Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

Woodside Energy Group Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

Woodside Energy Group Ltd offers services to the underground coal mining industry, and builds oil, natural gas, and water pipelines.

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-energy-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13190:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Energy Group (WDS AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ampol-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:345:1" rel="noopener">Ampol (ALD AU)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Woodside Energy Group (WDS AU) and short Ampol (ALD AU) targets a 8% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Woodside Energy Group (WDS AU) vs. Ampol (ALD AU) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Woodside Energy Group (WDS AU) and short Ampol (ALD AU) targets a 8% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long Woodside (WDS AU) Vs. Short Ampol (ALD AU): Repeat Pair Trade Opens with 8% Target Return

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

ANE (Cayman) Inc. operates as an integrated logistics company. The Company provides sorting, line-haul transportation, pickup and dispatch services, and other services. ANE (Cayman) offers services in China.

<ul>
<li>Back on the 28th October, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman (9956 HK)</a>, a road freight transportation play, announced an Offer from Centurium Partners, a pre-IPO investor, Temasek, and Singapore-based asset manager True Light. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/1217/2025121701246.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Scheme Doc is now out</a>, with a Scheme Meeting on the 9th Jan 2026, and expected payment on the 16th Feb. The IFA (Anglo Chinese) says "fair &amp; reasonable".</li>
<li>Noticeably absent from this Doc is CDH, believed to be in control of ~18% of shares out.  Given precedents with similar fact patterns, this is probably one deal to avoid. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 28th October, ANE Cayman (9956 HK), a road freight transportation play, announced an Offer from Centurium Partners, a pre-IPO investor, Temasek, and Singapore-based asset manager True Light. 

The Scheme Doc is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 9th Jan 2026, and expected payment on the 16th Feb. The IFA (Anglo Chinese) says "fair &amp; reasonable".
Noticeably absent from this Doc is CDH, believed to be in control of ~18% of shares out.  Given precedents with similar fact patterns, this is probably one deal to avoid. 


ANE Cayman (9956 HK): Shareholder Vote On 9th Jan. No Mention Of CDH In Latest Doc

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)</a>’s IFA opines that the consortium’s offer of cash (HK$12.18 per share) or scrip is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 9 January. </li>
<li>The consortium's decision on 4 December not to raise the share alternative cap from 5.00% to 7.50% of outstanding shares is a red flag, casting doubt on the vote's success. </li>
<li>The lack of irrevocables from Mr Wang Yongjun and CDH adds to the uncertainty. Therefore, caution is warranted due to an unfavourable risk/reward profile. </li>
</ul>



ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)’s IFA opines that the consortium’s offer of cash (HK$12.18 per share) or scrip is fair and reasonable. The vote is on 9 January. 
The consortium's decision on 4 December not to raise the share alternative cap from 5.00% to 7.50% of outstanding shares is a red flag, casting doubt on the vote's success. 
The lack of irrevocables from Mr Wang Yongjun and CDH adds to the uncertainty. Therefore, caution is warranted due to an unfavourable risk/reward profile. 


ANE (9956 HK): Uncertainty Ahead of the Scheme Vote on 9 January

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
 India's consumption is the core economic engine, driven by a surge in Per Capita Income and a structural shift toward premium spending.</li>
<li>
 Strong demographic tailwinds and policy catalysts are accelerating penetration across key, high-value consumer sectors like auto and e-commerce</li>
<li>The Nifty India Consumption TRI consistently delivers superior alpha and is projected to maintain a higher Return on Equity than the broader market.</li>
</ul>



 India's consumption is the core economic engine, driven by a surge in Per Capita Income and a structural shift toward premium spending.

 Strong demographic tailwinds and policy catalysts are accelerating penetration across key, high-value consumer sectors like auto and e-commerce
The Nifty India Consumption TRI consistently delivers superior alpha and is projected to maintain a higher Return on Equity than the broader market.


