Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Commodities

Iron ores are rocks and minerals from which metallic iron can be economically extracted. The ores are usually rich in iron oxides and vary in color from dark grey, bright yellow, deep purple, to rusty red. The iron itself is usually found in the form of magnetite (Fe3O4, 72.4% Fe), hematite (Fe2O3, 69.9% Fe), goethite (FeO(OH), 62.9% Fe), limonite (FeO(OH).n(H2O)) or siderite (FeCO3, 48.2% Fe).

<ul>
<li>We reiterate positive momentum on iron ore pricing as mill spreads pass 100 RMB/ton and positive lending data from China increases optimism. Iron ore prices are now 103 USD/ton.</li>
<li>Read: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/iron-ore-small-bounce-from-96-to-100-usd-ton-as-china-mill-margins-turn-positive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:192602" rel="noopener">Iron Ore: Small Bounce From 96 to 100 USD/Ton As China Mill Margins Turn Positive</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/iron-ore-mill-spreads-continue-to-improve-bullish-ore-to-110-usd-ton" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:193443" rel="noopener">Iron Ore: Mill Spreads Continue to Improve, Bullish Ore To 110 USD/Ton</a>. </li>
<li>We like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fenix-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7405:1" rel="noopener">Fenix Resources (FEX AU)</a>, which is about to commission the Beebyn-W11 mine and triple its production to 4.1 million tons (vs 1.4 million tons two quarters ago).</li>
</ul>


We reiterate positive momentum on iron ore pricing as mill spreads pass 100 RMB/ton and positive lending data from China increases optimism. Iron ore prices are now 103 USD/ton.
Read: Iron Ore: Small Bounce From 96 to 100 USD/Ton As China Mill Margins Turn Positive and Iron Ore: Mill Spreads Continue to Improve, Bullish Ore To 110 USD/Ton. 
We like Fenix Resources (FEX AU), which is about to commission the Beebyn-W11 mine and triple its production to 4.1 million tons (vs 1.4 million tons two quarters ago).


Iron Ore to 110 USD/Ton: Positive TSF Data and Mill Spread Momentum Builds

Copper is a chemical element with symbol Cu (from Latin: cuprum) and atomic number 29. It is a soft, malleable and ductile metal with very high thermal and electrical conductivity. A freshly exposed surface of pure copper has a reddish-orange color. It is used as a conductor of heat and electricity, as a building material and as a constituent of various metal alloys, such as Sterling silver used in jewelry, cupronickel used to make marine hardware and coins and constantan used in strain gauges and thermocouples for temperature measurement.

<ul>
<li>In our previous insight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/trump-50-import-tariff-could-send-copper-into-stratosphere-short-term-lme-can-breach-11k-usd-ton" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:192880" rel="noopener">Trump 50% Import Tariff Could Send Copper Into Stratosphere Short-Term: LME Can Breach 11k USD/Ton</a>, we highlighted upside risk to the LME price.</li>
<li>Comex-LME spreads remain elevated at $ 2,500/ton levels, reflecting the impact of tariffs that haven't yet been imposed, amid ongoing supply disruptions. Inventories, though, have stopped depleting on the LME. </li>
<li>We remain bullish on copper in the countdown to August 1st, where it is likely that tariffs of 50% are imposed on copper. </li>
</ul>


In our previous insight, Trump 50% Import Tariff Could Send Copper Into Stratosphere Short-Term: LME Can Breach 11k USD/Ton, we highlighted upside risk to the LME price.
Comex-LME spreads remain elevated at $ 2,500/ton levels, reflecting the impact of tariffs that haven't yet been imposed, amid ongoing supply disruptions. Inventories, though, have stopped depleting on the LME. 
We remain bullish on copper in the countdown to August 1st, where it is likely that tariffs of 50% are imposed on copper. 


Bullish Copper: Comex-LME Spreads Off The Charts + Positive China TSF Data

Equity Bottom-Up

DigiPlus Interactive Corp. provides gaming and leisure facilities. The Company offers multi-gaming platforms, numerous products, and games with a strong distribution network of entertainment facilities in neighborhood sites. DigiPlus Interactive serves customers in the Philippines.

