacting on its platform in FY24, as per Redseer.
  • In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.

Tata Motors Q4 & FY25 Update: Strong Financial Performance with Focus on EV Growth

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Tata Motors posted its highest-ever annual revenue and PBT for FY25, with strong sequential growth in Q4 driven by robust performance in both commercial and passenger vehicle segments.
  • The company successfully managed to navigate global trade and tariff challenges, improved its profitability through cost-saving measures, and expanded its leadership in electric mobility.
  • The results demonstrate Tata Motors’ resilience and long-term growth strategy, especially with a continued focus on electric vehicles and new product innovations.

Can the India’s Largest Motorcycle Manufacturer Maintain Its Dominance?

By Sreemant Dudhoria

  • This note examines Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)’s market share trajectory in the context of broader two-wheeler industry trends.
  • It also highlights internal leadership churn and execution issues post split from Honda Motor (7267 JP) 
  • Finally, this note reviews the strategic outlook and key challenges ahead for the company, despite its discounted valuation compared to peers.

Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia

By Leonard Law, CFA

  • In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: GMR Hyderabad, China Vanke, Indofood CBP, Pertamina (Persero), Rakuten Group
  • Treasuries fell, with yields rising yesterday as the market continued to dial back expectations for Fed rate cuts. Fed-dated OIS were pricing in 49 bps of rate cuts in 2025 as of yesterday (vs. 54 bps as of Tuesday).
  • The yield on the 2Y UST rose 5 bps to 4.05%, while the yield on the 10Y UST expanded 7 bps to 4.54%. Equities edged higher, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.1% and 0.7%, respectively.

Tata Steel – Earnings Flash – FY 2024-25 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

  • Tata Steel has released its Q4 and FY 2024-25 numbers.
  • Earnings recovery was robust, thanks to operational efficiencies, cost reductions and excellent performance in India despite a challenging global steel market environment.
  • Profitability improved, while debt decreased and capital investments were maintained amid headwinds in Europe.

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Daily Brief India: Raymond Lifestyle, SMPP Ltd, Ravi Infrabuild Projects Ltd, Biocon Biologics India, UPL Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • Raymond Lifestyle: Governance Crisis?
  • SMPP Ltd Pre-IPO – In the Right Space (Defence), at the Right Time but Growth Has Been Inconsistent
  • Ravi Infrabuild Projects Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet
  • Biocon Biologics – Earnings Flash – Q4 And FY 2024-25 Results – Lucror Analytics
  • UPL Limited – Earnings Flash – FY 2024-25 Results – Lucror Analytics


Raymond Lifestyle: Governance Crisis?

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Raymond Lifestyle’s stock plummets 60% in six months post-demerger, due to lots of governance lapses.
  • Corporate Governance Crisis: CEO,CFO, Director Resignations, Delayed disclosures, Controversial Remuneration and Many More.
  • The company gave excuses such as inflation, an IT incident, etc. in their management meeting after not being able to deliver the performance.

SMPP Ltd Pre-IPO – In the Right Space (Defence), at the Right Time but Growth Has Been Inconsistent

By Sumeet Singh

  • SMPP Ltd is planning to raise about US$476m through its upcoming IPO in India.
  • SMPP Ltd. designs and manufactures defence equipment, specialising in ammunition components and personal protection products for the Indian armed forces, police, and security agencies.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

Ravi Infrabuild Projects Ltd Pre-IPO Tearsheet

By Rosita Fernandes

  • Ravi Infrabuild Projects Ltd (1607447D IN)  (RIPL) is looking to raise about US$178m in its upcoming India IPO. The bookrunners for the deal are Axis, Motilal.
  • RIPL is one of the leading infrastructure construction firms in India, experienced in executing structural projects such as flyovers, bridges, railways, highways, and expressways.
  • RIPL had grown 16.6x in terms of its average order size, reaching INR2,577m (as on Dec 2024), as per the company.

Biocon Biologics – Earnings Flash – Q4 And FY 2024-25 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

  • Biocon Limited’s Q4 and FY 2024-25 results were solid in our view, with robust growth, stable profitability, as well as improved working capital and cash flows.
  • The balance sheet has strengthened, and liquidity is adequate.

UPL Limited – Earnings Flash – FY 2024-25 Results – Lucror Analytics

By Trung Nguyen

  • UPL Limited’s Q4 and FY 2024-25 results reflected robust revenue growth, substantial margin expansion, a return to profitability and significant debt reduction.
  • This was supported by strong operational execution and strategic initiatives across its global markets.
  • Leverage improved significantly, on account of much lower net debt and higher earnings.

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Daily Brief India: Yes Bank, Tata Motors Ltd and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • SMBC’s Strategic Entry into Yes Bank: A Look at the Backstory and Future
  • Short Tata Motors: Challenges Ahead


SMBC’s Strategic Entry into Yes Bank: A Look at the Backstory and Future

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • SMBC, a major Japanese bank, is buying a 20% stake in Yes Bank for INR 13,483 crore, marking a significant move towards strengthening Yes Bank’s recovery and future growth.
  • It provides SMBC direct access to India’s growing banking sector and potential for strategic collaboration.
  • The partnership enhances Yes Bank’s stability, governance, and access to global markets, positioning it for further growth. SMBC’s involvement could pave the way for future capital support and operational improvements.

