Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: Resource estimates boost in Sicily – ADX has increased its aggregated prospective gas resource estimates for its Sicily Channel permit from 103–369–772 bcf to 188–484–1,265 bcf (P90–P50–P10 cases).</li><li>The new mean prospective resource of 619 bcf reflects the increased upside potential for the permit.</li><li>Individual prospect sizes range between 37–111 bcf (P50 case), with four prospects each estimated at 60–68 bcf (P50).</li></ul>

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: Resource estimates boost in Sicily – ADX has increased its aggregated prospective gas resource estimates for its Sicily Channel permit from 103–369–772 bcf to 188–484–1,265 bcf (P90–P50–P10 cases).The new mean prospective resource of 619 bcf reflects the increased upside potential for the permit.Individual prospect sizes range between 37–111 bcf (P50 case), with four prospects each estimated at 60–68 bcf (P50).

Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets, EM Spreads

Leandro Gubler

Senior Credit Analyst - Emerging Markets

EM Spreads

Credit

Telecom Argentina SA provides telecommunications services including local, long-distance and international service in Argentina.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, also provides cellular telecommunications services and offers paging services.

<ul>
<li>We upgrade Telecom Argentina to Overweight as the TMA acquisition strengthens its market position, supports operating momentum, and benefits from reduced political risk and improving macro stability.</li>
<li>Regulatory uncertainty remains meaningful, and we think clearer visibility on the Telefónica approval process and integration timeline will be critical for value realization and credit performance.</li>
<li>• We see more value in the TEOAR 2031s given their lower duration, attractive relative spreads versus the EM B Index and peers, and supportive operating trends despite weak liquidity.</li>
</ul>


We upgrade Telecom Argentina to Overweight as the TMA acquisition strengthens its market position, supports operating momentum, and benefits from reduced political risk and improving macro stability.
Regulatory uncertainty remains meaningful, and we think clearer visibility on the Telefónica approval process and integration timeline will be critical for value realization and credit performance.
• We see more value in the TEOAR 2031s given their lower duration, attractive relative spreads versus the EM B Index and peers, and supportive operating trends despite weak liquidity.


Telecom 3Q25: Stronger Margins and a More Constructive Outlook

Asian Economist

Kok Peng Chan

<ul>
<li>By tracking chip sales, sector earnings and ICT profit margins our analysis point to an early-to-mid-cycle AI expansion, not an AI-bubble about to implode</li>
<li>WSTS data show AI demand in a de-synchronised mode, revealing a multi-speed chip cycle with AI in the fast lane and legacy end-markets still digesting past booms</li>
<li>Tech and communication stocks dominate the S&amp;P 500, but unlike 1999 their market and earnings share are broadly matched, suggesting elevated but not irrational pricing provided AI monetisation holds up</li>
</ul>


By tracking chip sales, sector earnings and ICT profit margins our analysis point to an early-to-mid-cycle AI expansion, not an AI-bubble about to implode
WSTS data show AI demand in a de-synchronised mode, revealing a multi-speed chip cycle with AI in the fast lane and legacy end-markets still digesting past booms
Tech and communication stocks dominate the S&amp;P 500, but unlike 1999 their market and earnings share are broadly matched, suggesting elevated but not irrational pricing provided AI monetisation holds up


Independent in-depth research from Finimize, Finimize

Finimize Research

Independent in-depth research from Finimize

Finimize

Finimize is the #1 information platform for modern investors. We empower people to become smarter investors with bitesize insights from world-class analysts. 1 million+ strong community, 250 partners.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Technological revolutions follow a sequence: they start with a disruptive “installation phase”, then go through a critical “turning point”, and are finally followed by a “deployment phase”.</li>
<li>According to Carlota Perez, AI isn’t the start of a new technological revolution: it’s a critical milestone in the current, longstanding “information and telecommunication” revolution.</li>
<li>Being aware of different phases is valuable when investing. It can help you play the contrarian card – staying cautious during the frenzy and making bolder bets during the downturns.</li>
</ul>


Technological revolutions follow a sequence: they start with a disruptive “installation phase”, then go through a critical “turning point”, and are finally followed by a “deployment phase”.
According to Carlota Perez, AI isn’t the start of a new technological revolution: it’s a critical milestone in the current, longstanding “information and telecommunication” revolution.
Being aware of different phases is valuable when investing. It can help you play the contrarian card – staying cautious during the frenzy and making bolder bets during the downturns.