<ul>
<li>
<a target="_blank" rel="noopener">The DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM)</a> share price has slipped from a peak of 65 Pesos on June 17th to under 30 Pesos/share as gaming restriction proposals dampen sentiment.  </li>
<li>The bill proposed by Senator Gatchalian prohibits e-wallets, imposes high minimum cash-ins, and stricter advertising regulations. In addition, the Finance department is proposing a tax on online gaming. </li>
<li>The stock now trades at 8.3x PE FY25e. The company has announced a buyback of 6 billion pesos (5% of outstanding shares on current market capitalization). </li>
</ul>



The DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM) share price has slipped from a peak of 65 Pesos on June 17th to under 30 Pesos/share as gaming restriction proposals dampen sentiment.  
The bill proposed by Senator Gatchalian prohibits e-wallets, imposes high minimum cash-ins, and stricter advertising regulations. In addition, the Finance department is proposing a tax on online gaming. 
The stock now trades at 8.3x PE FY25e. The company has announced a buyback of 6 billion pesos (5% of outstanding shares on current market capitalization). 


DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM): Six Billion Peso Buy Back To Counter Negative News

Dream International Limited, through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells a wide range of plush stuffed toys on OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturing) and ODM (Original Design Manufacturing) basis. The Company's clients include Warner Bros., Bandai, Costco Wholesale Corporation, C & H Korea Group, and Funrise Toys.

<ul>
<li>We believe that toymakers are experiencing a bubble like rally led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hasbro-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18204:1" rel="noopener">Hasbro Inc (HAS US)</a> which raised forecasts recently. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dream-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15783:1" rel="noopener">Dream International (1126 HK)</a> has returned &gt;200% since liberation day tariffs were declared on April 2nd 2025 and now trades at 12.7x trailing earnings (vs 3.7x when we initiated). </li>
<li>
<strong> "Never look a gift horse in the mouth" !</strong> .We would take some money off the table here as toy stocks go through periods of cyclicality due restocking/destocking.</li>
</ul>


We believe that toymakers are experiencing a bubble like rally led by Pop Mart International Group L (9992 HK) and Hasbro Inc (HAS US) which raised forecasts recently. 

Dream International (1126 HK) has returned &gt;200% since liberation day tariffs were declared on April 2nd 2025 and now trades at 12.7x trailing earnings (vs 3.7x when we initiated). 

 "Never look a gift horse in the mouth" ! .We would take some money off the table here as toy stocks go through periods of cyclicality due restocking/destocking.


Dream International (1126 HK): Riding the Popmart Bubble

JNBY Design Limited designs, promotes, and sells textile products. The Company offers apparels, footwear, and other accessories for women and children. JNBY Design markets its products globally.

<ul>
<li>The August 1st deadline is approaching, and it seems a bit unclear whether a deal with Vietnam has been reached on a 20% tariff or something lower. </li>
<li>With no formal agreement and just Trump's Truth Social account as a reference, uncertainty looms. For HK-listed companies, the understanding is that they will pass on tariffs to their customers. </li>
<li>We summarize this in our call with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22670:1" rel="noopener">Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)</a> following the results. We also provide updates for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12638:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a> and other names. </li>
</ul>


The August 1st deadline is approaching, and it seems a bit unclear whether a deal with Vietnam has been reached on a 20% tariff or something lower. 
With no formal agreement and just Trump's Truth Social account as a reference, uncertainty looms. For HK-listed companies, the understanding is that they will pass on tariffs to their customers. 
We summarize this in our call with Nameson Holdings (1982 HK) following the results. We also provide updates for Pacific Textiles (1382 HK) and other names. 


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener July 2025: August 1st Deadline Approaches

A buy-side analyst with over 18 years of experience investing in Asian markets and specializing in the mid-small cap space, emphasizing value investing in companies with good free cash flows/dividends and long-term holding horizons. 
Exempt Financial Adviser (EFA) under CrossASEAN Research Pte Ltd. It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Sameer Taneja
Equity, Bottom-up Analyst
• Investics Research

Iron Ore to 110 USD/Ton: Positive TSF Data and Mill Spread Momentum Builds

We maintain our bullish iron ore outlook of $110/ton, up from current $103. We favor 62% Fe prices and highlight Fenix Resources (FEX AU) as a...

Sameer Taneja

Bullish Copper: Comex-LME Spreads Off The Charts + Positive China TSF Data

Ahead of August 1st, the U.S. is set to impose a 50% tariff on copper imports. We analyze expected stockpiling on the COMEX and identify potential...

Sameer Taneja

DigiPlus Interactive (PLUS PM): Six Billion Peso Buy Back To Counter Negative News

The stock is down 44% in the last two trading sessions as more senators have weighed in on an outright ban on online gaming. We had initially...

Sameer Taneja

Dream International (1126 HK): Riding the Popmart Bubble

We try to make sense of the recent rally in Dream International (1126 HK). The stock has been on a tear and is up over 200% since liberation day...

Sameer Taneja

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener July 2025: August 1st Deadline Approaches

Textile Sector Note: Approaching Aug 1 tariff deadline to drive volatility. We see tactical opportunities and risks across our 12-stock coverage...

Sameer Taneja