This weekly newsletter pulls together summaries of the top ten most-read Insights across Tech Hardware and Semiconductor on Smartkarma.
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1. SaaSpocalypse Now. Are We Done Already?
- From its all time high of ~$118 back in September 2025, IGV, the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF, is currently down ~26%
- Despite the Saaspocalypse, SaaS earnings and outlook have rarely looked better.
- The issue isn’t that AI can replace SaaS, it’s the risk that SaaS per seat pricing models will fall apart in an agent-centric world.
2. TechChain Insights: Drone World Expo Warsaw 2026 — Vendor Q&A
- Non-China supply chain premium is real and growing: European buyers are willing to pay 30–50% more for Taiwanese drone components, with mandates for zero China-sourced content increasingly common for sensitive applications.
- Batteries are the critical bottleneck: Chinese battery cells remain far ahead on price and energy density; this is the single largest obstacle to building a fully non-Chinese drone supply chain.
- Low barriers to drone assembly, high barriers to differentiation: A striking number of firms offered complete drone solutions built from off-the-shelf components. Value is shifting toward batteries, software, and edge AI.
3. Rohm (6963): Takeover Discounted
- Rohm has backed off its March 9 spike high, but is still up 45% year-to-date. Denso’s proposed takeover has been discounted.
- Rohm is reportedly talking with Toshiba about combining their power device businesses. This could delay an attempted takeover and make it more expensive.
- The Japanese government favors semiconductor industry consolidation, but the three companies could collaborate in automotive power devices without a takeover.
4. Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: Broad Spread Collapse Across the Board; TSMC Below Long Entry Level
- TSMC: +15.9% Premium; Spread Has Crashed Through Our Long Entry Level at 19%; Consider Going Long
- UMC: -0.5% Discount; Significant ADR Conversion (+28.8M Units); Spread Fully Unwound
- ASE: -0.5% Discount; Spread Collapsed from +4.5% Premium; Consider Going Long