US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

Medline Industries is a medical supply company, manufacturer and distributor.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medline-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45954:1" rel="noopener">Medline (MDLN US)</a> goes public on 17 December on Nasdaq with an estimated market cap of $40bn, 27% lower than the consensus of $55bn.</li>
<li>Inclusion in US indices is expected in March 2026, as the security meets US eligibility criteria before the lock-up expiry.</li>
<li>Inclusion in Global indices is expected in May and June 2026 with a potential delay to August due to low float cap.</li>
</ul>



Medline (MDLN US) goes public on 17 December on Nasdaq with an estimated market cap of $40bn, 27% lower than the consensus of $55bn.
Inclusion in US indices is expected in March 2026, as the security meets US eligibility criteria before the lock-up expiry.
Inclusion in Global indices is expected in May and June 2026 with a potential delay to August due to low float cap.


Medline (MDLN US): Global & US Index Inclusion; Overestimated Valuation?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Zijin Gold is a leading gold mining company formed by combining all the gold mines of Zijin Mining (ZM), located outside of China. Leveraging ZM’s competitive advantage in management of exploration, development and operation of low-grade and refractory resources, ZG has emerged as a global leading and market-oriented gold mining company, vertically integrated through the value chain.

<ul>
<li>There are 5 additions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> in December. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold (2259 HK)</a> is a surprise add (as are some of the others).</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 15.2% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$8.8bn. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index has just passed its earlier highs, but a lot of the adds have broken out and are trading much higher than their prior highs.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 additions for the VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) in December. Zijin Gold (2259 HK) is a surprise add (as are some of the others).
Estimated one-way turnover is 15.2% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$8.8bn. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index has just passed its earlier highs, but a lot of the adds have broken out and are trading much higher than their prior highs.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) Dec Rebalance: 5 Adds and US$8.8bn Trade; Zijin Gold Added

Almonty Industries Inc. operates as a mining company. The Company specializes in the mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrate. Almonty Industries serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/almonty-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23864:1" rel="noopener">Almonty Industries (AII CN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/standard-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:38824:1" rel="noopener">Standard Lithium (SLI US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hubei-zhenhua-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30013:1" rel="noopener">Hubei Zhenhua Chemical Co Ltd (603067 CH)</a> will be added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-rare-earth-strategic-me" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32320:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US)</a> in December.</li>
<li>The constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 18.2% and in a round-trip trade of US$550m.</li>
<li>There have been large creations in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-rare-earth-strategic-me" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32320:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US)</a> as strategic metals and rare earths stocks have surged in price over the last few months.</li>
</ul>



Almonty Industries (AII CN), Standard Lithium (SLI US) and Hubei Zhenhua Chemical Co Ltd (603067 CH) will be added to the VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US) in December.
The constituent changes, float changes and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 18.2% and in a round-trip trade of US$550m.
There have been large creations in VanEck Rare Earth/Strategic Me (REMX US) as strategic metals and rare earths stocks have surged in price over the last few months.


MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$550m Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Alamos Gold Inc. is a Canadian-based gold producer operating three mines in North America. The Company explores and produces gold from mines. Alamos Gold operates portfolio of development stage projects in Canada, Mexico, Turkey, and the United States.

<ul>
<li>The MV Global J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>There will be no index changes for the December 2025 rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one-way flow of US$386mm for the December 2025 rebal.</li>
</ul>


The MV Global J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
There will be no index changes for the December 2025 rebal event.
We expect one-way flow of US$386mm for the December 2025 rebal.


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Dec25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

G Mining Ventures Corp. acquires, explores, and develops gold mineral properties.

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of high and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>There will be five ADDs for the December 2025 rebal event. We predicted two and the other three are surprises.</li>
<li>We expect <em>one</em>-way flow of US$4.1bn and turnover of ~15% for December 2025. Most of this is <em>re</em>-capping flows of the megacaps.</li>
</ul>


The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of high and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
There will be five ADDs for the December 2025 rebal event. We predicted two and the other three are surprises.
We expect one-way flow of US$4.1bn and turnover of ~15% for December 2025. Most of this is re-capping flows of the megacaps.


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Dec25 Rebalance Results: Five ADDs; US$4bn One-Way Flow

Index Rebalance
Index Inclusion / Exclusions Analysis

Medline (MDLN US): Global & US Index Inclusion; Overestimated Valuation?

Medline goes public on Nasdaq with an estimated $40bn market cap - below consensus expectations - and projected US and Global index inclusions in...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) Dec Rebalance: 5 Adds and US$8.8bn Trade; Zijin Gold Added

There are 5 adds with Zijin Gold being a big surprise. Estimated one-way turnover is 15.2% and the round-trip trade is US$8.8bn. The adds have...

Brian Freitas

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$550m Trade

There are 3 adds for the REMX in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 18.2% and round-trip trade is US$550m. There have been big creations in REMX...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Dec25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

There are no ADDs and no DELETEs to the MV Junior Gold Miners Index for Dec 2025 (19 December) but there is about US$800mm to trade and several...

Travis Lundy

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Dec25 Rebalance Results: Five ADDs; US$4bn One-Way Flow

There are 5 ADDs and zero DELETES for the MV Global Gold Miners Index rebal scheduled for 19 Dec 2025. 2 were predicted, 2 had higher float than...

Travis Lundy

Medline (MDLN US): Global & US Index Inclusion; Overestimated Valuation?

Medline goes public on Nasdaq with an estimated $40bn market cap - below consensus expectations - and projected US and Global index inclusions in...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) Dec Rebalance: 5 Adds and US$8.8bn Trade; Zijin Gold Added

There are 5 adds with Zijin Gold being a big surprise. Estimated one-way turnover is 15.2% and the round-trip trade is US$8.8bn. The adds have...

Brian Freitas

MV Global Rare Earth/​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$550m Trade

There are 3 adds for the REMX in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 18.2% and round-trip trade is US$550m. There have been big creations in REMX...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Dec25 Rebalance Results: Flow Expectations

There are no ADDs and no DELETEs to the MV Junior Gold Miners Index for Dec 2025 (19 December) but there is about US$800mm to trade and several...

Travis Lundy

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Dec25 Rebalance Results: Five ADDs; US$4bn One-Way Flow

There are 5 ADDs and zero DELETES for the MV Global Gold Miners Index rebal scheduled for 19 Dec 2025. 2 were predicted, 2 had higher float than...

Travis Lundy

MV Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance: 3 Adds and Other Changes; US$550m Trade