Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Due to the sharp appreciation of Hana Micron's share price this year, its valuation discount to companies such as HPSP has narrowed substantially. </li>
<li>Samsung Electronics is one of the major customers of Hana Micron. Samsung recently reported that it has successfully secured the right to supply advanced memory chips to NVIDIA.</li>
<li>We do not believe Hana Micron's valuations are attractive right now. Rather than chasing after its shares, we would rather wait for its shares to retreat (20-30%) a bit.</li>
</ul>


Due to the sharp appreciation of Hana Micron's share price this year, its valuation discount to companies such as HPSP has narrowed substantially. 
Samsung Electronics is one of the major customers of Hana Micron. Samsung recently reported that it has successfully secured the right to supply advanced memory chips to NVIDIA.
We do not believe Hana Micron's valuations are attractive right now. Rather than chasing after its shares, we would rather wait for its shares to retreat (20-30%) a bit.


Hana Micron: Semiconductor Chips Packaging Company With Solid Fundamentals and FOMO Trading

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>US graphics chip designer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> has, to date, sourced HBM3 chips exclusively from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a>.</li>
<li>Shares in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> promptly popped ~6% last Friday on news it had been added as a supplier to NVIDIA.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hana-micron-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1464:1" rel="noopener">Hana Micron Inc (067310 KS)</a>, which boasts Samsung as its largest customer, similarly jumped, and is up 45% in the past week. Too much too quickly?</li>
</ul>


US graphics chip designer NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) has, to date, sourced HBM3 chips exclusively from SK Hynix (000660 KS).
Shares in Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) promptly popped ~6% last Friday on news it had been added as a supplier to NVIDIA.

Hana Micron Inc (067310 KS), which boasts Samsung as its largest customer, similarly jumped, and is up 45% in the past week. Too much too quickly?


Hana Micron's Boost From Samsung/Nvidia Agreement

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>NVIDIA Corporation delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter.</li><li>Notably, the Data Center segment experienced remarkable growth, driven by solid demand from prominent cloud service providers and major internet companies.</li><li>In the quarter, Google Cloud and NVIDIA have recently introduced advanced AI infrastructure and tools.</li></ul>

NVIDIA Corporation delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter.Notably, the Data Center segment experienced remarkable growth, driven by solid demand from prominent cloud service providers and major internet companies.In the quarter, Google Cloud and NVIDIA have recently introduced advanced AI infrastructure and tools.

NVIDIA Corporation: Monopolistic Position In Gaming & High-Performance Domain Keeps Fuelling Growth! - Major Drivers

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>ARM IPO -- TSMC says will decide this week whether to participate. ARM is a company potentially without peers and enjoys support from Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and Samsung.</li>
<li>Elan, Yageo, ChipMOS top gainers in Taiwan -- Three of our Longs have done well most recently on high volume and little new public news.</li>
<li>Recent Dell &amp; HP results provide additional clarity on the coming AI PC wave.</li>
</ul>


ARM IPO -- TSMC says will decide this week whether to participate. ARM is a company potentially without peers and enjoys support from Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and Samsung.
Elan, Yageo, ChipMOS top gainers in Taiwan -- Three of our Longs have done well most recently on high volume and little new public news.
Recent Dell &amp; HP results provide additional clarity on the coming AI PC wave.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC to Decide on ARM This Week; Elan, Yageo, ChipMOS Flying; AI PC Wave Signals

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of Arm Holdings is target price of US$36.3 per share, which represents 23% lower than the lower end of the IPO price range. </li>
<li>We estimate Arm's sales to reach US2,832 million in FY2024 (up 5.7% YoY) and US$3,038 million in FY 2025 (up 7.3% YoY). </li>
<li>Given the lack of upside, we have a NEGATIVE view of Arm Holdings. Our valuation sensitivity analysis suggests implied price of US$29.4 to US$43.9 per share. </li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of Arm Holdings is target price of US$36.3 per share, which represents 23% lower than the lower end of the IPO price range. 
We estimate Arm's sales to reach US2,832 million in FY2024 (up 5.7% YoY) and US$3,038 million in FY 2025 (up 7.3% YoY). 
Given the lack of upside, we have a NEGATIVE view of Arm Holdings. Our valuation sensitivity analysis suggests implied price of US$29.4 to US$43.9 per share. 


United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Hana Micron: Semiconductor Chips Packaging Company With Solid Fundamentals and FOMO Trading

We do not believe Hana Micron's valuations are attractive right now. Rather than chasing after its shares, we would rather wait for its shares to...

Douglas Kim

Hana Micron's Boost From Samsung/Nvidia Agreement

Hana appears expensive. On the surface. Yet forecast figures are impressive as Hana rides on Samsung's coatails. At a 6x and 4.7x FY24E and FY25E...

David Blennerhassett

NVIDIA Corporation: Monopolistic Position In Gaming & High-Performance Domain Keeps Fuelling Growth! - Major Drivers

NVIDIA Corporation delivered an all-around beat in the previous quarter. Notably, the Data Center segment experienced remarkable growth, driven by...

Baptista Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC to Decide on ARM This Week; Elan, Yageo, ChipMOS Flying; AI PC Wave Signals

Elan, Yageo, ChipMOS top gainers in Taiwan -- Three of our Longs have done well most recently on high volume and limited public developments.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ARM Holdings IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of Arm Holdings is target price of US$36.3 per share, which represents 23% lower than the lower end of the IPO price range.

Douglas Kim

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