Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Act II  of the drama begins  and continues from where it left off in early August</li>
<li>Sentiment has changed - bad news really  is  bad news</li>
<li>With &gt;100 basis points of cuts already priced in before year end...</li>
</ul>


Act II  of the drama begins  and continues from where it left off in early August
Sentiment has changed - bad news really  is  bad news
With &gt;100 basis points of cuts already priced in before year end...


Tactical Trading – Time to Sell Japan Again

Podcast from BlackRock, The Bid

The Bid

Podcast from BlackRock

The Bid breaks down what’s happening in the world of investing and explores the forces changing the economy and finance. From stock market outlooks and megatrends to geopolitics and technology, BlackRock speaks to thought leaders and industry experts from around the globe about the biggest trends moving markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Tech and cloud firms are heavily investing in artificial intelligence, but there are questions about whether the revenues from AI will catch up with the capital spending</li><li>It will take time for big tech companies to see a return on their AI investments, with the AI build-out expected to take years</li><li>There are opportunities for investment in firms supplying key inputs for the AI sector, such as energy, utilities, materials, and real estate</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Tech and cloud firms are heavily investing in artificial intelligence, but there are questions about whether the revenues from AI will catch up with the capital spendingIt will take time for big tech companies to see a return on their AI investments, with the AI build-out expected to take yearsThere are opportunities for investment in firms supplying key inputs for the AI sector, such as energy, utilities, materials, and real estateThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Market take: Patience needed in the AI buildout

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Mispronunciations of Nvidia can be a red flag for some investors</li><li>The volatility in Nvidia stock after earnings was not surprising due to high trading volume and options activity</li><li>Buy side expectations and unofficial whisper numbers can impact stock performance in high profile companies like Nvidia</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Mispronunciations of Nvidia can be a red flag for some investorsThe volatility in Nvidia stock after earnings was not surprising due to high trading volume and options activityBuy side expectations and unofficial whisper numbers can impact stock performance in high profile companies like NvidiaThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 83: The Earnings Heard Round the World (NVDA)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Price action on SPX is extremely similar to prior major topping patterns in April 2000 and August 2007, which is why we recommended reducing risk near 5670-5783 last week.</li>
<li>Additional similarities to 2000/2007 (other than price action) include the Fed cutting rates, recession indicators such as the Sahm rule and Schannep Recession Indicator (SRI) triggered, and yield curve un-inverting.</li>
<li>SPX resistance is in the 5670-5783 range; if a major top is happening, that is where it would start from (using the 2000 and 2007 tops as comparisons).</li>
</ul>


Price action on SPX is extremely similar to prior major topping patterns in April 2000 and August 2007, which is why we recommended reducing risk near 5670-5783 last week.
Additional similarities to 2000/2007 (other than price action) include the Fed cutting rates, recession indicators such as the Sahm rule and Schannep Recession Indicator (SRI) triggered, and yield curve un-inverting.
SPX resistance is in the 5670-5783 range; if a major top is happening, that is where it would start from (using the 2000 and 2007 tops as comparisons).


Recessionary Signals as SPX Tests Resistance; Downgrading Energy to Underweight

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

<ul><li>Hot Chips this year was primarily about AI chips (per the theme of every semiconductor conference as of late).</li><li>The most impactful presentation by far was the Broadcom CPO presentation, SuperMicro water cooling, MTIA, and some honorable mentions to Enfabrica and Dojo/Mojo from Tesla.</li><li>The biggest disappointment was AMD, which presented nothing incremental and, of course, the CPU announcements.</li></ul>

Hot Chips this year was primarily about AI chips (per the theme of every semiconductor conference as of late).The most impactful presentation by far was the Broadcom CPO presentation, SuperMicro water cooling, MTIA, and some honorable mentions to Enfabrica and Dojo/Mojo from Tesla.The biggest disappointment was AMD, which presented nothing incremental and, of course, the CPU announcements.

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

Price Gauge
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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Tactical Trading – Time to Sell Japan Again

Act II of the drama continues with a shift in sentiment towards bad news, as over 100 basis points of cuts are already priced in before year end.

Rikki Malik

Market take: Patience needed in the AI buildout

The market is experiencing concerns about top tech and cloud firms delivering on artificial intelligence as investment capital spending on AI...

The Bid

Episode 83: The Earnings Heard Round the World (NVDA)

The article discusses how the pronunciation of Nvidia has become a credibility test, the volatility in its stock after earnings reports, high...

The Circuit

Recessionary Signals as SPX Tests Resistance; Downgrading Energy to Underweight

Recessionary Signals as $SPX Tests Resistance; Downgrading Energy $XLE to Underweight; WTI Crude Oil Breakdown. Still expecting more downside. $XLB...

Vermilion Research

Hotchips Conference Sparknotes

Hot Chips this year was primarily about AI chips (per the theme of every semiconductor conference as of late). The most impactful presentation by...

Fabricated Knowledge

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Tactical Trading – Time to Sell Japan Again

​Act II of the drama continues with a shift in sentiment towards bad news, as over 100 basis points of cuts are already priced in before year end.

Rikki Malik

Market take: Patience needed in the AI buildout

The market is experiencing concerns about top tech and cloud firms delivering on artificial intelligence as investment capital spending on AI...

The Bid

Episode 83: The Earnings Heard Round the World (NVDA)

The article discusses how the pronunciation of Nvidia has become a credibility test, the volatility in its stock after earnings reports, high...

The Circuit

Recessionary Signals as SPX Tests Resistance; Downgrading Energy to Underweight

Recessionary Signals as $SPX Tests Resistance; Downgrading Energy $XLE to Underweight; WTI Crude Oil Breakdown. Still expecting more downside. $XLB...

Vermilion Research

Hotchips Conference Sparknotes

Hot Chips this year was primarily about AI chips (per the theme of every semiconductor conference as of late). The most impactful presentation by...

Fabricated Knowledge

Act II of the drama continues with a shift in sentiment towards bad news, as over 100 basis points of cuts are already priced in before year end.