Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>PSU bank credit growth exceeded private-bank growth in FY25 for the first time in more than a decade. Between FY22-FY26, private-bank share fell 14.5 percentage points in home-loans.</li>
<li>Asset quality has converged sharply. Competitive advantage is moving from provisioning relief to funding, pricing, distribution and the ability to deploy capital at an acceptable return.</li>
<li>The sector trade is no longer simply “private quality versus PSU risk.” One must distinguish volume share, absolute profit share, sustainable ROA and the valuation paid for each.</li>
</ul>


PSU bank credit growth exceeded private-bank growth in FY25 for the first time in more than a decade. Between FY22-FY26, private-bank share fell 14.5 percentage points in home-loans.
Asset quality has converged sharply. Competitive advantage is moving from provisioning relief to funding, pricing, distribution and the ability to deploy capital at an acceptable return.
The sector trade is no longer simply “private quality versus PSU risk.” One must distinguish volume share, absolute profit share, sustainable ROA and the valuation paid for each.


Why Indian Private Sector Large Cap Banks Are Not Performing?

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/axis-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:768:1" rel="noopener">Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN)</a>stock corrected over 5% recently after citi's research analyst note highlighted that the expected recovery in Net Interest Margins would be significantly delayed. </li>
<li>A repo rate cut triggered faster asset repricing, while the bank's ability to cushion margins through lower deposit costs is effectively exhausted.</li>
<li>Investors must expect flat margins for longer, as the recovery timeline has now shifted to the fourth quarter of FY26.</li>
</ul>



Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN)stock corrected over 5% recently after citi's research analyst note highlighted that the expected recovery in Net Interest Margins would be significantly delayed. 
A repo rate cut triggered faster asset repricing, while the bank's ability to cushion margins through lower deposit costs is effectively exhausted.
Investors must expect flat margins for longer, as the recovery timeline has now shifted to the fourth quarter of FY26.


Axis Bank: A Temporary Shock or A Structural Shift?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Axis Bank’s (AXSB) Q2FY26 earnings missed our estimates on account of a one-off RBI-mandated standard asset provisioning to the tune of INR12bn for two discontinued crop loan products, adversely impacting RoA by 11bps</li><li>Loan growth (~12%YoY) saw an uptick, driven by wholesale, business banking, LAP, and credit card segments, coupled with a positive surprise on NIMs, driven by lower cost of funds</li><li>Deposit growth (~11% YoY) was in line with industry, even as the CASA ratio dipped further to 39.8% (-50bps QoQ)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Bank’s (AXSB) Q2FY26 earnings missed our estimates on account of a one-off RBI-mandated standard asset provisioning to the tune of INR12bn for two discontinued crop loan products, adversely impacting RoA by 11bpsLoan growth (~12%YoY) saw an uptick, driven by wholesale, business banking, LAP, and credit card segments, coupled with a positive surprise on NIMs, driven by lower cost of fundsDeposit growth (~11% YoY) was in line with industry, even as the CASA ratio dipped further to 39.8% (-50bps QoQ)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Axis Bank - Technical Episodes Dominate Business Fundamentals

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>RBI kept the policy rate unchanged and retained a neutral policy stance. But (in concert with MoF), a more conducive climate was created for foreign inflows into India's debt markets.  </li>
<li>Real GDP grew 7.8%YoY in Q4/FY26 with a current account surplus (0.7% of GDP). Our forecast for core CPI inflation is 4.2%, headline 4.8%, and no rate hikes in FY27.</li>
<li>With services (52% of the economy) growing 9%+, we expect real GDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, and strong net FDI and FPI inflows to bolster INR. Bullish. </li>
</ul>


RBI kept the policy rate unchanged and retained a neutral policy stance. But (in concert with MoF), a more conducive climate was created for foreign inflows into India's debt markets.  
Real GDP grew 7.8%YoY in Q4/FY26 with a current account surplus (0.7% of GDP). Our forecast for core CPI inflation is 4.2%, headline 4.8%, and no rate hikes in FY27.
With services (52% of the economy) growing 9%+, we expect real GDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, and strong net FDI and FPI inflows to bolster INR. Bullish. 