AI And Investing In The New Technological Revolution

<ul>
<li>Ray Dalio actually made an art form of it: his All-Weather Portfolio spreads risk across economic scenarios like inflation, deflation, growth, and slowdowns.</li>
<li>You can improve on it by layering a simple trend filter on top. Do that, and the risk-adjusted returns get a serious boost: drawdowns shrink and the ride is smoother.</li>
<li>The traditional All-Weather Portfolio, 2x leveraged, delivered an 8.7% annual return with 13.8% volatility, and a Sharpe of 0.48. The trend-filtered version 8.2% return and a Sharpe 0.71.</li>
</ul>


Ray Dalio actually made an art form of it: his All-Weather Portfolio spreads risk across economic scenarios like inflation, deflation, growth, and slowdowns.
You can improve on it by layering a simple trend filter on top. Do that, and the risk-adjusted returns get a serious boost: drawdowns shrink and the ride is smoother.
The traditional All-Weather Portfolio, 2x leveraged, delivered an 8.7% annual return with 13.8% volatility, and a Sharpe of 0.48. The trend-filtered version 8.2% return and a Sharpe 0.71.


Ray Dalio’s All-Weather Portfolio Works In Any Market – And This Tweak Makes It Even Better

Argentina
Insights on Argentina

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 05/12/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: Resource estimates boost in...

Auctus Advisors

Telecom 3Q25: Stronger Margins and a More Constructive Outlook

Telecom Argentina’s TMA acquisition, improving fundamentals, and compelling relative value create a timely opportunity for investors seeking yield...

Leandro Gubler

Tracking the AI Cycle : A Macro View

We provide a macro view and three indicators which investors can use to track the AI cycle. They are no where near a 1999 dot-com bubble scenario...

Kok Peng Chan

AI And Investing In The New Technological Revolution

Understanding the phases of technological revolutions can guide investment strategies, with AI seen as a critical milestone in the current...

Finimize Research

Ray Dalio’s All-Weather Portfolio Works In Any Market – And This Tweak Makes It Even Better

Ray Dalio's All-Weather Portfolio can be enhanced with a trend filter for improved risk-adjusted returns, reducing drawdowns, and providing a...

Finimize Research

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 05/12/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: Resource estimates boost in...

Auctus Advisors

Telecom 3Q25: Stronger Margins and a More Constructive Outlook

Telecom Argentina’s TMA acquisition, improving fundamentals, and compelling relative value create a timely opportunity for investors seeking yield...

Leandro Gubler

Tracking the AI Cycle : A Macro View

We provide a macro view and three indicators which investors can use to track the AI cycle. They are no where near a 1999 dot-com bubble scenario...

Kok Peng Chan

AI And Investing In The New Technological Revolution

​Understanding the phases of technological revolutions can guide investment strategies, with AI seen as a critical milestone in the current...

Finimize Research

Ray Dalio’s All-Weather Portfolio Works In Any Market – And This Tweak Makes It Even Better

​Ray Dalio's All-Weather Portfolio can be enhanced with a trend filter for improved risk-adjusted returns, reducing drawdowns, and providing a...

Finimize Research

Understanding the phases of technological revolutions can guide investment strategies, with AI seen as a critical milestone in the current...

Ray Dalio's All-Weather Portfolio can be enhanced with a trend filter for improved risk-adjusted returns, reducing drawdowns, and providing a...