HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sinotrans-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1321:1" rel="noopener">Sinotrans (598 HK)</a> has confirmed its plan to issue infrastructure REIT using six warehouse logistics assets as underlying assets, and they represents 7.6% of its total warehouse area.</li>
<li>The proposed issuance may boost its value by HK$0.16/share, or 7.3% of share price. Should all 4m sq.m. of warehouse assets are securitised, this may nearly double the stock's price.</li>
<li>Since Jun, Sinotrans has repurchased 14m H-shares, suggesting positive view on outlook. There will be more to come, and as the shares will be cancelled, EPS will be enhanced. </li>
</ul>



Sinotrans (598 HK) has confirmed its plan to issue infrastructure REIT using six warehouse logistics assets as underlying assets, and they represents 7.6% of its total warehouse area.
The proposed issuance may boost its value by HK$0.16/share, or 7.3% of share price. Should all 4m sq.m. of warehouse assets are securitised, this may nearly double the stock's price.
Since Jun, Sinotrans has repurchased 14m H-shares, suggesting positive view on outlook. There will be more to come, and as the shares will be cancelled, EPS will be enhanced. 


Sinotrans (598 HK): How Much Value Can Be Unlocked from Its First REIT?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The downside to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a> remains, but the reasoned downside is smaller than it was before.</li>
<li>CVC walks, but it doesn't stop <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brambles-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:693:1" rel="noopener">Brambles Ltd (BXB AU)</a> privatisation speculation. </li>
<li>If <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tabcorp-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6837:1" rel="noopener">Tabcorp</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/the-lottery-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35970:1" rel="noopener">The Lottery Corp</a> are seen as low volatility growth properties, then the stability of cashflow puts it into rarified air among "growth bias" which has gotten trashed. </li>
</ul>


The downside to Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU) remains, but the reasoned downside is smaller than it was before.
CVC walks, but it doesn't stop Brambles Ltd (BXB AU) privatisation speculation. 
If Tabcorp and The Lottery Corp are seen as low volatility growth properties, then the stability of cashflow puts it into rarified air among "growth bias" which has gotten trashed. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: Woodside Petroleum, Brambles, Tabcorp, HKBN, Japan

<ul>
<li>There are 41 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Three news deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kintetsu-world-express-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11710:1" rel="noopener">Kintetsu World Express (9375 JP)</a>'s Tender Offer, Woolies tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mydeal-com-au-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30939:1" rel="noopener">MyDeal.com (MYD AU)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mydeal-com-au-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30939:1" rel="noopener"></a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hwa-hong-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6648:1" rel="noopener">Hwa Hong (HWAH SP)</a>'s MBO, &amp; KKR's bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kito-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19512:1" rel="noopener">Kito (6409 JP)</a>
</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a> &amp;<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate Group (IAP AU)</a> 
</li>
</ul>


There are 41 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Three news deals this week: Kintetsu World Express (9375 JP)'s Tender Offer, Woolies tilt for MyDeal.com (MYD AU), Hwa Hong (HWAH SP)'s MBO, &amp; KKR's bid for Kito (6409 JP)

Key updates took place for: Virtus Health (VRT AU) &amp;Irongate Group (IAP AU) 



Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Kinetsu World, Hwa Hong, MyDeal, Kito, Virtus Health, Irongate, HKBN

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China CITIC Financial Asset Management / Index Rebalance

China CITIC Financial Asset Management (2799 HK)

<ul>
<li>We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.
We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.
Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

<ul>
<li>For the month of March, five new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$3bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in March was ~31%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of March, five new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$3bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in March was ~31%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.


China

China Logistics Property Holdings is an investment holding company and a logistics facilities provider. It offers integrated solutions for the design, development, leasing, operation, and management of logistics infrastructure, primarily engaging in the leasing of storage facilities and related management services. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)

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China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)

Sinotrans (598 HK): How Much Value Can Be Unlocked from Its First REIT?

Value equals to HK$0.16 per share, or 7.3% of its share price, can be realised from the proposed REIT issuance by Sinotrans. Its recent H-share...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Last Week In Event SPACE: Woodside Petroleum, Brambles, Tabcorp, HKBN, Japan

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Kinetsu World, Hwa Hong, MyDeal, Kito, Virtus Health, Irongate, HKBN

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

We forecast 7 adds to the HSCI in June. For the September rebalance, we forecast 19 adds & 19 deletes (7 on mkt cap, 4 on liquidity, 8 on long...

Brian Freitas

(Mostly) Asia M&A: March 2022 Roundup

For the month of March, five new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$3bn. The average premium for the new...

David Blennerhassett

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