Equity Capital Markets

Weekly Top Ten Equity Capital Markets – Jan 4, 2026

By January 4, 2026 No Comments
This weekly newsletter pulls together summaries of the top ten most-read Insights across Equity Capital Markets on Smartkarma.

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1. MiniMax Hong Kong IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim, Douglas Research Advisory

  • MiniMax is getting ready to complete its IPO in Hong Kong in early January 2026. MiniMax is expected to raise at least US$500 million and as much as US$700 million. 
  • Backed by Alibaba (9988 HK), MiniMax is targeting a valuation of more than US$4 billion. 
  • MiniMax develops multimodal AI models including MiniMax M1, Hailuo-02, Speech-02 and Music-01, which can process text, audio, images, video and music.

2. MiniMax Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim, Douglas Research Advisory

  • Our base case valuation of MiniMax is HK$301 per share (82% higher than high end of the IPO price range of HK$165). 
  • We believe many investors are willing to pay for the high valuations mainly due to MiniMax’s position as one of the leaders in the LLM/AGI sector in China/globally.
  • We estimate MiniMax to generate revenue of US$183.9 million (up 127% YoY) in 2026 and US$356.2 million (up 94% YoY) in 2027.

3. Biren Technology (6082 HK) IPO: What Valuations?

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Shanghai Biren Intelligent Tech (6082 HK) is expected to receive an overwhelming response in its Hong Kong IPO. The public offer is reported to be at least 513.2x oversubscribed.
  • Since it will remain loss-making in FY27F, we calculate its fair value at HK$21.72 by applying the average HA discount and a 20% discount to its peer P/S multiple.  
  • Given that its FY27F revenue is smaller than MetaX Integrated Circuit (688802 CH), MetaX’s P/S of 41.8x serves as Biren’s ceiling, and any price over HK$23.75 appears expensive. 

4. Zhipu AI (Knowledge Atlas Technology) Hong Kong IPO Preview

By Douglas Kim, Douglas Research Advisory

  • Chinese AI firm Zhipu AI launched its share sale in Hong Kong, aiming to become the first large language model (LLM) developer to list on the exchange. 
  • Zhipu AI is offering over 37 million shares at an offer price of HK$116.20 each. The company aims to raise approximately HK$4.35 billion.
  • Zhipu faces domestic competition from rivals like MiniMax, who are also planning a Hong Kong IPO, and global competition from firms such as OpenAI and Anthropic.

5. Shenzhen Edge Medical (精锋医疗) IPO: Well-Timed Launch Supports Valuation

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM, Aequitas Research

  • Shenzhen Edge Medical, a China-based surgical robotic company, launched its IPO to raise at least USD 154 million via a Hong Kong listing.
  • In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide a valuation for the company.
  • We think the deal is well timed when its comparable peer performed well.

6. MiniMax Pre-IPO – Fast User Growth, Low Market Share. Earlier App Was Pulled

By Sumeet Singh, Aequitas Research

  • MiniMax, a global AI foundation model company, aims to raise around US$600m in its Hong Kong listing.
  • As of September 2025, its AI-native products had cumulatively served over 200m individual users across over 200 countries and regions.
  • In this note, we look at the company’s past performance.

7. GigaDevice Semiconductor Secondary Listing (Hong Kong) Preview

By Douglas Kim, Douglas Research Advisory

  • GigaDevice Semiconductor is getting ready to complete its secondary listing in Hong Kong in January 2026.
  • The company aims to raise up to HK$4.68 billion (US$601 million) through this secondary listing. GigaDevice Semiconductor (603986 CH) is offering 28.9 million H-shares in its Hong Kong public offering.
  • GigaDevice Semiconductor is a fabless integrated circuit design house offering a diversified portfolio of semiconductor products, including specialty memory chips, micro control units (MCUs), analog chips, and sensor chips.

8. Zhipu AI (Knowledge Atlas Technology) Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim, Douglas Research Advisory

  • Our base case valuation of Zhipu is HK$223 per share (92% higher than the IPO price of HK$116.2). 
  • Given the excellent upside, we have a Positive View of this IPO. At this valuation, it represents an implied market cap of US$12.6 billion (HK$98.2 billion).
  • Zhipu AI ranked first among China’s independent developers and second among all developers of general-purpose large models by revenue market share in 2024, with a share of 6.6%.

9. InSilico Medicine (英矽智能) IPO Trading

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM, Aequitas Research

  • InSilico Medicine raised HKD 2025m (USD 261m) from its global offering and will list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on Tuesday December 30, 2025.
  • In our previous note, we looked at the company’s fundamentals, and an assessment of the value of its pipelines.
  • In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before trading debut.

10. Suzhou Ribo Life Science (瑞博生物) Pre-IPO: PHIP Updates Highlight Asset Prioritization

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM, Aequitas Research

  • Suzhou Ribo Life is looking to raise at least US$100 million via a Hong Kong listing. CICC and Citi are the deal sponsors.
  • While our previous notes cover the fundamentals of the company, in this note we look at the updates from the latest PHIP prospectus.
  • We think the company is still worth following as it streamlines its product pipeline and makes progress in clinical trials.