Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC's Most Advanced Node -- 5x Growth to 200K Wafers a Month? Upcoming 2nm Node Capacity Ramp Could Be Much Bigger Than Many Think</li>
<li>OpenAI's Sam Altman 'Jokes' About Owning US$3 Trillion Worth of GPUs One Day...</li>
<li>AI PC Delay -- Nvidia-MediaTek Push AI PC Chip Launch to 2026</li>
</ul>


TSMC's Most Advanced Node -- 5x Growth to 200K Wafers a Month? Upcoming 2nm Node Capacity Ramp Could Be Much Bigger Than Many Think
OpenAI's Sam Altman 'Jokes' About Owning US$3 Trillion Worth of GPUs One Day...
AI PC Delay -- Nvidia-MediaTek Push AI PC Chip Launch to 2026


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Preparing 5x 2nm Ramp into 2027; Altman 'Jokes' About Buying 100x More GPUs

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Nvidia and AMD are set to resume scaled-down AI chip exports to China, marking a partial reversal of earlier U.S. export bans.</li>
<li>China retains a near-monopoly on REE refining, controlling roughly 90% of global capacity, and its March 2025 export halt highlighted the leverage it holds over high-tech and defence supply chains.</li>
<li>While markets rallied on the chip announcements, IV data suggests diverging risk expectations across Nvidia, AMD, and MP Materials, reflecting broader uncertainty around the durability and scope of this reopening.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia and AMD are set to resume scaled-down AI chip exports to China, marking a partial reversal of earlier U.S. export bans.
China retains a near-monopoly on REE refining, controlling roughly 90% of global capacity, and its March 2025 export halt highlighted the leverage it holds over high-tech and defence supply chains.
While markets rallied on the chip announcements, IV data suggests diverging risk expectations across Nvidia, AMD, and MP Materials, reflecting broader uncertainty around the durability and scope of this reopening.


Strategic Trade-Offs Define Chipmakers’ Limited China Reopening

<ul>
<li>Intel Tapes Out New PC Chips on TSMC 2nm -- Dual-Node Nova Lake Strategy Shows Dependence on TSMC... and Value of UMC for INTC in the Long-Term</li>
<li>DRAM Memory Outlook -- Nanya Results See Non-AI DRAM Demand Rebound; DDR4 Shortage Tightens, Expects Continued Strength in 2H25</li>
<li>PC 2Q25: 6-7% Unit Growth YoY Is Pretty Good. 2025 Looks like a 5-6% Growth Year </li>
</ul>


Intel Tapes Out New PC Chips on TSMC 2nm -- Dual-Node Nova Lake Strategy Shows Dependence on TSMC... and Value of UMC for INTC in the Long-Term
DRAM Memory Outlook -- Nanya Results See Non-AI DRAM Demand Rebound; DDR4 Shortage Tightens, Expects Continued Strength in 2H25
PC 2Q25: 6-7% Unit Growth YoY Is Pretty Good. 2025 Looks like a 5-6% Growth Year 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Intel Tapes Out New Chips at TSMC - What It Means; PC Demand Growth in Focus

Zhen Ding Technology Holding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhen-ding-technology-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16830:1" rel="noopener">Zhen Ding Technology Holding (4958 TT)</a> is leveraging its full-stack PCB and IC substrate portfolio to position itself as a critical enabler of AI hardware across cloud, channel, and edge applications. </li>
<li>AI-Linked hardware is expected to account for over 70% of Zhen Ding’s revenue in 2025, up sharply from 45% in 2024 and just 8% in 2023.</li>
<li>Zhen Ding shares remain substantially below their 52-week highs; we see the company well-placed in terms of long-term drivers. Well placed for an upcoming AI robotics boom.</li>
</ul>



Zhen Ding Technology Holding (4958 TT) is leveraging its full-stack PCB and IC substrate portfolio to position itself as a critical enabler of AI hardware across cloud, channel, and edge applications. 
AI-Linked hardware is expected to account for over 70% of Zhen Ding’s revenue in 2025, up sharply from 45% in 2024 and just 8% in 2023.
Zhen Ding shares remain substantially below their 52-week highs; we see the company well-placed in terms of long-term drivers. Well placed for an upcoming AI robotics boom.


TechChain Insights: Zhen Ding - How Next Generation PCBs/Substrates Will Be Critical for AI Devices

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>KKR is looking to raise approximately US$620m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 13% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a>'s (KE) stock.</li>
<li>KKR had sold in the IPO and undertaken an extended selldown in July 2024 as well. Hence, this deal is somewhat well flagged.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


KKR is looking to raise approximately US$620m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 13% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)'s (KE) stock.
KKR had sold in the IPO and undertaken an extended selldown in July 2024 as well. Hence, this deal is somewhat well flagged.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kokusai Electric Placement - Well Flagged but past Deal Didn’t Do Well

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Preparing 5x 2nm Ramp into 2027; Altman 'Jokes' About Buying 100x More GPUs

TSMC's upcoming 2nm node could see a significant increase in wafer capacity, OpenAI's Sam Altman jokes about owning trillions worth of GPUs, and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Strategic Trade-Offs Define Chipmakers’ Limited China Reopening

Nvidia and AMD to resume AI chip exports to China, but uncertainty remains over supply chain leverage and market risks.

Mint Finance

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Intel Tapes Out New Chips at TSMC - What It Means; PC Demand Growth in Focus

Intel relies on TSMC for new PC chips, Nanya sees rebound in non-AI DRAM demand, PC unit growth expected to continue in 2025.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TechChain Insights: Zhen Ding - How Next Generation PCBs/Substrates Will Be Critical for AI Devices

Zhen Ding is poised to become a key leader in the backbone of AI hardware with a strong portfolio with strong growth expected in the coming years.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Kokusai Electric Placement - Well Flagged but past Deal Didn’t Do Well

KKR is looking to raise approximately US$620m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 13% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)'s (KE) stock.

Sumeet Singh

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Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Preparing 5x 2nm Ramp into 2027; Altman 'Jokes' About Buying 100x More GPUs

​TSMC's upcoming 2nm node could see a significant increase in wafer capacity, OpenAI's Sam Altman jokes about owning trillions worth of GPUs, and...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Strategic Trade-Offs Define Chipmakers’ Limited China Reopening

​Nvidia and AMD to resume AI chip exports to China, but uncertainty remains over supply chain leverage and market risks.

Mint Finance

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Intel Tapes Out New Chips at TSMC - What It Means; PC Demand Growth in Focus

​Intel relies on TSMC for new PC chips, Nanya sees rebound in non-AI DRAM demand, PC unit growth expected to continue in 2025.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TechChain Insights: Zhen Ding - How Next Generation PCBs/Substrates Will Be Critical for AI Devices

​Zhen Ding is poised to become a key leader in the backbone of AI hardware with a strong portfolio with strong growth expected in the coming years.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Kokusai Electric Placement - Well Flagged but past Deal Didn’t Do Well

KKR is looking to raise approximately US$620m through an accelerated secondary offering for around 13% of Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)'s (KE) stock.

Sumeet Singh

TSMC's upcoming 2nm node could see a significant increase in wafer capacity, OpenAI's Sam Altman jokes about owning trillions worth of GPUs, and...

Nvidia and AMD to resume AI chip exports to China, but uncertainty remains over supply chain leverage and market risks.

Intel relies on TSMC for new PC chips, Nanya sees rebound in non-AI DRAM demand, PC unit growth expected to continue in 2025.

Zhen Ding is poised to become a key leader in the backbone of AI hardware with a strong portfolio with strong growth expected in the coming years.