Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BILL Holdings shares have bottomed out near $40 per share after Starboard Value and Elliott Management built large stakes in the American SMB back-office pioneer.</li>
<li>BILL Holding shares significantly underperformed in 2025 with shares down ~44% over the year versus a 21% gain on the Nasdaq.</li>
<li>I see further room for upside on potential launching new intelligent AI agents, partnerships with software providers, disciplined expense management and operating efficiency.</li>
</ul>


BILL Holdings shares have bottomed out near $40 per share after Starboard Value and Elliott Management built large stakes in the American SMB back-office pioneer.
BILL Holding shares significantly underperformed in 2025 with shares down ~44% over the year versus a 21% gain on the Nasdaq.
I see further room for upside on potential launching new intelligent AI agents, partnerships with software providers, disciplined expense management and operating efficiency.


2024 High Conviction Update: BILL Holdings, Starboard Value and Elliott Move In

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>Six Australian stock pairs have triggered new mean-reversion trade signals, with price ratios deviating more than two standard deviations from their one-year averages.</li>
<li>Upcoming earnings announcements could add volatility and shape short-term trade outcomes.</li>
<li>Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, outlining opportunities and key risk considerations.</li>
</ul>


Six Australian stock pairs have triggered new mean-reversion trade signals, with price ratios deviating more than two standard deviations from their one-year averages.
Upcoming earnings announcements could add volatility and shape short-term trade outcomes.
Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, outlining opportunities and key risk considerations.


Six Fresh Relative Value Opportunities in Australia Signal New Stat Arb Trades

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 10th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD28.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Woolworths, ANZ, Qbe Insurance, Qantas Airways, Cleanaway Waste Management.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 10th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD28.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Woolworths, ANZ, Qbe Insurance, Qantas Airways, Cleanaway Waste Management.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 10th): Woolworths, ANZ, Qbe Insurance, Qantas Airways

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 12th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Sep 12th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 12th): Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflect changing market conditions. The consultation conclusions could be announced next week.</li>
<li>The updated methodology could lead to 51 changes across the family of indices with implementation on 19 September. There will be a large impact on a number of stocks.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last several months and near-term performance has been spectacular for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index changes.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflect changing market conditions. The consultation conclusions could be announced next week.
The updated methodology could lead to 51 changes across the family of indices with implementation on 19 September. There will be a large impact on a number of stocks.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last several months and near-term performance has been spectacular for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index changes.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated

New Zealand

Xero Limited offers an online accounting system.  The software features bank transaction importing, a cashbook, a general ledger, invoicing, accounts receivable, accounts payable, financial reporting, and management of expense claims.

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Xero Ltd (XRO AU)

2024 High Conviction Update: BILL Holdings, Starboard Value and Elliott Move In

BILL Holdings shares have bottomed out near $40/share. The activist investor Starboard Value and hedge fund Elliott Management move in: a double...

Andrei Zakharov

Six Fresh Relative Value Opportunities in Australia Signal New Stat Arb Trades

Pair trade opportunities arise across top ASX names such as CBA, NAB, Westpac, JB Hi-Fi and Xero as price ratios deviate.

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 10th): Woolworths, ANZ, Qbe Insurance, Qantas Airways

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woolworths, ANZ, Qbe Insurance, Qantas Airways,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 12th): Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated

The review period for the September rebalance is done and the proposals in the market consultation will be implemented. That means a lot of change...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

2024 High Conviction Update: BILL Holdings, Starboard Value and Elliott Move In

​BILL Holdings shares have bottomed out near $40/share. The activist investor Starboard Value and hedge fund Elliott Management move in: a double...

Andrei Zakharov

Six Fresh Relative Value Opportunities in Australia Signal New Stat Arb Trades

Pair trade opportunities arise across top ASX names such as CBA, NAB, Westpac, JB Hi-Fi and Xero as price ratios deviate.

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 10th): Woolworths, ANZ, Qbe Insurance, Qantas Airways

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Woolworths, ANZ, Qbe Insurance, Qantas Airways,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Sep 12th): Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Sayona Mining, ANZ, Woolworths, Westpac, Xero.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated

The review period for the September rebalance is done and the proposals in the market consultation will be implemented. That means a lot of change...

Brian Freitas

BILL Holdings shares have bottomed out near $40/share. The activist investor Starboard Value and hedge fund Elliott Management move in: a double...

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated