Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There used to be a 30% single stock capping rule for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a>. Following a hue and cry, that was repealed in 2020.</li>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix</a> making up over 60% of the index weight, it may be time for the index provider and regulators to revisit capping, and at a lower level.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX)</a> shows concentration on every metric compared to other regional equity indices. That does not bode well in times of market volatility.</li>
</ul>


There used to be a 30% single stock capping rule for the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX). Following a hue and cry, that was repealed in 2020.
With Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix making up over 60% of the index weight, it may be time for the index provider and regulators to revisit capping, and at a lower level.
The Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 INDEX) shows concentration on every metric compared to other regional equity indices. That does not bode well in times of market volatility.


KOSPI200 Index: Should Capping Be (Re)Introduced?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Mirae Asset Securities

Mirae Asset Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Mirae Asset Securities Co.,Ltd. provides comprehensive wealth management services. The Company offers fixed income securities brokerage, securities dealing, equity underwriting, and other services. Mirae Asset Securities also deals with mergers and acquisitions, foreign currency, and financial derivatives

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We maintain our Buy rating and target price of W550,000 on Samsung Electronics (SEC).</li><li>While the stock has fallen more than 20% from its recent peak, we see no reason to adjust our target price, given the favorable industry backdrop, the firm’s strong competitive positioning and profitability, and its undemanding valuation.</li><li>The stock is currently trading at a 2026F P/E of 6.5x and 2026F P/B of 2.7x.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We maintain our Buy rating and target price of W550,000 on Samsung Electronics (SEC).While the stock has fallen more than 20% from its recent peak, we see no reason to adjust our target price, given the favorable industry backdrop, the firm’s strong competitive positioning and profitability, and its undemanding valuation.The stock is currently trading at a 2026F P/E of 6.5x and 2026F P/B of 2.7x.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Samsung Electronics (005930 KS/Buy)Stay the Course Despite the Recent Pullback

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>Samsung has fallen hard since announcing a 19-fold increase in its quarterly profit.  Higher chip prices, rather than increased shipment volumes, were the primary driver of the profit surge.</li>
<li>The consensus average 12-month price target is KRW 497,952, implying approximately +71% upside from the July 7 close of ~KRW 291,000 following the post-earnings selloff.</li>
<li>Some investors interpreted the record results as a potential peak signal, raising fears that today's memory bottleneck could become tomorrow's overcapacity risk — particularly if hyperscaler capex moderates.</li>
</ul>


Samsung has fallen hard since announcing a 19-fold increase in its quarterly profit.  Higher chip prices, rather than increased shipment volumes, were the primary driver of the profit surge.
The consensus average 12-month price target is KRW 497,952, implying approximately +71% upside from the July 7 close of ~KRW 291,000 following the post-earnings selloff.
Some investors interpreted the record results as a potential peak signal, raising fears that today's memory bottleneck could become tomorrow's overcapacity risk — particularly if hyperscaler capex moderates.


Samsung Beat Estimates: HEAD FOR THE EXIT!!!

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> is looking to raise around US$30bn via a new share issue to back ADRs listed on the NASDAQ.</li>
<li>The ADR to local share ratio is 10:1 and the ADRs are expected to start trading in the second half of July.</li>
<li>There will be passive buying from multiple index trackers and that will mop up a significant amount of the new share offering.</li>
</ul>



SK Hynix (000660 KS) is looking to raise around US$30bn via a new share issue to back ADRs listed on the NASDAQ.
The ADR to local share ratio is 10:1 and the ADRs are expected to start trading in the second half of July.
There will be passive buying from multiple index trackers and that will mop up a significant amount of the new share offering.


SK Hynix (000660 KS; SKHY US) ADR Issue: Large Index Flows & Potential Timing

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> (SKH), a leading global memory producer, aims to raise over US$10bn via an ADR listing.</li>
<li>SKH has confidentially filed for an ADR issuance which could see it potentially launch a raising in July 2026, as per media reports.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



SK Hynix (000660 KS) (SKH), a leading global memory producer, aims to raise over US$10bn via an ADR listing.
SKH has confidentially filed for an ADR issuance which could see it potentially launch a raising in July 2026, as per media reports.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Aequitas: SK Hynix ADR Listing - Part 1 - Early Look at the US$10-15bn Offering

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

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Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)

KOSPI200 Index: Should Capping Be (Re)Introduced?

The KOSPI200 is more concentrated than the KOSDAQ150 and other regional peers. Sidecars and circuit breakers are being triggered more frequently...

Brian Freitas