Chartered Insights: Indian Consumption~ A Decadal Story

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Asian Terminals, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates and manages port terminals in the Philippines. The company operates and manages the Manila South Harbor, the Inland Clearance Depot, the Port of Batangas, and the Port of General Santos, as well as off-dock container yards. It provides stevedoring, arrastre, warehousing, storage, carnage, container freight station, domestic cargo handling, passenger terminal, and other port related services for international shipping lines; and trucking, just-in-time delivery, brokerage, and maintenance and repair services. The company was formerly known as Marina Port Services, Inc. Asian Terminals, Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Manila, the Philippines.

<ul>
<li>Maharlika Investment Corp. (MIC) announced its intentions to launch a tender offer for shares of Asian Terminals. </li>
<li>This could accelerate the delisting of Asian Terminals from the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE).</li>
<li>Tender offer price is 36 PHP. Upon completion, MIC is expected to hold approximately 11.2% of ATI's outstanding common shares. </li>
</ul>


Maharlika Investment Corp. (MIC) announced its intentions to launch a tender offer for shares of Asian Terminals. 
This could accelerate the delisting of Asian Terminals from the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE).
Tender offer price is 36 PHP. Upon completion, MIC is expected to hold approximately 11.2% of ATI's outstanding common shares. 


A Tender Offer for Asian Terminals by Maharlika Investment Corp (Philippines Sovereign Wealth Fund)

Industrials
Industrials Insights

Long Woodside (WDS AU) Vs. Short Ampol (ALD AU): Repeat Pair Trade Opens with 8% Target Return

Woodside Energy Group vs. Ampol price ratio signals a ~8% relative value trade to the one-standard-deviation line, ideal for quant traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

ANE Cayman (9956 HK): Shareholder Vote On 9th Jan. No Mention Of CDH In Latest Doc

Surprising absence of CDH in this latest Doc. Given the ongoing ambiguity as to who owns/controls what, I'm inclined to sit this one out - for now....

David Blennerhassett

ANE (9956 HK): Uncertainty Ahead of the Scheme Vote on 9 January

The decision not to raise the share cap and the lack of irrevocables from shareholders with blocking stakes cast doubt on the vote's success. A...

Arun George

Chartered Insights: Indian Consumption~ A Decadal Story

India's consumption boom driven by rising income and premium spending, supported by demographic trends and policy changes, offers strong...

Sudarshan Bhandari

A Tender Offer for Asian Terminals by Maharlika Investment Corp (Philippines Sovereign Wealth Fund)

Maharlika Investment Corp. (MIC) announced its intentions to launch a tender offer for shares of Asian Terminals (ATI PM).

Douglas Kim

Long Woodside (WDS AU) Vs. Short Ampol (ALD AU): Repeat Pair Trade Opens with 8% Target Return

​Woodside Energy Group vs. Ampol price ratio signals a ~8% relative value trade to the one-standard-deviation line, ideal for quant traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

ANE Cayman (9956 HK): Shareholder Vote On 9th Jan. No Mention Of CDH In Latest Doc

Surprising absence of CDH in this latest Doc. Given the ongoing ambiguity as to who owns/controls what, I'm inclined to sit this one out - for now....

David Blennerhassett

ANE (9956 HK): Uncertainty Ahead of the Scheme Vote on 9 January

The decision not to raise the share cap and the lack of irrevocables from shareholders with blocking stakes cast doubt on the vote's success. A...

Arun George

Chartered Insights: Indian Consumption~ A Decadal Story

​India's consumption boom driven by rising income and premium spending, supported by demographic trends and policy changes, offers strong...

Sudarshan Bhandari

A Tender Offer for Asian Terminals by Maharlika Investment Corp (Philippines Sovereign Wealth Fund)

Maharlika Investment Corp. (MIC) announced its intentions to launch a tender offer for shares of Asian Terminals (ATI PM).

Douglas Kim

Woodside Energy Group vs. Ampol price ratio signals a ~8% relative value trade to the one-standard-deviation line, ideal for quant traders...

India's consumption boom driven by rising income and premium spending, supported by demographic trends and policy changes, offers strong...