Short Tata Motors: Challenges Ahead

By Sreemant Dudhoria

  • Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)  delivered a decent operational performance in Q4 FY25, with a flat topline and margin recovery, led by robust performance in the Jaguar Land Rover business.
  • While the Q4 FY25 performance was steady, we expect near-term results to remain muted.
  • Therefore, we present a case for shorting Tata Motors in the near term and outlook on individual segments.

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Daily Brief India: Paytm, KDDL Ltd, Bharat Electronics, Tata Steel Ltd, Sula Vineyards , Belrise Industries, Deep Industries, Hindalco Industries and more

By | Daily Briefs, India

In today’s briefing:

  • PayTM Block – US$242m Secondary Block Deal a Small One to Digest
  • The Beat Ideas: KDDL- Precision Engineering with Luxury Retail
  • BEL: Earnings Firepower in Place, Rerating Looks Done
  • Tata Steel: Strategic Pivot in Capital Allocation
  • Sula Vineyards Q4FY25: What Is Hidden?
  • Belrise Industries Pre-IPO – Expansion Plans and Related Party Risks
  • Deep Industries Q4 FY25 Update: Strong Topline Growth Amid One-Time Clean-Up
  • Novelis: Cautious Outlook Amid Heavy U.S. Capex and Scrap Volatility


PayTM Block – US$242m Secondary Block Deal a Small One to Digest

By Akshat Shah

  • Antfin (Netherlands) Holding B.V. (Antfin) is looking to raise up to US$242m via selling a 4% stake in Paytm (PAYTM IN).
  • Antfin has been selling off its stake since it pared around 12% in its Nov’21 IPO. As of date of writing, it had a 9.85% stake remaining in the firm.
  • In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.

The Beat Ideas: KDDL- Precision Engineering with Luxury Retail

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • KDDL’s precision engineering division, Eigen, is expanding its manufacturing capacity with a new facility and further upgrades planned, aiming to capture high-growth sectors like aerospace, automotive, and medical devices.
  • This expansion enhances KDDL’s competitive edge in precision engineering, a high-margin segment, and aligns with the company’s goal of making Eigen a significant revenue contributor, targeting 40-50% of manufacturing revenue.
  • The focus on precision engineering and premium retail through Ethos positions KDDL for sustained growth, balancing stable manufacturing revenue with high-margin luxury retail.

BEL: Earnings Firepower in Place, Rerating Looks Done

By Rahul Jain

  • Strong Execution: 3-yr PAT CAGR of ~22% with ₹80,354 Cr order book offers 2–4 years of revenue visibility from high-margin defence programs.
  • Growth Levers: Expanding in seekers, EW, AI, and smart infra; 5 new units and key contracts like Akash, LRSAM, and Shakti drive forward pipeline.
  • Valuation Stretch: Trading at ~45x FY25E P/E vs 3-yr average of 32x; pricing reflects peak sentiment and leaves little room for error.

Tata Steel: Strategic Pivot in Capital Allocation

By Rahul Jain

  • Tata Steel reported resilient India performance in Q4 FY25 with strong volumes, though consolidated margins remained under pressure due to ongoing European losses.
  • The Kalinganagar CRM line and Ludhiana EAF are progressing toward completion. The company’s $2.5 billion infusion into its overseas arm marks a strategic pivot, potentially weighing on returns.
  • We apply a lower EV/EBITDA multiple of 6x (vs. 7.5x earlier) to reflect the weaker capital allocation stance, flattish steel price outlook, and relatively subdued growth versus peers. 

Sula Vineyards Q4FY25: What Is Hidden?

By Nitin Mangal

  • In a surprising turn of events, the management of Sula Vineyards (SULA IN) has cancelled earnings call for Q4FY25 citing Indo-Pak conflict after posting bad quarterly numbers.
  • Receivable cycle has further elongated to all time high since the company became public.
  • Revenue growth yet remains muted post company became public in 2022.

Belrise Industries Pre-IPO – Expansion Plans and Related Party Risks

By Akshat Shah

  • Belrise Industries (9156339Z IN) is looking to raise about US$255m in its upcoming India IPO.
  • Belrise Industries is an automotive component manufacturing company based in India offering a diverse range of safety critical systems and other engineering solutions for two-wheelers, three-wheelers, four-wheelers, commercial and agri-vehicles.
  • In this note, we talk about the company’s historical performance.

Deep Industries Q4 FY25 Update: Strong Topline Growth Amid One-Time Clean-Up

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Deep Industries (DEEPI IN) reported 39.7% YoY revenue growth in Q4 FY25; EBITDA margins stood resilient at 36.1% despite a INR 251 crore exceptional loss due to asset clean-up.
  • New offshore contracts (INR 281 crore barge deal), and Oil & Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN) PEC, and a growing INR 2,960 crore order book reinforce the company’s  revenue visibility.
  • Despite one-off noise in Q4, Deep’s core operations are intact. FY26 guidance of 25–30% revenue growth looks achievable, backed by execution tailwinds.

Novelis: Cautious Outlook Amid Heavy U.S. Capex and Scrap Volatility

By Rahul Jain

  • Novelis posted $1.8B EBITDA on 3.76Mt volume, with weakness in North America offset by aerospace and packaging recovery in Europe and Asia.
  • Management withheld guidance citing demand uncertainty; Bay Minette capex rose to $4.1B with commissioning now in 2H FY26.
  • Scrap supply tightness and tariff pressures may hit margins; company expects prolonged impact despite mitigation efforts underway.

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