Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BEKE: New Home Sales still lukewarm in October and early November (/)</li>
<li>XPEV, LI, BYD, CATL: SK On and LGES cut staff amid US EV slowdowns, positive for Chinese EV &amp; battery</li>
<li>XPEV: Huawei AITO M5 rear-end accident took place on November 14 raises safety concerns(+)</li>
</ul>


BEKE: New Home Sales still lukewarm in October and early November (/)
XPEV, LI, BYD, CATL: SK On and LGES cut staff amid US EV slowdowns, positive for Chinese EV &amp; battery
XPEV: Huawei AITO M5 rear-end accident took place on November 14 raises safety concerns(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:  BEKE/XPEV/LI/BYD/CATL

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New and Better (16 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>Hs with H/A pairs outperform their As on average with higher-liquidity Hs outperforming more. High Premium As not seeing shrinking premia on average.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. It looked like the combination of NORTHBOUND and SOUTHBOUND put on a long H short A in the non-bank financial sector.</li>
</ul>


The New and Better (16 weeks old) A-H Monitor has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
Hs with H/A pairs outperform their As on average with higher-liquidity Hs outperforming more. High Premium As not seeing shrinking premia on average.
SOUTHBOUND and NORTHBOUND were net sells overall. It looked like the combination of NORTHBOUND and SOUTHBOUND put on a long H short A in the non-bank financial sector.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Nov): H up Vs A Despite SOUTHBOUND Net Selling; High Div SOEs Normalising

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, Foxconn, and this week Longi Green Energy. Nets are smaller.</li>
<li>Last week, NORTHBOUND was again net sellers, showing three weeks ago (the only weekly net buy in months) may have been a fluke.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Zhongji Innolight, Foxconn, and this week Longi Green Energy. Nets are smaller.
Last week, NORTHBOUND was again net sellers, showing three weeks ago (the only weekly net buy in months) may have been a fluke.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Nov 23): Net Sales Again, Dominated by Financials

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pasona-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15778:1" rel="noopener">Pasona Group (2168 JP)</a> is massively net cash. And it's ofloading <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One Inc (2412 JP)</a>. Though we don't know what the future holds, Pasona is the wrong price.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> controlling shreholder announced it intends to increase it stake. And it's been in the market almost everry day since the interims. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2178:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK)</a> announced its rights offering. It's at a long-term low price, and about to earn a long-term high net income, and have a long-term high payout ratio</li>
</ul>



Pasona Group (2168 JP) is massively net cash. And it's ofloading Benefit One Inc (2412 JP). Though we don't know what the future holds, Pasona is the wrong price.

ENN Energy (2688 HK) controlling shreholder announced it intends to increase it stake. And it's been in the market almost everry day since the interims. 

Zhejiang Expressway (576 HK) announced its rights offering. It's at a long-term low price, and about to earn a long-term high net income, and have a long-term high payout ratio


Last Week in Event SPACE: Zhejiang, Pasona, ENN Energy, Asahi Group, Azure Minerals

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR</a>, a premium EV brand by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a>, aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.</li>
<li>Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



ZEEKR, a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing.
Zeekr was formed in Mar 2021 as a JV between Geely and its founder. Its first model was launched in Apr 21 with deliveries starting in Oct 21.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Zeekr Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains Highly Dependent on Geely

China

Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited. operates as a battery products manufacturing company. The Company produces and sells power battery materials, energy storage batteries energy storage battery cells, systems, and other products. Contemporary Amperex Technology also provides batteries recycling services.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

[Blue Lotus Daily]: BEKE/XPEV/LI/BYD/CATL

New home sales remain tepid, while US EV slowdowns lead to staff cuts at SK On and LGES, potentially benefiting Chinese EV and battery companies....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Nov): H up Vs A Despite SOUTHBOUND Net Selling; High Div SOEs Normalising

A/H premia on average narrowed somewhat despite SOUTHBOUND net selling this week both on a universal and H/A pair space basis. High Div SOEs have...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Nov 23): Net Sales Again, Dominated by Financials

Mainland Connect (NORTHBOUND) flows were negative again. Nearly RMB 5bn and net sells across both exchanges four days out of five. Financials were...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Zhejiang, Pasona, ENN Energy, Asahi Group, Azure Minerals

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Zeekr Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains Highly Dependent on Geely

ZEEKR, a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]: BEKE/XPEV/LI/BYD/CATL

​New home sales remain tepid, while US EV slowdowns lead to staff cuts at SK On and LGES, potentially benefiting Chinese EV and battery companies....

Blue Lotus Research Institute

A/H Premium Tracker (To 17 Nov): H up Vs A Despite SOUTHBOUND Net Selling; High Div SOEs Normalising

A/H premia on average narrowed somewhat despite SOUTHBOUND net selling this week both on a universal and H/A pair space basis. High Div SOEs have...

Travis Lundy

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Nov 23): Net Sales Again, Dominated by Financials

Mainland Connect (NORTHBOUND) flows were negative again. Nearly RMB 5bn and net sells across both exchanges four days out of five. Financials were...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Zhejiang, Pasona, ENN Energy, Asahi Group, Azure Minerals

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Zeekr Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains Highly Dependent on Geely

ZEEKR, a premium EV brand by Geely Auto (175 HK), aims to raise around US$500m in its US listing. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive...

Sumeet Singh

New home sales remain tepid, while US EV slowdowns lead to staff cuts at SK On and LGES, potentially benefiting Chinese EV and battery companies....