Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 25 - August 29. .XLSX MODEL DATA FILE ATTACHED.</li>
<li>
<strong>OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close</strong>: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc-cl-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX </a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">ASX 200 INDEX</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index </a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a>.</li>
<li>
<strong>OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close</strong>: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta (META US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, for the week August 25 - August 29. .XLSX MODEL DATA FILE ATTACHED.

OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: Alphabet, S&amp;P 500 INDEX , Tesla , China Mobile (941 HK) , Toyota Motor (7203 JP) , ASX 200 INDEX , CSI 300 Index , HSI INDEX.

OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close: Meta (META US) , Softbank Group (9984 JP).


Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 25 – August 29

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Samsung has scaled back its Texas fab plans from 44 billion to 37 billion, but the summit may bring a top-up with Intel and Amkor partnerships.</li>
<li>Intel is shifting glass substrate patents to an Arm-like royalty model backed by SoftBank’s 2 billion stake and a 10 percent US government holding.</li>
<li>Samsung's partnership would show alignment with US semiconductor policy at a time when subsidies and political backing matter as much as technology.</li>
</ul>


Samsung has scaled back its Texas fab plans from 44 billion to 37 billion, but the summit may bring a top-up with Intel and Amkor partnerships.
Intel is shifting glass substrate patents to an Arm-like royalty model backed by SoftBank’s 2 billion stake and a 10 percent US government holding.
Samsung's partnership would show alignment with US semiconductor policy at a time when subsidies and political backing matter as much as technology.


At the US-Korea Summit, Samsung’s Next Move Could Reshape the US Chipboard

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Nota is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. Nota specializes in lightweight and optimized artificial intelligence (AI) technology.</li>
<li>The IPO price range is from 7,600 won to 9,100 won. At this price range, the company's expected market cap is from 163 billion won to 196 billion won. </li>
<li>Nota provides technology that enables the efficient operation of high-performance AI models even on resource-constrained edge devices, centered around its proprietary AI model optimization platform, NetsPresso®.</li>
</ul>


Nota is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. Nota specializes in lightweight and optimized artificial intelligence (AI) technology.
The IPO price range is from 7,600 won to 9,100 won. At this price range, the company's expected market cap is from 163 billion won to 196 billion won. 
Nota provides technology that enables the efficient operation of high-performance AI models even on resource-constrained edge devices, centered around its proprietary AI model optimization platform, NetsPresso®.


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC’s Tale of Two Fabs: Arizona’s Surprise Upside vs. Kumamoto’s Challenges</li>
<li>A Defining Bet: Intel’s New Capital and the Case for Buying a Stake in Taiwan's UMC</li>
<li>SPE – Semi Production Equipment: The Big Reset Is Happening. SPE Firms Expectations Is the Problem </li>
</ul>


TSMC’s Tale of Two Fabs: Arizona’s Surprise Upside vs. Kumamoto’s Challenges
A Defining Bet: Intel’s New Capital and the Case for Buying a Stake in Taiwan's UMC
SPE – Semi Production Equipment: The Big Reset Is Happening. SPE Firms Expectations Is the Problem 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's US Fabs On a Roll; Why Intel Should Invest in UMC; The Big SPE Reset

<ul>
<li>SoftBank widens its AI bet with a $2B stake in Intel, suffers a 12% dip over two consecutive days.</li>
<li>Nvidia’s dominance has hyperscalers wary of lock-in. With Amazon and Microsoft building their chips, SoftBank’s move lands right as the market searches for alternatives.</li>
<li>Can Son replicate Intel’s historic design-fab alignment in AI, or would execution risk outweigh his ecosystem-diversification logic?</li>
</ul>


SoftBank widens its AI bet with a $2B stake in Intel, suffers a 12% dip over two consecutive days.
Nvidia’s dominance has hyperscalers wary of lock-in. With Amazon and Microsoft building their chips, SoftBank’s move lands right as the market searches for alternatives.
Can Son replicate Intel’s historic design-fab alignment in AI, or would execution risk outweigh his ecosystem-diversification logic?


Masa’s AI Double Down: Masterstroke or Misstep?

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 25 – August 29

WEEKLY analysis of tactical setups for indices, stocks, commodities, and bonds for August 25-29. Several overbought conditions in US and Asia...

Nico Rosti

At the US-Korea Summit, Samsung’s Next Move Could Reshape the US Chipboard

Samsung could weigh deeper US bets through Intel and Amkor bets as Intel pivots glass substrate patents into a licensing model.

Mint Finance

Nota IPO Preview

Nota is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. Nota provides technology that enables the efficient operation of high-performance...

Douglas Kim

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's US Fabs On a Roll; Why Intel Should Invest in UMC; The Big SPE Reset

TSMC faces challenges in Kumamoto while seeing upside in Arizona, Intel makes a defining bet on UMC, and the semiconductor production equipment...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Masa’s AI Double Down: Masterstroke or Misstep?

SoftBank invests $2B in Intel for AI, faces stock drop. While the market seems to look for alternatives to Nvidia, Son's strategy is still...

Mint Finance

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52-week Range

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Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: August 25 – August 29

WEEKLY analysis of tactical setups for indices, stocks, commodities, and bonds for August 25-29. Several overbought conditions in US and Asia...

Nico Rosti

At the US-Korea Summit, Samsung’s Next Move Could Reshape the US Chipboard

Samsung could weigh deeper US bets through Intel and Amkor bets as Intel pivots glass substrate patents into a licensing model.

Mint Finance

Nota IPO Preview

Nota is getting ready to complete its IPO on KOSDAQ in September. Nota provides technology that enables the efficient operation of high-performance...

Douglas Kim

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC's US Fabs On a Roll; Why Intel Should Invest in UMC; The Big SPE Reset

​TSMC faces challenges in Kumamoto while seeing upside in Arizona, Intel makes a defining bet on UMC, and the semiconductor production equipment...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Masa’s AI Double Down: Masterstroke or Misstep?

​SoftBank invests $2B in Intel for AI, faces stock drop. While the market seems to look for alternatives to Nvidia, Son's strategy is still...

Mint Finance

TSMC faces challenges in Kumamoto while seeing upside in Arizona, Intel makes a defining bet on UMC, and the semiconductor production equipment...

SoftBank invests $2B in Intel for AI, faces stock drop. While the market seems to look for alternatives to Nvidia, Son's strategy is still...