External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We raised FY26F net profit by +5% to Rp32.8tr, reflecting stronger Automotive margins as Astra’s brand strength limit discounting. </li><li>Seasonally strong Nov-Dec 4W industry volume should reinforce the recovery momentum. </li><li>Maintain Buy rating with higher TP of Rp7,450 (9.2x FY26F P/E; +1SD), backed by a ~7% dividend yield.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We raised FY26F net profit by +5% to Rp32.8tr, reflecting stronger Automotive margins as Astra’s brand strength limit discounting. Seasonally strong Nov-Dec 4W industry volume should reinforce the recovery momentum. Maintain Buy rating with higher TP of Rp7,450 (9.2x FY26F P/E; +1SD), backed by a ~7% dividend yield.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Astra International (ASII.IJ) 3Q25 Marks Earnings Bottom...

<ul><li>3Q25 earnings may surprise on the upside, driven by +5.4% qoq volume growth and stable 52.0% mkt share, despite continued price pressure.</li><li>A seasonal lift in 4Q25 should drive FY25 volume to ~750–770k units, keeping ASII’s share above 52.5% and earnings on track.</li><li>Valuation remains undemanding at 7.5x FY26F P/E; TSR or HEV rollout could unlock upside to 9.5x (TP: Rp6,700).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

3Q25 earnings may surprise on the upside, driven by +5.4% qoq volume growth and stable 52.0% mkt share, despite continued price pressure.A seasonal lift in 4Q25 should drive FY25 volume to ~750–770k units, keeping ASII’s share above 52.5% and earnings on track.Valuation remains undemanding at 7.5x FY26F P/E; TSR or HEV rollout could unlock upside to 9.5x (TP: Rp6,700).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Astra International (ASII.IJ) 3Q25 Preview: Potential Upside Surprise from Auto

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>It's a weak stub. And given <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inpex-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20665:1" rel="noopener">Inpex Corp (1605 JP)</a>'s direct upstream ops amid high crude oil prices, I'd be disinclined to short the company here against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-petroleum-exploration" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12219:1" rel="noopener">JAPEX (1662 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Keswick chips away at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson (JM SP)</a>'s minorities via scrip dividends and buybacks; as JMH completes the  US$2.4bn i-Med acquisition. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-southeast-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia (JCNC SP)</a> (formerly known as Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage), popped ~10% ahead of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> in-specie-distribution and special dividend.</li>
</ul>


It's a weak stub. And given Inpex Corp (1605 JP)'s direct upstream ops amid high crude oil prices, I'd be disinclined to short the company here against JAPEX (1662 JP).
Keswick chips away at Jardine Matheson (JM SP)'s minorities via scrip dividends and buybacks; as JMH completes the  US$2.4bn i-Med acquisition. 

Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia (JCNC SP) (formerly known as Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage), popped ~10% ahead of the Toyota Motor (7203 JP) in-specie-distribution and special dividend.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Inpex, Jardine Matheson, Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia, Genting

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Equity Strategy Repricing the Risk; Potential Tactical Reliefs to Emerge.</li><li>JCI’s risk premium has reset higher on fiscal pressure, policy noise, negative sovereign outlooks, and MSCI deletions/ down-weight.</li><li>We see three ST potential tactical reliefs: foreign flow exhaustion, easing seasonal Rupiah pressure and the oil/war narrative peak. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy Repricing the Risk; Potential Tactical Reliefs to Emerge.JCI’s risk premium has reset higher on fiscal pressure, policy noise, negative sovereign outlooks, and MSCI deletions/ down-weight.We see three ST potential tactical reliefs: foreign flow exhaustion, easing seasonal Rupiah pressure and the oil/war narrative peak. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: Repricing the Risk; Potential Tactical Reliefs to Emerge

Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia / Event-Driven

Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia (JCNC SP)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-southeast-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:347:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia (JCNC SP)</a> (formerly known as Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP), popped ~10% today ahead of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> in-specie-distribution and special dividend.</li>
<li>The record date for both is the 9th October, with payment on (or before) 2nd December. </li>
<li>JMSEA's implied stub value is around its highest-ever level. As is the simple ratio of JMSEA/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-astra-international-tbk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46:1" rel="noopener">Astra International (ASII IJ)</a>. Neither are sustainable. Borrow is (reportedly) non-existent.</li>
</ul>



Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia (JCNC SP) (formerly known as Jardine Cycle &amp; Carriage (JCNC SP), popped ~10% today ahead of the Toyota Motor (7203 JP) in-specie-distribution and special dividend.
The record date for both is the 9th October, with payment on (or before) 2nd December. 
JMSEA's implied stub value is around its highest-ever level. As is the simple ratio of JMSEA/Astra International (ASII IJ). Neither are sustainable. Borrow is (reportedly) non-existent.


Jardine Matheson Southeast Asia (JCNC SP) Pops On Toyota In-Specie & Special Div

Indonesia

Astra International is a leading Indonesian conglomerate with a highly diversified business portfolio across seven main segments: automotive, financial services, heavy equipment, mining, construction, agribusiness, infrastructure, information technology, and property. The company manufactures, distributes, and services vehicles, provides financial and insurance services, and is involved in palm oil plantations, logistics, and property development. It was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Jakarta, Indonesia.

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Astra International (ASII IJ)