Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Microsoft has significantly course corrected on their compute capacity build out, demurred on their right of first refusal for OpenAI compute demand and adopted a risk off "fungible" compute strategy</li>
<li>Mr. Nadella thinks AGI as more hype than substance, "jagged" intelligence will remain problematic for a longer, and the true measure of AI success will be measured by GDP growth</li>
<li>Microsoft stopped reporting AI-driven ARR when the number hit $13 billion six months ago, but why? Broadly deploying AI into productivity tools is a marathon not a sprint.</li>
</ul>


Microsoft has significantly course corrected on their compute capacity build out, demurred on their right of first refusal for OpenAI compute demand and adopted a risk off "fungible" compute strategy
Mr. Nadella thinks AGI as more hype than substance, "jagged" intelligence will remain problematic for a longer, and the true measure of AI success will be measured by GDP growth
Microsoft stopped reporting AI-driven ARR when the number hit $13 billion six months ago, but why? Broadly deploying AI into productivity tools is a marathon not a sprint.


Microsoft. Acting Like There's An AI Bubble Without Saying There's An AI Bubble

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

WT Microelectronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wt-microelectronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19712:1" rel="noopener">WT Microelectronics (3036 TT)</a> (WT Micro) is looking to raise up to US$393m, selling 90m shares(18m GDRs)via a GDR offering. It is also selling a two-year zero-coupon CB to raiseUS$350m.</li>
<li>Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



WT Microelectronics (3036 TT) (WT Micro) is looking to raise up to US$393m, selling 90m shares(18m GDRs)via a GDR offering. It is also selling a two-year zero-coupon CB to raiseUS$350m.
Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


WT Micro GDR Offering - Slightly Larger Deal to Digest, Discount Mostly in Line With Recent Deals

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the Busan meeting.</li>
<li>China is formulating its US-style Validated End User (VEU) system for Rare Earth Element (REE) exports, which will restrict shipments for US military use.</li>
<li>The real conflict between the US and China over technology and rare earths is likely to involve many volatile periods in the coming year as both attempt to achieve self-sufficiency.</li>
</ul>


The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the Busan meeting.
China is formulating its US-style Validated End User (VEU) system for Rare Earth Element (REE) exports, which will restrict shipments for US military use.
The real conflict between the US and China over technology and rare earths is likely to involve many volatile periods in the coming year as both attempt to achieve self-sufficiency.


The Art of the Trade War: COVERT OPERATIONS AND PROPAGANDA

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>The Korean tax authorities have been objecting to Oracle Korea's tax policies since 2017 and argue Oracle Korea needs to pay is about a cool 1.4 trillion won ($1 billion).</li>
<li>It is estimated that about 80% of Oracle Korea's sales are classified as sales costs such as software usage fees that are paid to Oracle's Irish affiliated companies.</li>
<li>Many investors are having increasing doubts about the sustainability of Oracle's mammoth investments in AI and its highly leveraged balance sheet (consolidated basis). </li>
</ul>


The Korean tax authorities have been objecting to Oracle Korea's tax policies since 2017 and argue Oracle Korea needs to pay is about a cool 1.4 trillion won ($1 billion).
It is estimated that about 80% of Oracle Korea's sales are classified as sales costs such as software usage fees that are paid to Oracle's Irish affiliated companies.
Many investors are having increasing doubts about the sustainability of Oracle's mammoth investments in AI and its highly leveraged balance sheet (consolidated basis). 


Oracle Korea - Uncertainty Regarding 1.4 Trillion Won Tax Dispute + Excessive Leverage

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> is swinging wildly. On Nov 11, the stock sank -13% after it said it had sold its entire stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA (NVDA US)</a>  for $5.83 billion.</li>
<li>The stock also posted record Q2 earnings on Nov 12, but closed the day down -3.46% (after a strong rally from the 21k bottom). Most gains come from OpenAI investment.</li>
<li>For sure it's not easy to hold this stock at the moment, this insight will analyze the next 2-3 weeks' outlook, support and resistance, according to our quantitative model.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) is swinging wildly. On Nov 11, the stock sank -13% after it said it had sold its entire stake in NVIDIA (NVDA US)  for $5.83 billion.
The stock also posted record Q2 earnings on Nov 12, but closed the day down -3.46% (after a strong rally from the 21k bottom). Most gains come from OpenAI investment.
For sure it's not easy to hold this stock at the moment, this insight will analyze the next 2-3 weeks' outlook, support and resistance, according to our quantitative model.


SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: What's Next After NVDA Exit, Wild Swings, and Strong Earnings?

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Microsoft. Acting Like There's An AI Bubble Without Saying There's An AI Bubble

It could just be me, but I think Mr. Nadella is trying to tell us something about the state of AI. We should probably listen. Let’s see.

William Keating

WT Micro GDR Offering - Slightly Larger Deal to Digest, Discount Mostly in Line With Recent Deals

WT Microelectronics (WT Micro) is looking to raise up to US$393m, selling 90m shares (18m GDRs) via a GDR offering. It is also selling a two-year...

Akshat Shah

The Art of the Trade War: COVERT OPERATIONS AND PROPAGANDA

The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the...

David Mudd

Oracle Korea - Uncertainty Regarding 1.4 Trillion Won Tax Dispute + Excessive Leverage

The Korean tax authorities have been objecting to Oracle Korea's tax policies since 2017 and argue Oracle Korea needs to pay is about a cool 1.4...

Douglas Kim

SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: What's Next After NVDA Exit, Wild Swings, and Strong Earnings?

Softbank is experiencing extreme volatility as of lately, plus it shocked investors with news of NVDA exit one day and record Q2 earnings the next...

Nico Rosti

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Microsoft. Acting Like There's An AI Bubble Without Saying There's An AI Bubble

It could just be me, but I think Mr. Nadella is trying to tell us something about the state of AI. We should probably listen. Let’s see.

William Keating

WT Micro GDR Offering - Slightly Larger Deal to Digest, Discount Mostly in Line With Recent Deals

WT Microelectronics (WT Micro) is looking to raise up to US$393m, selling 90m shares (18m GDRs) via a GDR offering. It is also selling a two-year...

Akshat Shah

The Art of the Trade War: COVERT OPERATIONS AND PROPAGANDA

The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the...

David Mudd

Oracle Korea - Uncertainty Regarding 1.4 Trillion Won Tax Dispute + Excessive Leverage

The Korean tax authorities have been objecting to Oracle Korea's tax policies since 2017 and argue Oracle Korea needs to pay is about a cool 1.4...

Douglas Kim

SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: What's Next After NVDA Exit, Wild Swings, and Strong Earnings?

​Softbank is experiencing extreme volatility as of lately, plus it shocked investors with news of NVDA exit one day and record Q2 earnings the next...

Nico Rosti

Softbank is experiencing extreme volatility as of lately, plus it shocked investors with news of NVDA exit one day and record Q2 earnings the next...