India: No Rate Hike in FY27, as Growth Slows a Tad and CAD Widens to 1% of GDP

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Avaada Electro Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avaada-electro-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58612:1" rel="noopener">Avaada Electro Limited (2596819D IN)</a> is looking to raise around US$800m in its upcoming India IPO. It is a vertically integrated solar photovoltaic manufacturer, producing high-efficiency solar cells and modules.</li>
<li>Avaada Electro Limited (AEL) benefits from strong demand visibility through its group's renewable IPP, while its manufacturing platform is well aligned with India's push towards domestic solar manufacturing requirements.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.</li>
</ul>



Avaada Electro Limited (2596819D IN) is looking to raise around US$800m in its upcoming India IPO. It is a vertically integrated solar photovoltaic manufacturer, producing high-efficiency solar cells and modules.
Avaada Electro Limited (AEL) benefits from strong demand visibility through its group's renewable IPP, while its manufacturing platform is well aligned with India's push towards domestic solar manufacturing requirements.
In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.


Aequitas: Avaada Electro Pre-IPO - Offtake Visibility but Concentration and Leverage Risks Remain

India

Axis Bank Limited provides a full range of banking services throughout India. The Group's activities include retail banking, investment management, merchant banking, treasury and NRI services, cash and credit management services, and ATM facilities.

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Axis Bank Ltd (AXSB IN)

Why Indian Private Sector Large Cap Banks Are Not Performing?

Public-sector banks are using lower lending rates to win prime credit. The pressure on private banks is no longer about bad loans; it is about...

Nimish Maheshwari

Axis Bank: A Temporary Shock or A Structural Shift?

Axis Bank stock corrected over 4% as Citi's note delays expected NIM recovery, with flat margins expected until Q4 FY26.

Nimish Maheshwari

Axis Bank - Technical Episodes Dominate Business Fundamentals

Loan growth (~12%YoY) saw an uptick, driven by wholesale, business banking, LAP, and credit card segments, coupled with a positive surprise on...

HDFC Securities

India: No Rate Hike in FY27, as Growth Slows a Tad and CAD Widens to 1% of GDP

RBI maintains policy rate, focuses on attracting foreign inflows to debt markets. With Services growing 9%, RGDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, as...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Aequitas: Avaada Electro Pre-IPO - Offtake Visibility but Concentration and Leverage Risks Remain

Avaada Electro Limited (AEL) is looking to raise around US$800m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Akshat Shah

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Why Indian Private Sector Large Cap Banks Are Not Performing?

Public-sector banks are using lower lending rates to win prime credit. The pressure on private banks is no longer about bad loans; it is about...

Nimish Maheshwari

Axis Bank: A Temporary Shock or A Structural Shift?

​Axis Bank stock corrected over 4% as Citi's note delays expected NIM recovery, with flat margins expected until Q4 FY26.

Nimish Maheshwari

Axis Bank - Technical Episodes Dominate Business Fundamentals

Loan growth (~12%YoY) saw an uptick, driven by wholesale, business banking, LAP, and credit card segments, coupled with a positive surprise on...

HDFC Securities

India: No Rate Hike in FY27, as Growth Slows a Tad and CAD Widens to 1% of GDP

​RBI maintains policy rate, focuses on attracting foreign inflows to debt markets. With Services growing 9%, RGDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, as...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Aequitas: Avaada Electro Pre-IPO - Offtake Visibility but Concentration and Leverage Risks Remain

Avaada Electro Limited (AEL) is looking to raise around US$800m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we look at the firm’s past performance.

Akshat Shah

Axis Bank stock corrected over 4% as Citi's note delays expected NIM recovery, with flat margins expected until Q4 FY26.

RBI maintains policy rate, focuses on attracting foreign inflows to debt markets. With Services growing 9%, RGDP to grow 7.3% in FY27, as...